Peak What? Christmastime in Hell? Part 4

Summary

  • A multi part examination of the interrelationship of Oil, Energy, Commodities, BRIC's, Emerging Markets.
  • Bonds, Dollar Denominated Debt, Forex Reserves, Reverse Repo, Dollar Swaps, HQLA, Monetary Aggregates, Market Liquidity.
  • Syndicated Lending, CDO's, CLO's, Carry Trades, Leveraged Loans, Offshore Dollar Banking and Off Balance Sheet Obligations.
In Part 4, we examine:
  • Oil production exposure
  • Oil producing sovereign budgets
  • Foreign, EM and BRIC dollar debt exposure
  • More EM and BRIC dollar carry trade
Production Exposure
Charles Hugh Smith: "Supply can be turned off easily enough, but it can't be expanded as easily. Existing production declines without constant injections of capital and expertise. Oil fields need huge investments of capital to maintain high production."
Chart below courtesy of Charles Hugh Smith. A common sense guide to the economics behind production level declines which have been known to cause squirrely market reactions.

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