NFL Losing To TOM (Turn Over Margin) - Part 3
As promised in Part 2, and Championship Sunday Results, we would come back to this... in this years championship games, both road teams PIT and GB had deficit or negative TOM differential at -2.
Turning the ball over 2 more times than your opponent on the road in the playoffs, you lose 96.2% of the time.
Did You Know?
Since the 1970 merger, road teams in the playoffs, with TOM -3 or greater have, drum roll please.... won 1 out of 76 games for a 1.3% chance of winning or 98.7% chance of losing.
The only team to overcome such a TOM deficit on the road in the playoffs: Defending SB Champion 1977 Raiders @ Baltimore Colts, with a -4 TOM, winning 37-31 in OT.
The following week those Raiders got sloppy one too many times. A -2 TOM at Denver cost OAK a return trip to the SB with a 20-17 loss to the Craig Morton led Buncos. No coincidence...
The 77 Dallas Cowboy team that beat those Buncos in Super Bowl XII, are the team which holds the single season record for playoff takeaways at 19 over 3 games, during which the Poke's had 7 TO's for a positive TOM differential of +12.
The sloppiest team in playoff history: the 1992 Buffalo Bills hold that distinction with a hat trick:
1. the most single year playoff turnovers with 12 over 4 playoff games, while going 3-1 and losing 52-17 in SB XVII to Dallas.
2. In said SB, the Bison had a single playoff game record 9 turnovers and...
3. the single playoff game record negative TOM differential at -8.
No coincidence, that 92 Cowboy team which beat the Bison, hold the single season record for best playoff turn over margin or TOM at +13, beating their 77 counterparts by +1.
Below is really why, the Bills did not win a Super Bowl.
All of our calculations provided courtesy of the statistical wizards at Pro Football Reference.
Turning the ball over 2 more times than your opponent on the road in the playoffs, you lose 96.2% of the time.
Did You Know?
Since the 1970 merger, road teams in the playoffs, with TOM -3 or greater have, drum roll please.... won 1 out of 76 games for a 1.3% chance of winning or 98.7% chance of losing.
The only team to overcome such a TOM deficit on the road in the playoffs: Defending SB Champion 1977 Raiders @ Baltimore Colts, with a -4 TOM, winning 37-31 in OT.
The following week those Raiders got sloppy one too many times. A -2 TOM at Denver cost OAK a return trip to the SB with a 20-17 loss to the Craig Morton led Buncos. No coincidence...
The 77 Dallas Cowboy team that beat those Buncos in Super Bowl XII, are the team which holds the single season record for playoff takeaways at 19 over 3 games, during which the Poke's had 7 TO's for a positive TOM differential of +12.
The sloppiest team in playoff history: the 1992 Buffalo Bills hold that distinction with a hat trick:
1. the most single year playoff turnovers with 12 over 4 playoff games, while going 3-1 and losing 52-17 in SB XVII to Dallas.
2. In said SB, the Bison had a single playoff game record 9 turnovers and...
3. the single playoff game record negative TOM differential at -8.
No coincidence, that 92 Cowboy team which beat the Bison, hold the single season record for best playoff turn over margin or TOM at +13, beating their 77 counterparts by +1.
Below is really why, the Bills did not win a Super Bowl.
All of our calculations provided courtesy of the statistical wizards at Pro Football Reference.
Comments