NCAA CFP 2016 Football Bowl Predictions

12/18/16 Update - Went all dogs Dec 17th ATS, it paid off ATS 4-2;  SU 5-1; Locks 0-0. Picks through Independence Bowl are up, and could change, still a work in progress.

12/23/16 Update - Since last update ATS 3-1; SU 3-1; Locks 1-1. Picks through Sun Bowl are up, and could change, still a work in progress, 10 games left to pick.

12/24/16 Update - Since last update ATS 3-0; SU 2-1; Locks 2-0. Picks through Sugar Bowl are up.  Stick a fork in em, their done. We are ATS 10-3; SU 10-3; Locks 3-1 and pleased.

12/27/16 Update - Since last update ATS 1-3; SU 2-2; Locks 1-1. Coming back down to the law of averages, through Independ. Bowl ATS 11-6; SU 12-5; Locks 4-2.

12/28/16 Update - Since last update ATS 3-1; SU 1-3; At the MID POINT through Cactus Bowl ATS 14-7 or 66%; SU 13-8 or 62%; Locks 4-2 or 66%.  

We have picked: (N)either ATS or SU correct in 4 or 18%; (B)oth correct in 10 or 48%; and (S)plit in 7 or 33%. See left hand column.

12/29/16 Update - Since last update ATS 1-3; SU 2-2; through Texas Bowl ATS 15-10; SU 15-10; Locks 4-2.  60% and coming back down to earth and the law of averages.

12/30/16 Update - Since last update ATS 1-2; SU 2-1; Locks 1-0; through Alamo Bowl ATS 16-12; SU 17-11; Locks 5-2.  Gravity taking its affect.

12/31/16 Update - Since last update ATS 1-4; SU 3-2; Locks 1-2; through Orange Bowl ATS 17-16; SU 20-13; Locks 6-4; Since the MID POINT, ATS 3-9 and headed for the Toilet Bowl.

01/01/17 Update - Since last update ATS 2-2; SU 2-2; Locks 0-2; through Fiesta Bowl ATS 19-18; SU 22-15; Locks 6-6; Our title game pick is up, Happy New Year!!

01/05/17 Update - Since last update ATS 3-1; SU 4-0; Locks 0-1; through Sugar Bowl ATS 22-19; SU 26-15; Locks 6-7.  A Trojan like rally with one more update to go.

01/10/17 Update - Since last update ATS 1-0; SU 1-0; at the end of the day ATS 23-19 55%; SU 27-15 64%; Locks 6-7 46%

We picked: (N)either ATS or SU correct in 11 or 26%; (B)oth correct in 19 or 45%; and (S)plit in 12 or 29%. See left hand column.

An Exercise in Futility

Picking 41 bowls and Champ. Game, SU (straight up) and ATS (against the spread).
  
2015:  SU (27-14) 65.8%; ATS (19-22) 46.3%; Locks ATS (6-3) 66.6%
2014:  Did not pick SU  ; ATS (23-17) 57.5%; Locks ATS (7-2) 77%

SU pick see left column. The line (spread) will be next to our ATS pick; - favored and we are giving the points; + underdog and we are getting the points. PK pick em or even.  

All bowl games are at "neutral" sites. Bold "Site", there are 17 (41%), designates game where one team is playing close enough to their campus to have a perceived home crowd advantage over their opponent. 

Over and Under (OU) line next to bowl name.  *** triple asterisk next to the spread, at the moment of which there are 13 (32%) , indicates high confidence in that team ATS (lock).  Since I am picking 42 games, I am taking any push (on the number) to be a win.

These picks were made without privy of players academic probation, suspension, injury or potential game day weather conditions.  

This information is provided strictly for entertainment purposes, use at your own risk.

CFP rankings from NCAA Bowl Site. Click game result for box score. All times EST.

