AFC Divisional Playoff 2008

#2 Indy #5 offense (#6 pass, #18 run); #3 defense (#2 pass, #15 run)

THEY played in footballs toughest division. Until proven otherwise, THEY are the defending champions.

#3 Diego Bolts #20 offense (#26 pass, #7 run); #14 defense (#14 pass, #16 run) played in footballs weakest division.

After 1-3 start, led the league with +24 turnover ratio, and went 11-2 (road losses to hot Vikes & Jags).

Bolts anemic passing game forces their #7 run game to try holding the rock and keep #5 Indy O off the field.

Diego 4-4 on the road, and their last trip to a dome, MIN. was a disaster.

Week 10 at Diego, Indy dominated with the Bolts getting a gift 23-21, despite SIX ints the Colts missed a game winning FG to end the game.

It won't happen again, and this game could be over by the half, this mismatch should be the weeks biggest humiliation. Pick IND -9 vs SD

#1 NE #1 offense (#1 pass; #13 run); #4 defense (#6 pass, #10 run) Patriots played in a weak division and finished 16-0.

They are good, but struggled to win down the stretch 5 of last 6, and did not cover ATS 6 of last 8.

#5 JAX Jags, #7 offense (#17 pass; #2 run); #12 defense (#15 pass, #11 run) finished 7-2 (loss at IND, rested week 17 vs HOU), swept Steelers away.

Jags pass D lost 3 to teams that could throw the ball 2 vs IND; 1 vs NO. #1 NE can throw the ball. Pats & Jags are #1 and #2 in time of possession.

The Jags can run, the Pats are having trouble defending the run. Last 3 away Jags #2 run game 151 ypg 4.8 ypc; Last 3, 5.4 ypc. Last 3 home NE run D 126 ypg 5.3 ypc. Last 3 NE run D 4.8 ypc.

NE has had trouble running the ball and the Jags defend it well, last 3 Jag run D 107 ypg, 3.6 ypc.

NE will have to throw the ball vs #15 Jag pass D. Will that be enough? NO.

Down the stretch, 3 teams lesser than the Jags (PHI, BAL, NYG) lost by a hair to NE. None of them could run the ball like the Jags can.

NE will have to score early and often, defend the run, and force the Jags to throw in order to maintain time of possession and keep their aging D off the field.

If the Jags stay close, make no mistakes, run and hold the ball, it could be a long day for the aging Patriot D.

Being winded late in the game against a good team, could prove fatal. This game has the potential to be the upset of the year. Pick JAX +13.5 @ NE

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