2015 NFL Playoffs - Conference Title
Legend
SU - straight up; ATS - against the spread; O - offense; D- defense; PT - points; YD - yards;
P - passing; R rushing; TOM - turnover margin; GA - giveaways; TA - takeaways;
TOP - time of possession; YPC - yards per carry; YPP - yards per pass.
This Year
2015 playoffs SU: Home 6-2; Road 2-6; Fav 6-2; Dog 2-6; Home Fav 6-2; Home Dog 0-0; Road Fav 0-0; Road Dog 2-6. Remaining victorious road dogs: IND
2015 playoffs ATS: Home 3-5; Road 5-3 ; Fav 3-5; Dog 5-3; Home Fav 3-5; Home Dog 0-0; Road Fav 0-0; Road Dog 5-3. Remaining victorious home favs: IND, SEA
2015 playoff totals:
WC 43;47;36;44
DIV 66:48;47;37
Our 2015 Playoff Picks ATS 4-4; SU 5-3
SU home favs = 5-2; road dogs 0-1
ATS home favs 2-3; road dogs 2-1
Super Bowl 0-0 ATS; 0-0 SU ( Home)
Champion. 0-0 ATS; 0-0 SU
Divisional 2-2 ATS; 2-2 SU
Wild Card 2-2 ATS; 3-1 SU
Did you know?
This Sunday, two #1 seeds are hosting the title games: SEA and NE. Since 1975, the two #1 seeds have advanced to the SB... 10 out of 39 times.
Only three times in the last 21 years, have the two #1 seeds met in the SB: 1994 DAL - BUF; 2009 NO - IND; 2014 SEA - DEN.
Note: Record with even or negative turnover margin is for 2014 season; home and away (total).
Conference Titles
Sun Jan 18, 3:05 EST FOX
GB@SEA -7 O/U 46.5
Weather: 51-44; 70% Chance of Rain; Wind 19mph
Home;Away: 8-1 ; 4-4
Last matchup: Sep 4, 2014 GB 16 @ 36 SEA
Turnover Margin: SEA +10; GB +14
Even or -TOM: SEA 3-0 (6-2); GB 1-3 (5-3)
SEA O; PT 14; YD 13; P 30; R 1; GA -14; #1YPC; #2TOP; #14YPP; 42 sacks.
GB D; PT 13; YD 15; P 10; R 23; TA +27; #8YPP; #20YPC can't defend run; #30 in plays; #26 in yds, sacks 41.
GB O; PT 1; YD 6; P 8; R 11; GA -13; #1YPP; #10YPC; #5 TOP; Sacks 30
SEA D; PT 1; YD 1; P 1; R 2; TA +24; #2YPC; #3YPP; #2 yds per drive; dominant with only 37 sacks.
If you take care of the ball... no surprise that the #31 GB and #32 SEA teams in turnover pct. are playing in this game.
The four SEA losses (@SD, DAL, @STL, @KC) vs teams committed to the run +30 attempts and +135 yds. Will GB commit to the run? Probably not.
In the season opener, SEA TOP 33-26; Pass 191-175; Rush 207-80; TOM = 1-1 Result SEA 36 - GB 16
Packers since 2008 (Rodgers era) including playoffs (with = or - TOM and):
opponent TOP 31 min+ ; 1-17; on road 0-14
opponent rushed for 40yds+ on road 7-26
and opponent TOP just 25min+ on road 5-22
This is a glimmer of hope, GB with = or +TOM and opponent TOP -30 min and rushed for 40+ yds; on road 7-7. The Packers inability to defend the run is problematic vs the NFL's #1 run game which will hold the rock 30 min+. A less than mobile Rodgers is an even bigger problem vs the NFL's #1 D which should find at least one way for the Packers to lose. Any rain will make matters worse for the air oriented Packers. SEA to win and giving -7.
Sun Jan 18, 6:40 EST CBS
IND@NE -7 O/U 53.5
Weather: 37-26; 70% Chance of Rain; Wind 5mph
Home; Away: 8-1 ; 6-3
Last matchup: Nov 16, 2014 NE 42 @ 20 IND
Turnover Margin: NE +12; IND -5
Even or -TOM: NE 2-0 (5-2); IND 3-3 (9-4)
NE O; PT 4; YD 10; P 9; R 18; GA -13; #17YPP; #22YPC; #16TOP; #4 plays; weak run, 26 sacks
IND D; PT 19; YD 11; P 12; R 18; TA +26; fast pass O has them back on field a lot #1 in time and plays. Sacks 41.
