2015 NFL Playoffs - Divisional
Legend
SU - straight up; ATS - against the spread; O - offense; D- defense; PT - points; YD - yards;
P - passing; R rushing; TOM - turnover margin; GA - giveaways; TA - takeaways;
TOP - time of possession; YPC - yards per carry; YPP - yards per pass.
This Year
2015 playoffs SU: Home 3-1; Road 1-3; Fav 3-1; Dog 1-3; Home Fav 3-1; Home Dog 0-0; Road Fav 0-0; Road Dog 1-3.
2015 playoffs ATS: Home 2-2; Road 2-2 ; Fav 2-2; Dog 2-2; Home Fav 2-2; Home Dog 0-0; Road Fav 0-0; Road Dog 2-2.
2015 playoff totals: (43;47;36;44)
Our 2015 Playoff Picks ATS 2-2; SU 3-1
SU 4 home favs = 3-1; ATS 2 road dogs 1-1; 2 home favs 1-1
Super Bowl 0-0 ATS; 0-0 SU ( Home)
Champion. 0-0 ATS; 0-0 SU
Divisional 0-0 ATS; 0-0 SU
Wild Card 2-2 ATS; 3-1 SU
Divisional
Note: Record with even or negative turnover margin is for 2014 season; home and away (total).
Sat Jan 10, 4:35 EST NBC
BAL@NE -7 O/U 47.5
Weather: 25-14; Clear; 0% Precip; Wind 14mph
Home; Away: 7-1 ; 5-4
Last matchup: Dec 22, 2013 NE 41 @ BAL 7
Turnover Margin: NE +12; BAL +4
Even or -TOM: NE 2-0 (5-2); BAL 4-3 (6-4)
NE O; PT 4; YD 11; P 9; R 18; GA -13; #17 YPP; #22 YPC; #16 TOP; weak run, 26 sacks
BAL D; PT 6; YD 8; P 23; R 4; TA +25; #3YPC: #28TOP, 49 sacks
BAL O; PT 8; YD 12; P 13; R 8; GA -21; Balanced possession, 19 sacks
NE D; PT 8; YD 13; P 17; R 9; TA +25; #20TOP; #16YPP; #9YPC; 40 sacks
Last week road dog Ravens +2 TOM; in playoffs @ NE 2-1 with TOM +7; Pat's QB Brady in 3 playoff games vs Ravens, pass att. 15 yds+; 6-23; 0 TD; 5 picks. Expect the Patriot's to dink and dunk.
With 13 giveaways, NE has protected the ball. Can they vs Ravens D that will crowd the short (under 15 yd) pass? With ball control passing NE should control the rock +TOP; and with even TOM; Patriot's to win and giving -7.
Sat Jan 10, 8:15 EST FOX
CAR@SEA -10.5 O/U 40
Weather: 46; Cloudy; 0% Precip; Wind 4mph
Home;Away: 7-1 ; 3-4-1
Last matchup: Oct 26, 2014 SEA 13 @CAR 9
Turnover Margin: SEA +10; CAR +3;
Even or -TOM: SEA 3-0 (6-2); CAR 0-4 (1-8)
SEA O; PT 10; YD 9; P 27; R 1; GA -14; #1YPC; #2TOP; #14YPP; 42 sacks.
CAR D; PT 21; YD 10; P 11; R 16; TA+29; #6TOP; #27YPC;
gives up points, not yards, paying for turnovers, 42 sacks.
CAR O; PT 19; YD 16; P 19; R 7; GA -26; #4TOP; #22YPP; run possession, 40 sacks.
SEA D; PT 1; YD 1; P 1; R 3; TA +24; #2YPC; #3YPP; #2 yds per drive; speed dominant with only 37 sacks.
Since week 11, the Panthers have the #2 D in NFL but they give up YPC. The Panthers came close at home vs Seahawks earlier this year. When CAR are even or negative turnover margin, they find ways to lose.
2 home losses in the last 2 seasons. The NFL's #1 rushing team should hold the rock and the NFL's #1 D will find some ways for the Panthers to lose. Barring special teams or a shortened field, I would be surprised if CAR scores an offensive TD. Seahawk's to win and giving -10.5.
Sun Jan11, 1:05PM EST FOX
DAL@GB -7 O/U 52.5
Weather: 16; Cloudy; 10% Precip; Wind 13mph
Home; Away: 8-0 ; 8-0
Last matchup: Dec 15, 2013 GB 37 @ DAL 36
Turnover Margin: GB +14; DAL +8
Even or -TOM: GB 3-0 (4-3) DAL 2-0 (3-4)
GB O; PT 1; YD 6; P 8; R 11; GA -13; #1YPP; #10YPC; #5 TOP; Sacks 30
DAL D; PT 15; YD 19; P 26; R 8; TA +34; #17YPC; #27YPP; #28 yds per drive; sacks 28.
DAL O; PT 5; YD 7; P 16; R 2; GA -26; #3TOP; grind it out; sacks 30.