BOWL/SU PICK	DATE	TIME	SITE	SPREAD RESULT
Celebration 59 B Grambling SU (1-0)	Dec. 17	Noon	Atlanta	Grambling St 10 (11-1)  NC Central 9 (9-2) +15.5 ATS (1-0)
New Mexico 54 B New Mexico SU (2-0)	Dec. 17	2 p.m.	Albuquerque	New Mexico 23 (8-4) UTSA 20 (6-6) +9  ATS (2-0)
Las Vegas 50.5 B San Diego St. SU (3-0)	Dec. 17	3:30 p.m.	Las Vegas	SDSU 34 (10-3) +4.5 Houston 10 (9-3) ATS (3-0)
Camellia 58 N Toledo SU (3-1)	Dec. 17	5:30 p.m.	Montgomery	Appalach St 31 (9-3) Toledo 28 (9-3) +1 ATS (3-1)
Cure 51 B Arkansas St SU (4-1)	Dec. 17	5:30 p.m.	Orlando	Arkansas St. 31 (7-5) +4 UCF 13 (6-6) ATS (4-1)
N Orleans 57 S S. Mississippi SU (5-1)	Dec. 17	9 p.m.	New Orleans	S. Mississippi 28 (6-6)  Louis-Laf 21 (6-6) +5.5 ATS (4-2)
Miami 70 B Tulsa SU (6-1)	Dec. 19	2:30 p.m.	Miami	C. Michigan 10 (6-6) Tulsa 55 (9-3) -12.5 *** ATS (5-2)
Boca Rat 78.5 B W. Kentucky SU (7-1)	Dec. 20	7 p.m.	Boca Raton	W. Kentucky 51 (10-3) -5.5 Memphis 31 (8-4) ATS (6-2)
Poinsettia 57.5 S BYU SU (8-1)	Dec. 21	9 p.m.	San Diego	BYU 24 (8-4) -9.5 *** Wyoming 21 (8-5) ATS (6-3)
Potato 64.5 S Colorado St SU (8-2)	Dec. 22	7 p.m.	Boise	Colorado St 50 (7-5) Idaho 61 (8-4) +13.5 ATS (7-3)
Bahamas 65 B Old Dominion SU (9-2)	Dec. 23	1 p.m.	Nassau, Bahamas	E. Michigan 20 (7-5) Old Dominion 24 (9-3) -4 ATS (8-3)
Arm Force 67 S Navy SU (9-3)	Dec. 23	4:30 p.m.	Fort Worth	LA Tech 48 (8-5) #25 Navy 45 (9-4) +5 *** ATS (9-3)
Dollar Gen 49 B Troy SU (10-3)	Dec. 23	8 p.m.	Mobile	Ohio 23 (8-5) Troy 28 (9-3) -3.5 *** ATS (10-3)
Hawaii NA N Mid Tennessee SU (10-4)	Dec. 24	8 p.m.	Honolulu	Hawaii 52 (6-7) Mid Tenne 35 (8-4) -6 *** ATS (10-4)
St. Peter 58 B Miss St SU (11-4)	Dec. 26	11 a.m.	St. Pete	Miami(OH) 16 (6-6) +14 *** Miss St 17 (5-7) ATS (11-4)
Quick Lan 43.5 N Maryland SU (11-5)	Dec. 26	2:30 p.m.	Motown	Boston College 36 (6-6) Maryland 30 (6-6) -1 ATS (11-5)
Independ. 44.5 S NC State SU (12-5)	Dec. 26	5 p.m.	Shreveport	NC State 41 (6-6) Vanderbilt 17 (6-6) +4 ATS (11-6)
H of Dal 49 B Army SU (13-5)	Dec. 27	Noon	Dallas	Army 38 (7-5) North Texas 31 (5-7) +10 ATS (12-6)
Military 41 S Temple SU (13-6)	Dec. 27	3:30 p.m.	Annapolis	#24 Temple 26 (10-3) W. Forest 34 (6-6) +11.5 ATS (13-6)
Holiday 60 N Wash. St SU (13-7)	Dec. 27	7 p.m.	San Diego	Minnesota 17 (8-4) Wash. St 12 (8-4) -7.5 ATS (13-7)
Cactus 67 S Boise State SU (13-8)	Dec. 27	10:15 p.m.	Phoenix	Baylor 31 (6-6) +7.5 Boise State 12 (10-2) ATS (14-7)
