2018 NFL Week 3 Picks Against The Spread
Rather than Thursday's in the Loo, it's time for NFL Football picks in the toilet.... putting that seat or content down loading time to good use?
Week 1 7- 8- 1 44%; Locks 3- 1- 1 60%; 3.5 pts
Week 2 7- 9- 0 44%; Locks 3- 2- 0 60%; 3.0 pts
YTD 14- 17- 1 44%; Locks 6- 3- 1 60%; 6.5 pts
And if you think we are blowing badly, better check out the public's YTD record on the number and all of our expert competition from last year. Moving West...
During pre season, if anybody said after two weeks that JAX would be 2-0 and in 1st place, one might have said perhaps? How about CIN, DEN, KC, MIA and TB OR just all the teams in FLA would be....
Undefeated and alone in 1st place? One might have been asked to cut back and share some of what they were smoking?
Probabilities of going 2-0... Team (Wk1 Prob Win) (Wk2 Prob Win) = Prob.
JAX (.58) (.44) = .255
MIA (.52) (.39) = .203
TB (.26) (.37) = .096
CIN (.50) (.50) = .250
DEN (.46) (.63) = .290
KC (.44) (.42) = .185
Prob for all three FLA teams to be undefeated = rounded .0050 or 200 to 1
Prob for all five unlikely teams (less JAX) = .00025 or 4000 to 1
Shaking our head in utter disbelief while lighting up some of that... shall we continue to utilize a double headed wooden nickel in making our selections? Perhaps...
That's life, that's what all the bookies say, you're ridin high pre game, shot down by late Sunday....
TNF
NYJ @ CLE -1.5 LOCK Our 1st pick comment of the year. Hue Stains are WAY OVERDUE.
Early
IND @ PHI -5.5 LOCK
CIN @ CAR -2.5 LOCK
TEN @ JAX -6.5
NO @ ATL -2.5 LOCK
DEN @ BAL -3.5
NYG @ HOU -3
OAK @ MIA -3
GB -2 @ WAS LOCK
BUF @ MIN -15.5
SF @ KC -3
Late
LAC @ LAR -6
CHI -3 @ ARZ
DAL +3 @ SEA
SNF
NE -6 @ DET
MNF
PIT @ TB +4
Pick
Spread info courtesy of VegasInsider, OddsShark, Covers, and the Westgate Advance Line can be found here and here.
Although the line differs on occasion from the links above, try Jeff Sherman's Twitter feed, as the manager of the Westgate Super Book, he might just know a little sumpin.
For excellent insight, we recommend referring to Case Keefer at the Las Vegas Sun, as he knows a little sumpin, sumpin.
Stats and ATS (Against The Spread) courtesy of the indispensable Pro Football Reference
Roster and Depth Chart info courtesy of OurLads
Additional stats and graphics courtesy of Sharp Football Stats
Disclaimer
Use the information provided here at your own risk. This information is presented for informational and entertainment purposes only and is not intended to be used to make any sort of investing or gambling decisions. We do not promote or encourage illegal, underage or any type of gambling.
Week 1 7- 8- 1 44%; Locks 3- 1- 1 60%; 3.5 pts
Week 2 7- 9- 0 44%; Locks 3- 2- 0 60%; 3.0 pts
YTD 14- 17- 1 44%; Locks 6- 3- 1 60%; 6.5 pts
And if you think we are blowing badly, better check out the public's YTD record on the number and all of our expert competition from last year. Moving West...
During pre season, if anybody said after two weeks that JAX would be 2-0 and in 1st place, one might have said perhaps? How about CIN, DEN, KC, MIA and TB OR just all the teams in FLA would be....
Undefeated and alone in 1st place? One might have been asked to cut back and share some of what they were smoking?
Probabilities of going 2-0... Team (Wk1 Prob Win) (Wk2 Prob Win) = Prob.
JAX (.58) (.44) = .255
MIA (.52) (.39) = .203
TB (.26) (.37) = .096
CIN (.50) (.50) = .250
DEN (.46) (.63) = .290
KC (.44) (.42) = .185
Prob for all three FLA teams to be undefeated = rounded .0050 or 200 to 1
Prob for all five unlikely teams (less JAX) = .00025 or 4000 to 1
Shaking our head in utter disbelief while lighting up some of that... shall we continue to utilize a double headed wooden nickel in making our selections? Perhaps...
That's life, that's what all the bookies say, you're ridin high pre game, shot down by late Sunday....
TNF
NYJ @ CLE -1.5 LOCK Our 1st pick comment of the year. Hue Stains are WAY OVERDUE.
Early
IND @ PHI -5.5 LOCK
CIN @ CAR -2.5 LOCK
TEN @ JAX -6.5
NO @ ATL -2.5 LOCK
DEN @ BAL -3.5
NYG @ HOU -3
OAK @ MIA -3
GB -2 @ WAS LOCK
BUF @ MIN -15.5
SF @ KC -3
Late
LAC @ LAR -6
CHI -3 @ ARZ
DAL +3 @ SEA
SNF
NE -6 @ DET
PIT @ TB +4
Pick
Fav H11 R3
Dog H1 R1
Dog H1 R1
Home 12; Road 4
Resources
Resources
Spread info courtesy of VegasInsider, OddsShark, Covers, and the Westgate Advance Line can be found here and here.
Although the line differs on occasion from the links above, try Jeff Sherman's Twitter feed, as the manager of the Westgate Super Book, he might just know a little sumpin.
For excellent insight, we recommend referring to Case Keefer at the Las Vegas Sun, as he knows a little sumpin, sumpin.
Stats and ATS (Against The Spread) courtesy of the indispensable Pro Football Reference
Roster and Depth Chart info courtesy of OurLads
Additional stats and graphics courtesy of Sharp Football Stats
Disclaimer
Use the information provided here at your own risk. This information is presented for informational and entertainment purposes only and is not intended to be used to make any sort of investing or gambling decisions. We do not promote or encourage illegal, underage or any type of gambling.
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