GB D; PT 13; YD 15; P 10; R 23; TA +27; #8YPP; #20YPC can't defend run; #30 in drive plays; sacks 41.
DAL opponents too busy passing to bother running. GB opponents too busy running to bother passing. DAL is 8-0 away, against? Griffin, Eli, Bortles, Cutler, Davis, Sanchez, Locker, Wilson. Find the "passer" in that group. Stafford just gave them fits, what will Mr. Rodgers do to them? Sweet Sixteen? How many games Mr. Rodgers has played at home without a pick.
Unlike the Lions, Packers coach McCarthy will have a balanced attack, at -7 GB is seemingly a bargain. Pokes have a chance if they run, hold the rock +TOP; even TOM and play keep away. Packers since 2008 (Rodgers era) including playoffs; = or -TOM; opponent rushed for 120+ yds; 4-18; at home 2-7. Out on a limb, lets say the Pokes don't get in a hole and stick with the run. I'll take a flyer, Pokes getting +7 and to win a "shocker".
Sun Jan 11, 4:40 EST CBS
IND@DEN -7 O/U 54
Weather: 30; Cloudy; 0% Precip; Wind 5mph
Home; Away: 8-0 ; 5-3
Last matchup: Sep 7, 2014 IND 24 @DEN 31
Turnover Margin: DEN +5; IND -5
Even or -TOM: DEN 4-0 (4-4); IND 2-3 (7-4)
DEN O; PT 2; YD 4; P 4; R 15; GA -20; Potent fast #24 TOP with #4 pass attack; Sacks 17
IND D; PT 19; YD 11; P 12; R 18; TA +27; fast pass O has them back on field a lot #1 in time and plays. Sacks 41.
IND O; PT 6; YD 3; P 1; R 22; GA -32; #5YPP; #23TOP; weak run, sacks 29.
DEN D; PT 16; YD 3; P 9; R 2; TA +25; #1YPP; #4TOP; #1 Avg Drive Yds; Sacks 41
Colt D spends a lot of time on the field and gives up a lot of plays. Colts came close opening day, -2 road TOM killed them. Bunco O-line protects Manning, they will literally "run" by Colt D for TD's.
The Bunco D spends a lot of time on the field and holds opponents to low yardage. Colts can't run, DEN #2 run D, so Bunco's can focus on the pass. If Colt's lose TOM, this game could get ugly early. Bronco's to win and giving -7.
Review: SU 3 home favs; 1 road dog; ATS 3 home favs; 1 road dog
SU - straight up; ATS - against the spread; O - offense; D- defense; PT - points; YD - yards;
P - passing; R rushing; TOM - turnover margin; GA - giveaways; TA - takeaways;
TOP - time of possession; YPC - yards per carry; YPP - yards per pass.
This Year
2015 playoffs SU: Home 3-1; Road 1-3; Fav 3-1; Dog 1-3; Home Fav 3-1; Home Dog 0-0; Road Fav 0-0; Road Dog 1-3.
2015 playoffs ATS: Home 2-2; Road 2-2 ; Fav 2-2; Dog 2-2; Home Fav 2-2; Home Dog 0-0; Road Fav 0-0; Road Dog 2-2.
2015 playoff totals: (43;47;36;44)
Our 2015 Playoff Picks ATS 2-2; SU 3-1
SU 4 home favs = 3-1; ATS 2 road dogs 1-1; 2 home favs 1-1
Super Bowl 0-0 ATS; 0-0 SU ( Home)
Champion. 0-0 ATS; 0-0 SU
Divisional 0-0 ATS; 0-0 SU
Wild Card 2-2 ATS; 3-1 SU
Divisional
Note: Record with even or negative turnover margin is for 2014 season; home and away (total).
Sat Jan 10, 4:35 EST NBC
BAL@NE -7 O/U 47.5
Weather: 25-14; Clear; 0% Precip; Wind 14mph
Home; Away: 7-1 ; 5-4
Last matchup: Dec 22, 2013 NE 41 @ BAL 7
Turnover Margin: NE +12; BAL +4
Even or -TOM: NE 2-0 (5-2); BAL 4-3 (6-4)
NE O; PT 4; YD 11; P 9; R 18; GA -13; #17 YPP; #22 YPC; #16 TOP; weak run, 26 sacks
BAL D; PT 6; YD 8; P 23; R 4; TA +25; #3YPC: #28TOP, 49 sacks
BAL O; PT 8; YD 12; P 13; R 8; GA -21; Balanced possession, 19 sacks
NE D; PT 8; YD 13; P 17; R 9; TA +25; #20TOP; #16YPP; #9YPC; 40 sacks
Last week road dog Ravens +2 TOM; in playoffs @ NE 2-1 with TOM +7; Pat's QB Brady in 3 playoff games vs Ravens, pass att. 15 yds+; 6-23; 0 TD; 5 picks. Expect the Patriot's to dink and dunk.
