Market Soapbox 08/23/06

Resistance: DJIA 11775; SP500 1335; Nasdaq 2380; NDX 1750
Support: DJIA 10650, SP500 1220, Nasdaq 2000; NDX 1450

YIELD CURVE INVERSION: Bonds DOWN with the 30 yr yield rising @ 4.94%; 10 yr @ 4.81; 5 yr @ 4.77; 2yr @ 4.87; 6 mo @ 5.16.

Recent Inversions: 2yr above 10 yr 12/27 - 03/07; 03/20 - 3/29; 06/08 - 07/26. 2yr above 30 yr 02/09 - 03/07 & 03/21 - 3/29; 6mo & 2yr above 30yr 06/13 - 07/20.

2yr above 10yr 08/03 - ?; 6mo above 10yr 06/02 -?; 6mo above 30yr 06/13 - ?

MON, post short covering letdown and defensive plays ended the longest win streak in 5 months, DJIA -36 on low volume with ugly internals.

TUE, up early, then real wavy gravy DJIA -5 on higher but average volume with OK internals.

WEN, 3rd straight down day, a broadbased post short covering letdown. DJIA -42 on average volume with ugly internals. This week DJIA -83, since 09/19/05 DJIA +637.

Indexes UP: NONE DOWN: Everything nicely.

Sectors UP: Pharma. DOWN: Everything else nicely.

Overseas: FTSE, DAX, CAC, Hang Seng & Nikkei all DOWN.

Dollar DOWN vs. Euro 1.2812 & vs. Yen 115.95, XAU & gold DOWN @ 633, XOI -1.45% & crude DOWN 1.8% @ $71.76, CRB commodities index DOWN @ 334.71.

Comments