Pinstripe 65 N Pitt SU (13-9)	Dec. 28	2 p.m.	New York	Northwestern 31 (6-6) #23 Pitt 24 (8-4) -5.5 ATS (14-8)
Russell Ath 57 B Miami SU (14-9)	Dec. 28	5:30 p.m.	Orlando	Miami (FL) 31 (8-4) -3 #16 W Virginia  14 (10-2) ATS (15-8)
Foster Farm 54 S Utah SU (15-9)	Dec. 28	8:30 p.m.	Santa Clara	Indiana 24 (6-6) #19 Utah 26 (8-4) -7.5 ATS (15-9)
Texas 56.5 N Texas AM SU (15-10)	Dec. 28	9 p.m.	Houston	Kansas St.33 (8-4) Texas AM 28 (8-4) -2 ATS (15-10)
Birmingham 62 B S Fla SU (16-10)	Dec. 29	2 p.m.	Birmingham	S Carol 39 (6-6) +10.5 *** S Fla. 46 (10-2) ATS (16-10)
Belk 61 S Virginia Tech SU (17-10)	Dec. 29	5:30 p.m.	Charlotte	Arkansas 24 (7-5) +7 #22 Virg Tech 35 (9-4) ATS (16-11)
Alamo 62.5 N Colorado SU (17-11)	Dec. 29	9 p.m.	San Antonio	#10 Colorado 8 (10-3) -3 #12 Okla St. 38 (9-3) ATS (16-12)
Arizona 57.5 S Air Force SU (18-11)	Dec. 30	5:30 p.m.	Tucson	Air Force 45 (9-3) S Alabama 21 (6-6) +13 ATS (16-13)
Liberty  48 B Georgia SU (19-11)	Dec. 30	Noon	Memphis	Georgia 31 (7-5) -1 *** TCU 23 (6-6) ATS (17-13)
Sun 54.5 S Stanford SU (20-11)	Dec. 30	2 p.m.	El Paso	N Carolina 23 (8-4) #18 Stanford 25 (9-3) -3.5 *** ATS (17-14)
Music City 61 N Nebraska SU (20-12)	Dec. 30	3:30 p.m.	Nashville	Nebraska 24 (9-3) +3 #21 Tenn 38 (8-4) ATS (17-15)
Orange 52.5 N Michigan SU (20-13)	Dec. 30	8 p.m.	Miami Gardens	#11 Florida St 33 (9-3) #6 Michigan 32 (10-2) -7 *** ATS (17-16)
Taxslayer 61.5 B Georgia Tech SU (21-13)	Dec. 31	11 a.m.	Jacksonville	Georgia Tech 33 (8-4) -3.5 Kentucky 18 (7-5) ATS (18-16)
Citrus 60 B LSU SU (22-13)	Dec. 31	11 a.m.	Orlando	#13 Louisville 9 (9-3) #20 LSU 29 (7-4) -3 ATS (19-16)
Peach 54 N Washington SU (22-14)	Dec. 31	3 p.m.	Atlanta	#1 Alabama 24 (13-0) #4 Wash 7 (12-1) +14.5 *** ATS (19-17)
Fiesta 60 N Ohio St SU (22-15)	Dec. 31	7 p.m.	Glendale, AZ	#2 Clemson 31 (12-1) #3 Ohio St 0 (11-1) -3.5 *** ATS (19-18)
Outback 40.5 B Florida SU (23-15)	Jan. 2	1 p.m.	Tampa	#17 Florida 30 (8-4) -2.5 Iowa 3 (8-4) ATS (20-18)
Cotton 53 B Wisconsin SU (24-15)	Jan. 2	1 p.m.	Arlington, TX	#15 W. Mich. 16 (13-0) +8.5 #8 Wisconsin 24 (10-3) ATS (21-18)
Rose 62 S USC SU (25-15)	Jan. 2	5 p.m.	Pasadena	#5 Penn St 49 (11-2) #9 USC 52 (9-3) -6.5 *** ATS (21-19)
Sugar 62.5 B Oklahoma SU (26-15)	Jan. 2	8:30 p.m.	New Orleans	#14 Auburn 19 (8-4) #7 Oklahoma 35 (10-2) -3 ATS (22-19)
CFP Title 54.4 B Clemson SU (27-15)	Jan. 9	8:00 p.m.	Tampa	#1 Alabama 31 (13-0) #2 Clemson 35 (12-1) +8 ATS (23-19)