With 13 giveaways, NE has protected the ball. Can they vs Ravens D that will crowd the short (under 15 yd) pass? With ball control passing NE should control the rock +TOP; and with even TOM; Patriot's to win and giving -7.
Sat Jan 10, 8:15 EST FOX
CAR@SEA -10.5 O/U 40
Weather: 46; Cloudy; 0% Precip; Wind 4mph
Home;Away: 7-1 ; 3-4-1
Last matchup: Oct 26, 2014 SEA 13 @CAR 9
Turnover Margin: SEA +10; CAR +3;
Even or -TOM: SEA 3-0 (6-2); CAR 0-4 (1-8)
SEA O; PT 10; YD 9; P 27; R 1; GA -14; #1YPC; #2TOP; #14YPP; 42 sacks.
CAR D; PT 21; YD 10; P 11; R 16; TA+29; #6TOP; #27YPC;
gives up points, not yards, paying for turnovers, 42 sacks.
CAR O; PT 19; YD 16; P 19; R 7; GA -26; #4TOP; #22YPP; run possession, 40 sacks.
SEA D; PT 1; YD 1; P 1; R 3; TA +24; #2YPC; #3YPP; #2 yds per drive; speed dominant with only 37 sacks.
Since week 11, the Panthers have the #2 D in NFL but they give up YPC. The Panthers came close at home vs Seahawks earlier this year. When CAR are even or negative turnover margin, they find ways to lose.
2 home losses in the last 2 seasons. The NFL's #1 rushing team should hold the rock and the NFL's #1 D will find some ways for the Panthers to lose. Barring special teams or a shortened field, I would be surprised if CAR scores an offensive TD. Seahawk's to win and giving -10.5.
Sun Jan11, 1:05PM EST FOX
DAL@GB -7 O/U 52.5
Weather: 16; Cloudy; 10% Precip; Wind 13mph
Home; Away: 8-0 ; 8-0
Last matchup: Dec 15, 2013 GB 37 @ DAL 36
Turnover Margin: GB +14; DAL +8
Even or -TOM: GB 3-0 (4-3) DAL 2-0 (3-4)
GB O; PT 1; YD 6; P 8; R 11; GA -13; #1YPP; #10YPC; #5 TOP; Sacks 30
DAL D; PT 15; YD 19; P 26; R 8; TA +34; #17YPC; #27YPP; #28 yds per drive; sacks 28.
DAL O; PT 5; YD 7; P 16; R 2; GA -26; #3TOP; grind it out; sacks 30.
GB D; PT 13; YD 15; P 10; R 23; TA +27; #8YPP; #20YPC can't defend run; #30 in drive plays; sacks 41.
DAL opponents too busy passing to bother running. GB opponents too busy running to bother passing. DAL is 8-0 away, against? Griffin, Eli, Bortles, Cutler, Davis, Sanchez, Locker, Wilson. Find the "passer" in that group. Stafford just gave them fits, what will Mr. Rodgers do to them? Sweet Sixteen? How many games Mr. Rodgers has played at home without a pick.
Unlike the Lions, Packers coach McCarthy will have a balanced attack, at -7 GB is seemingly a bargain. Pokes have a chance if they run, hold the rock +TOP; even TOM and play keep away. Packers since 2008 (Rodgers era) including playoffs; = or -TOM; opponent rushed for 120+ yds; 4-18; at home 2-7. Out on a limb, lets say the Pokes don't get in a hole and stick with the run. I'll take a flyer, Pokes getting +7 and to win a "shocker".
Sun Jan 11, 4:40 EST CBS
IND@DEN -7 O/U 54
Weather: 30; Cloudy; 0% Precip; Wind 5mph
Home; Away: 8-0 ; 5-3
Last matchup: Sep 7, 2014 IND 24 @DEN 31
Turnover Margin: DEN +5; IND -5
Even or -TOM: DEN 4-0 (4-4); IND 2-3 (7-4)
DEN O; PT 2; YD 4; P 4; R 15; GA -20; Potent fast #24 TOP with #4 pass attack; Sacks 17
IND D; PT 19; YD 11; P 12; R 18; TA +27; fast pass O has them back on field a lot #1 in time and plays. Sacks 41.
IND O; PT 6; YD 3; P 1; R 22; GA -32; #5YPP; #23TOP; weak run, sacks 29.
DEN D; PT 16; YD 3; P 9; R 2; TA +25; #1YPP; #4TOP; #1 Avg Drive Yds; Sacks 41
Colt D spends a lot of time on the field and gives up a lot of plays. Colts came close opening day, -2 road TOM killed them. Bunco O-line protects Manning, they will literally "run" by Colt D for TD's.
The Bunco D spends a lot of time on the field and holds opponents to low yardage. Colts can't run, DEN #2 run D, so Bunco's can focus on the pass. If Colt's lose TOM, this game could get ugly early. Bronco's to win and giving -7.
Review: SU 3 home favs; 1 road dog; ATS 3 home favs; 1 road dog
Comments