NCAA 2014-15 CFP Championship
Last updated 01/14/2015 7:00AM EST.
Done (39 games) finished at 22-17 (56%) ATS with our BOLD "locks" at 7-2 (77%). Please see original post for the pick'em result grid.
Stats
Ohio St O 77 TD's; 41 Pass; 36 Rush; -11 FUM; -11 INT;
510yds; Rush 262; YPC 5.84; Pass 248; YPA 8.98; YPP 14.2
Oregon D - Scored 4 TD's; Allowed 17 Rush; 20 Pass;
406yds; Rush 156;YPC 4.15; Pass 265; YPA 6.67;YPP 11.11
FUM +18; INT +12
Oregon O 84 TD's; 42 Pass; 42 Rush; -7 FUM; -3 INT
553yds; Rush 242;YPC 5.54; Pass 311; YPA 9.99;YPP 14.42
Ohio St D - Scored 7 TD's; Allowed 24 Rush; 15 Pass;
333yds; Rush 142;YPC 3.94; Pass 191; YPA 5.87;YPP 10.65
FUM +8; INT +24
Notes: The Buckeyes defense will not stop the Ducks, but it might slow them down. Ohio State might not give the Ducks five turnovers like Florida State did (four in the 3Q alone, how often does that happen?). The Ducks might not get 10 points on a short field from the Buckeyes as Bama did. IMO, maybe two TO's a piece in this one. For what its worth TOM = Oregon +20; Ohio St +10; giving the Ducks an opportunistic advantage.
Blake Sims and Bama are not slouches, but judging from the SEC bowl results overall 7-5 with top 6 teams 2-4, maybe Bama was overrated? It's all relative as Florida State had only 17 sacks and I could get open in their secondary.
Oregon has 36 sacks with 12 picks, not bad. The Buckeyes have 43 sacks with 24 picks and only allow 5.87 yds per pass attempt. The high number of sacks; int ratio and low YPP means the Buckeyes put a lot of pressure on opposing QB's. But has the Buckeye D seen anything like Super Mario and the Ducks? It could also be said that the Ducks have not seen a pass defense like the Buckeyes. That's why they play the games and pollsters should never be trusted.
The Buckeye's managed to overcome digging an early hole against the Tide, that would be fatal against the Ducks. If the Buckeye's balanced ball control offense can score and play keep away, while the defense slows down the Duck's, things could get interesting. One thing I do know, this is going to be an insanely great game to watch. Oregon -7 is dirt cheap and seems almost too good to be true, as in a sucker bet. The model also likes the Buckeyes, but not enough to make it a BOLD lock. Out on a limb, I am taking Ohio State +7, and Oregon to win.
Post game notes from the Semi's: Knew Oregon would win, did not expect a "Spinks" cave-in. Five 2nd half turnovers (4 in Q3), by the Seminoles leading to 5 Duck TD's while "Puddles" was dancing up a storm. It was like watching Germany pound Brazil senseless 7-0. Knew the Buckeyes would make a game of it, did not expect them to outplay the Tide from the Q1 on. That's why they play the game and your supposed to settle it not by voting, but on the field. Makes you wonder about all those other rotisserie or fantasy league "National Champions" that the poll-iticos have handed trophies over these many years of pretend and make believe. Doesn't it? I feel for TCU and can't wait for eight or more teams to make it real and legit. Gonna be a hell of a Rose Bowl, er, title game.
Done (39 games) finished at 22-17 (56%) ATS with our BOLD "locks" at 7-2 (77%). Please see original post for the pick'em result grid.
Stats
Ohio St O 77 TD's; 41 Pass; 36 Rush; -11 FUM; -11 INT;
510yds; Rush 262; YPC 5.84; Pass 248; YPA 8.98; YPP 14.2
Oregon D - Scored 4 TD's; Allowed 17 Rush; 20 Pass;
406yds; Rush 156;YPC 4.15; Pass 265; YPA 6.67;YPP 11.11
FUM +18; INT +12
Oregon O 84 TD's; 42 Pass; 42 Rush; -7 FUM; -3 INT
553yds; Rush 242;YPC 5.54; Pass 311; YPA 9.99;YPP 14.42
Ohio St D - Scored 7 TD's; Allowed 24 Rush; 15 Pass;
333yds; Rush 142;YPC 3.94; Pass 191; YPA 5.87;YPP 10.65
FUM +8; INT +24
Notes: The Buckeyes defense will not stop the Ducks, but it might slow them down. Ohio State might not give the Ducks five turnovers like Florida State did (four in the 3Q alone, how often does that happen?). The Ducks might not get 10 points on a short field from the Buckeyes as Bama did. IMO, maybe two TO's a piece in this one. For what its worth TOM = Oregon +20; Ohio St +10; giving the Ducks an opportunistic advantage.
Blake Sims and Bama are not slouches, but judging from the SEC bowl results overall 7-5 with top 6 teams 2-4, maybe Bama was overrated? It's all relative as Florida State had only 17 sacks and I could get open in their secondary.
Oregon has 36 sacks with 12 picks, not bad. The Buckeyes have 43 sacks with 24 picks and only allow 5.87 yds per pass attempt. The high number of sacks; int ratio and low YPP means the Buckeyes put a lot of pressure on opposing QB's. But has the Buckeye D seen anything like Super Mario and the Ducks? It could also be said that the Ducks have not seen a pass defense like the Buckeyes. That's why they play the games and pollsters should never be trusted.
The Buckeye's managed to overcome digging an early hole against the Tide, that would be fatal against the Ducks. If the Buckeye's balanced ball control offense can score and play keep away, while the defense slows down the Duck's, things could get interesting. One thing I do know, this is going to be an insanely great game to watch. Oregon -7 is dirt cheap and seems almost too good to be true, as in a sucker bet. The model also likes the Buckeyes, but not enough to make it a BOLD lock. Out on a limb, I am taking Ohio State +7, and Oregon to win.
Post game notes from the Semi's: Knew Oregon would win, did not expect a "Spinks" cave-in. Five 2nd half turnovers (4 in Q3), by the Seminoles leading to 5 Duck TD's while "Puddles" was dancing up a storm. It was like watching Germany pound Brazil senseless 7-0. Knew the Buckeyes would make a game of it, did not expect them to outplay the Tide from the Q1 on. That's why they play the game and your supposed to settle it not by voting, but on the field. Makes you wonder about all those other rotisserie or fantasy league "National Champions" that the poll-iticos have handed trophies over these many years of pretend and make believe. Doesn't it? I feel for TCU and can't wait for eight or more teams to make it real and legit. Gonna be a hell of a Rose Bowl, er, title game.
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