Market Soapbox 03/27/08

THU, triple digit followthrough, DJIA -120 on lower volume with ugly internals. All DOWN cept DJUA.

Bonds down 10 yr yield +5bps 3.52. $ up vs 1.5772€ & vs 99.74y, WTI +1% $107.22, gold down $954 TED spread down -1bps 1.40%.

SP500 open 1340, pop to 1345, plunge to close 1325. NDX 1817, gap down open 1807, fall to close 1777.

MON: Hitting resistance at 1350, perhaps a dip then surge to test major resistance at 1400. 1350 & 1800 are magnets, at the moment.

The S&P 500 is up 0.2% this month. If it holds onto a gain, it will mark the first positive monthly finish since October.

If the market ends the month in the red, the market will have posted a loss for five straight consecutive months, the first time since 1990.

The 2 month headfake in retail (RTH); transports (DJTA); builders (HGX) and regional banks (KRE) could be over.

If so, we are primed for a roll down a BIG step. However, there may be one more pop to the upside in the tank...

on this monthly & quarterly ending sucker, er, I mean sector rotation. Watch em closely for clues.

Often wrong, but never in doubt, this is the Nattering Naybob and you're not.

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