IND O; PT 6; YD 3; P 1; R 22; GA -31; #5YPP; #25YPC; #24TOP; weak run, sacks 29.
NE D; PT 8; YD 13; P 17; R 9; TA +25; #20TOP; #16YPP; #9YPC; 40 sacks
Colts can't run, neither can the Pats, or can they? Who is NE leading rusher? Ridley? Blount? Neither; and who carried 37 times for 199yds @ IND? #3 RB Jonas Gray, that's who. In that game: NE 503 yds; 257 pass; 246 rush; TOP 34 min. Last three matchups: NE 42 @ 20 IND. Jan 14, 2014 IND 22 @ 43 NE; Nov 18, 2012 IND 24 @ 59 NE.
With 13 giveaways, NE has protected the ball. With -5 TOM IND has not. Turnover Pct. NE #30; IND #6. IND since 2012 with = or +TOM 25-5; on road 11-3; with = or -TOM 19-16; on road 6-12. Last week -1 TOM @ DEN. Losing to TOM, how did INDY win? IND has been involved in the two lowest combined total point playoff games; 36 and 37; in both games the Colts TOP 34 min+.
The Colt D stopped CIN and DEN on 1st and 2nd down, forcing 3rd down and 5yd+ allowing only 18% 1st down conversion; 3.05 yds avg with a QB rating of 56, those are SEA like numbers. Easy to do vs Dalton and Manning (with a torn right thigh quad), vs a healthy Brady? for 2014 in above situation: 40% conversion; 5.9 yds avg; QB rating 93. Interesting codicil: With 3rd +5yds to go, CIN nor DEN attempted to run the ball; IMO, Belichick will.
Since 2000, at home: NE losing TOP -26 min and = or + TOM 8-2. Forget everything else... with = or + TOM vs team with winning record 88-6; and favored by 6.5+ 48-3; however, ATS 28-23. Any rain will make matters worse for the passing game. IND getting +7, but NE to win.
Review: SU 2 home favs; 0 road dog; ATS 1 home favs; 1 road dog
SU - straight up; ATS - against the spread; O - offense; D- defense; PT - points; YD - yards;
P - passing; R rushing; TOM - turnover margin; GA - giveaways; TA - takeaways;
TOP - time of possession; YPC - yards per carry; YPP - yards per pass.
This Year
2015 playoffs SU: Home 6-2; Road 2-6; Fav 6-2; Dog 2-6; Home Fav 6-2; Home Dog 0-0; Road Fav 0-0; Road Dog 2-6. Remaining victorious road dogs: IND
2015 playoffs ATS: Home 3-5; Road 5-3 ; Fav 3-5; Dog 5-3; Home Fav 3-5; Home Dog 0-0; Road Fav 0-0; Road Dog 5-3. Remaining victorious home favs: IND, SEA
2015 playoff totals:
WC 43;47;36;44
DIV 66:48;47;37
Our 2015 Playoff Picks ATS 4-4; SU 5-3
SU home favs = 5-2; road dogs 0-1
ATS home favs 2-3; road dogs 2-1
Super Bowl 0-0 ATS; 0-0 SU ( Home)
Champion. 0-0 ATS; 0-0 SU
Divisional 2-2 ATS; 2-2 SU
Wild Card 2-2 ATS; 3-1 SU
Did you know?
This Sunday, two #1 seeds are hosting the title games: SEA and NE. Since 1975, the two #1 seeds have advanced to the SB... 10 out of 39 times.
Only three times in the last 21 years, have the two #1 seeds met in the SB: 1994 DAL - BUF; 2009 NO - IND; 2014 SEA - DEN.
Note: Record with even or negative turnover margin is for 2014 season; home and away (total).
Conference Titles
Sun Jan 18, 3:05 EST FOX
GB@SEA -7 O/U 46.5
Weather: 51-44; 70% Chance of Rain; Wind 19mph
Home;Away: 8-1 ; 4-4
Last matchup: Sep 4, 2014 GB 16 @ 36 SEA
Turnover Margin: SEA +10; GB +14
Even or -TOM: SEA 3-0 (6-2); GB 1-3 (5-3)
SEA O; PT 14; YD 13; P 30; R 1; GA -14; #1YPC; #2TOP; #14YPP; 42 sacks.
