Trump's Reversal?
Once again, not to be mistaken for Tuesday's With Morrie, it's Tuesdays With Trump... picking up the pieces from Chitty Chitty Trump Trump?
Here's a preview of the July 2nd, 2018 Time Magazine cover titled "Welcome To America"...
Last week, the Trump administration seemed to reverse tack in an attempt to resolve the immigrant child detention issue...
Upon further review, with the executive order Trump signed, the Department of Homeland Security (DHS) will take custody of the entire family. No more separation, right?
Not so fast Joe... the Trump EO does not override the 1993 Flores v. Reno Supreme Court case, which states that detained migrant children cannot be held in government detention facilities for more than 20 days.
Translation: after 20 days of being held together... children may still be separated from their parents.
Bottom line, the Trump EO did not resolve the issue. Yet, the MSM claims that a "resolution" or "reversal" of policy has been issued? There is far more to the story...
AG Sessions has asked a federal California judge to modify Flores to permit the government to detain families together throughout the entire prosecution and deportation processes.
In 2014, the Obama administration used three military bases: Fort Sill in Oklahoma, Lackland Air Force Base in Texas and Naval Base Ventura County in California to house around 7K+ children who crossed the border WITHOUT adult family members.
With UAC's (UNACCOMPANIED alien children) no separation of family by the US government is involved. With those 7K+ 2014 UAC detentions, we could only find the following off topic lampooning of Obama, Chitty Chitty Bang Bang and The Child Catcher...
Above, Obama taking heat on government subsidies of EV's. Below, Michelle taking the brunt of it, due to child snack food or healthier diet preferences?
The bottom line is: Overall illegal immigration apprehensions, mostly coming from the Southwest border, peaked in 2000 with almost 1.7M. Since then, steadily declining through 2017 with just under 310K total. - BP Total Apprehensions 1925-2017
That 2017 310K total is the least since 302K in 1971, with fewer SW apprehensions 304K than 1972's 321K. Read that again, an 81% decline in total, and LESS than in 1972. - BP SW Apprehensions 1960-2017
Further, the number of illegals apprehended from countries OTHER THAN Mexico, 2017: 180K vs 130K from Mexico. In fact, apprehensions of illegals from other countries have outnumbered Mexican illegals three of the last four years with CBP. - BP Total Apps, Mexico, OTM 2000-2017
We certainly understand trying to improve upon the already impressive reduction in numbers. However, given the above trends, what immigration or South border crisis does the Trump administration speak or tweet of? We know not and neither does FactCheck.org?
In any event, I don't know but I'll tell you, there is much more work to be done.
Summer is upon us, Happy belated Solstice and Out.
Here's a preview of the July 2nd, 2018 Time Magazine cover titled "Welcome To America"...
"It is unfortunate that Congress’s failure to act and court orders have put the Administration in the position of separating alien families to effectively enforce the law." - June 20, 2018 Executive OrderImmigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) currently separate most families when they are apprehended for illegal border crossing.
Upon further review, with the executive order Trump signed, the Department of Homeland Security (DHS) will take custody of the entire family. No more separation, right?
Not so fast Joe... the Trump EO does not override the 1993 Flores v. Reno Supreme Court case, which states that detained migrant children cannot be held in government detention facilities for more than 20 days.
Translation: after 20 days of being held together... children may still be separated from their parents.
Bottom line, the Trump EO did not resolve the issue. Yet, the MSM claims that a "resolution" or "reversal" of policy has been issued? There is far more to the story...
AG Sessions has asked a federal California judge to modify Flores to permit the government to detain families together throughout the entire prosecution and deportation processes.
"the President has directed the Department of Justice to promptly seek relief from this Court from the provisions of the Flores Settlement Agreement that “would permit the Secretary [of Homeland Security] . . . to detain alien families together through the pendency of criminal proceedings for improper entry or any removal or other immigration proceedings.
the Government respectfully asks this Court to grant limited emergency relief that would: (1) exempt DHS from the Flores Settlement Agreement’s release provisions so that ICE may detain alien minors who have arrived with their parent or legal guardian together in ICE family residential facilities; and (2) exempt ICE family residential facilities from the Agreement’s state licensure requirement.” - EX PARTE APPLICATION FOR RELIEFUntil the court grants that request, or does not, the incarcerations and separations will continue. In any event, all at taxpayer expense. But wait there's more...
The Pentagon has been asked by the federal health department to provide housing on military bases for as many as 20,000 migrant children. - CNBC - WaPoA "reversal" which ups the capacity to 20K? Is someone expecting a rush to the border?
In 2014, the Obama administration used three military bases: Fort Sill in Oklahoma, Lackland Air Force Base in Texas and Naval Base Ventura County in California to house around 7K+ children who crossed the border WITHOUT adult family members.
With UAC's (UNACCOMPANIED alien children) no separation of family by the US government is involved. With those 7K+ 2014 UAC detentions, we could only find the following off topic lampooning of Obama, Chitty Chitty Bang Bang and The Child Catcher...
That 2017 310K total is the least since 302K in 1971, with fewer SW apprehensions 304K than 1972's 321K. Read that again, an 81% decline in total, and LESS than in 1972. - BP SW Apprehensions 1960-2017
Further, the number of illegals apprehended from countries OTHER THAN Mexico, 2017: 180K vs 130K from Mexico. In fact, apprehensions of illegals from other countries have outnumbered Mexican illegals three of the last four years with CBP. - BP Total Apps, Mexico, OTM 2000-2017
We certainly understand trying to improve upon the already impressive reduction in numbers. However, given the above trends, what immigration or South border crisis does the Trump administration speak or tweet of? We know not and neither does FactCheck.org?
In any event, I don't know but I'll tell you, there is much more work to be done.
Summer is upon us, Happy belated Solstice and Out.
Comments
China’s trade surplus shrank by 14.2 percent in 2017. So the current account surplus was narrower.
Summing only China's trade flows (and not, for example, FDI and FPI), which represents the largest proportion of this internal economic activity, $4.28 trillion, aggregate demand, AD (as opposed to netting them, or tallying the current account), the aggregate figure amounts to a whopping 36% of 2017 N-gDp -$12.015 trillion.
Contrary to SA Alan Longhorn's article (China's current account is less than 2% of GDP), there's obviously an upcoming economic catastrophe in the making at the end of 2018.
China’s gDp:
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/MKTGDPCNA646NWDB
However, summing China's trade flows, both its imports and exports (and excluding for example, FDI and FPI), as opposed to netting them, or tallying China’s current account surplus, you get a huge figure corresponding to its domestic bilateral trade activity: $4.28 trillion. The aggregate figure amounts to a whopping 36% of China’s 2017 N-gDp of: $12.015 trillion.
As Bloomberg reported on August 11, 2015: “Today’s sudden policy move is a reaction to a significant weakening of China’s export numbers in July and rising deflation risk”.
Judging from the last time China was in this much economic trouble, in August 2015, China devalued the Renminbi, the official currency of the People's Republic of China, by c. 4.4 percent, in 3 days, the biggest drop in decades. Then U.S. stocks subsequently fell by 1613.28 DJIA points.
That was during the period, between January 2013 and December 2015, in which monetary flows, the proxy for inflation, fell by 80 percent. From January to June so far this year, money flows have now fallen by 35 percent. By the end of 2018 they could drop by another 80% in less than half the prior time.
This time around will be worse. Contrary to Alan Longhorn, there's obviously an upcoming economic catastrophe in the making. And when China rattles its trade saber, i.e., depreciates the yuan, things change in a New York minute.