Market Soapbox & Observations 10/13/06

Resistance: DJIA 12000; SP500 1381; Nasdaq 2400; NDX 1794
Support: DJIA 10250, SP500 1220, Nasdaq 2000; NDX 1450

YIELD CURVE INVERSION: Bonds DOWN with the 30 yr yield rising @ 4.93%; 10 yr @ 4.80; 5 yr @ 4.76; 2yr @ 4.86; 6 mo @ 5.16.

Recent Inversions: 2yr above 10 yr 12/27 - 03/07; 03/20 - 3/29; 06/08 - 07/26. 2yr above 30 yr 02/09 - 03/07 & 03/21 - 3/29; 6mo & 2yr above 30yr 06/13 - 07/20.

2yr above 10yr 08/03 - ?; 6mo above 10yr 06/02 -?; 6mo above 30yr 06/13 - ?

MON, DJIA +7 on low volume with midlin internals.

TUE, DJIA +9 on low volume with midline internals.

WEN, DJIA -15 on average volume with midlin internals.

THU, a broadbased jump, DJIA +96 on average volume with pretty internals.

FRI, DJIA +13 on lower volume with decent internals. This week DJIA +110, since 09/19/05 DJIA +1300.

Dollar UP vs. Euro 1.25141 & vs. Yen 119.64, XAU 129.03 & gold UP @ 592.7, XOI UP 1104.62 & crude DOWN @ $58.69, CRB commodities index UP @ 303.39.

The DJIA has set a new all time high and is headed for 12K. SP500 hit 1361 & headed for 1381? and NDX ran over 1704 heading for 1794?

Perhaps some profit taking during options expiration week? Then onward and upward until Nov 7th, election day? Let's see.

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