GB D; PT 13; YD 15; P 10; R 23; TA +27; #8YPP; #20YPC can't defend run; #30 in plays; #26 in yds, sacks 41.
GB O; PT 1; YD 6; P 8; R 11; GA -13; #1YPP; #10YPC; #5 TOP; Sacks 30
SEA D; PT 1; YD 1; P 1; R 2; TA +24; #2YPC; #3YPP; #2 yds per drive; dominant with only 37 sacks.
If you take care of the ball... no surprise that the #31 GB and #32 SEA teams in turnover pct. are playing in this game.
The four SEA losses (@SD, DAL, @STL, @KC) vs teams committed to the run +30 attempts and +135 yds. Will GB commit to the run? Probably not.
In the season opener, SEA TOP 33-26; Pass 191-175; Rush 207-80; TOM = 1-1 Result SEA 36 - GB 16
Packers since 2008 (Rodgers era) including playoffs (with = or - TOM and):
opponent TOP 31 min+ ; 1-17; on road 0-14
opponent rushed for 40yds+ on road 7-26
and opponent TOP just 25min+ on road 5-22
This is a glimmer of hope, GB with = or +TOM and opponent TOP -30 min and rushed for 40+ yds; on road 7-7. The Packers inability to defend the run is problematic vs the NFL's #1 run game which will hold the rock 30 min+. A less than mobile Rodgers is an even bigger problem vs the NFL's #1 D which should find at least one way for the Packers to lose. Any rain will make matters worse for the air oriented Packers. SEA to win and giving -7.
Sun Jan 18, 6:40 EST CBS
IND@NE -7 O/U 53.5
Weather: 37-26; 70% Chance of Rain; Wind 5mph
Home; Away: 8-1 ; 6-3
Last matchup: Nov 16, 2014 NE 42 @ 20 IND
Turnover Margin: NE +12; IND -5
Even or -TOM: NE 2-0 (5-2); IND 3-3 (9-4)
NE O; PT 4; YD 10; P 9; R 18; GA -13; #17YPP; #22YPC; #16TOP; #4 plays; weak run, 26 sacks
IND D; PT 19; YD 11; P 12; R 18; TA +26; fast pass O has them back on field a lot #1 in time and plays. Sacks 41.
IND O; PT 6; YD 3; P 1; R 22; GA -31; #5YPP; #25YPC; #24TOP; weak run, sacks 29.
NE D; PT 8; YD 13; P 17; R 9; TA +25; #20TOP; #16YPP; #9YPC; 40 sacks
Colts can't run, neither can the Pats, or can they? Who is NE leading rusher? Ridley? Blount? Neither; and who carried 37 times for 199yds @ IND? #3 RB Jonas Gray, that's who. In that game: NE 503 yds; 257 pass; 246 rush; TOP 34 min. Last three matchups: NE 42 @ 20 IND. Jan 14, 2014 IND 22 @ 43 NE; Nov 18, 2012 IND 24 @ 59 NE.
With 13 giveaways, NE has protected the ball. With -5 TOM IND has not. Turnover Pct. NE #30; IND #6. IND since 2012 with = or +TOM 25-5; on road 11-3; with = or -TOM 19-16; on road 6-12. Last week -1 TOM @ DEN. Losing to TOM, how did INDY win? IND has been involved in the two lowest combined total point playoff games; 36 and 37; in both games the Colts TOP 34 min+.
The Colt D stopped CIN and DEN on 1st and 2nd down, forcing 3rd down and 5yd+ allowing only 18% 1st down conversion; 3.05 yds avg with a QB rating of 56, those are SEA like numbers. Easy to do vs Dalton and Manning (with a torn right thigh quad), vs a healthy Brady? for 2014 in above situation: 40% conversion; 5.9 yds avg; QB rating 93. Interesting codicil: With 3rd +5yds to go, CIN nor DEN attempted to run the ball; IMO, Belichick will.
Since 2000, at home: NE losing TOP -26 min and = or + TOM 8-2. Forget everything else... with = or + TOM vs team with winning record 88-6; and favored by 6.5+ 48-3; however, ATS 28-23. Any rain will make matters worse for the passing game. IND getting +7, but NE to win.
Review: SU 2 home favs; 0 road dog; ATS 1 home favs; 1 road dog
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