NFL 2016 Playoffs Super Bowl LI
Following up on NFL 2016 Playoffs Championship Sunday predictions... all match up stats in Yards Per Attempt, provided by the data wizards at Pro Football Reference. All times Eastern.
We sensed ATL and NE, yet went sentimental with the hot road dogs PIT and GB. Nothing sentimental remains as its all business this week.
Sunday Feb 5th, 2017 6:30PM FOX
NRG Stadium - Houston, Texas
#1 NE Patriots (16-2; Road 8-0) vs. #2 ATL Falcons (13-5 Road 6-2)
Weather: Dome Perfect
Spread NE -3 OU 59
ATL Offense Run #5 4.6; Pass #1 8.2 Sacked 40 TO: 11 TODiff +15
NE Defense Run #8 3.9; Pass #8 6.0 Sacks 37 Takeaway: 28
NE Offense Run #25 3.9 Pass #3 7.5 Sacked 28 TO: 14 TODiff: +14
ATL Defense Run #26 4.5 Pass #12 6.2 Sacks 39 Takeaway: 26
In both Patriot playoff games, despite committing multiple turnovers, deep into the third quarter, both the Texans and Steelers were alive and within striking distance. Yes, the Pats eventually put their opponents out of their misery, but not without great difficulty.
A feeble Texan offense is one thing but NE got lucky in the title game, as Riveters RB Le'Veon Bell left with an early groin injury and did not return. This left a one dimensional offense and Antonio Brown to be held by the Pats to seven receptions for 77 yards and 17 points.
In their two playoff games the Pats waxed a less than impressive 9-7 Texan team and beat up a hot Steeler team, by a combined 70-33. Brady has thrown for 653 yds, 5 TD's with 2 picks. The Pats have committed three turnovers while getting five takeaways and lost TOP -5 mins vs HOU, +3 mins vs PIT for net -2. Regarding the Pats sloppy three turnovers vs the Texans: A team taking advantage of TOM (not Brady), would have eaten the Pats alive.
The Dirty Birds literally BROKE the Legion of Boom into pieces fit for a pigeon, then WIPED the turf of the Georgia Dome with Mr. Rodgers and the red hot Sausage Stuffers. Atlanta are red Hot-lanta, seemingly unstoppable on offense, and their underrated defense seems to be jelling at the right time.
Much like a pick up truck running over a rooster, both ATL playoff games were over by the mid point of the 2nd quarter. The Falcons did not pause as they effortlessly blew out two hot NFL teams for the remainder of the game by a combined 80-41. Private Ryan has thrown for 730 yards, 7 TD's with no picks, as ATL won TOP +7 min vs SEA; +7 min vs GB for a net +14.
As opposed to NE, the Falcons have gotten 4 takeaways, while committing ZERO turnovers. This game is going to be a game of keep away. Both teams will use the pass to set up the run in an attempt to win TOP (Time of Possession) and keep their defense fresher. Baring turnovers, this makes the OVER at 59, problematic.
If the Patriots do not play turnover free, or get the benefit of some special teams plays or takeaways, its going to be a long day for Belichick's statistically superior defense. Double teaming Falcon WR Jones will only expose the Pats highly rated pass D to the multiple weapons which are at Private Ryan's disposal.
For NE, RB Blount and O-line have to come up with +100yds rushing, as the order of the day is keep the Dirty Birds offense off the field and defense on the field. Those ATL defensive schemes will be problematic as ATL head coach Dan Quinn, was the Seahawks defensive coordinator in SB 48 and 49 (vs Patriots).
Since the Dirty Bird D does not have the Squawk defensive personnel, my sense is that Belichick will attempt to run the ball far more than ATL will. Of course, Ryan and Co will be challenged by a NE D that is #1 in fewest points allowed and does not have a patch work (SEA) or swiss cheese secondary (GB).
With the public sentiment that the Dirty Birds don't really have a chance to win, there is a reason the Pats are not favored by much. Appropriate pricing at -6 or -7 would move money towards the Falcons and the book could take a bath. With the line seemingly priced cheap for the Pats at -3, this allows the book to keep the money flow even, paying the winners with the losers money.
Both teams must avoid losing to TOM (turn over margin), as any turnovers will be costly and could be blowout fatal. Despite, Brady, Belichick and a record 9th Super Bowl appearance, and even if All-World TE Gronkowski were healthy and could play, I seriously doubt the Brady Bunch could keep up. The 2nd coming of Dan Fouts and Air Coryell , channeled by Private Ryan, Jones and Co. cannot be denied.
Setting our line: Pick 'em on a neutral field. Yet, we sense the Falcons up early and potentially leading by double digits, so we will "fade" the public sentiment. Our pick, underdog ATL+3 ATS and SU moneyline +130.
Since we are an atrocious ATS 5-5 SU 6-4, DON'T take our word for anything. You would be better off flipping a coin or abiding by the CBS EA Sports Madden 17 Sim which predicted a NE 30-20 victory.
But wait, there is a glimmer of hope, you could wait for Yowie the Dog's prediction, as said canine is a perfect 10-0 in this years playoffs. Her methodology proves, this isn't rocket science and she's got a bone to pick. Must see TV indeed.
We sensed ATL and NE, yet went sentimental with the hot road dogs PIT and GB. Nothing sentimental remains as its all business this week.
Sunday Feb 5th, 2017 6:30PM FOX
NRG Stadium - Houston, Texas
#1 NE Patriots (16-2; Road 8-0) vs. #2 ATL Falcons (13-5 Road 6-2)
Weather: Dome Perfect
Spread NE -3 OU 59
ATL Offense Run #5 4.6; Pass #1 8.2 Sacked 40 TO: 11 TODiff +15
NE Defense Run #8 3.9; Pass #8 6.0 Sacks 37 Takeaway: 28
NE Offense Run #25 3.9 Pass #3 7.5 Sacked 28 TO: 14 TODiff: +14
ATL Defense Run #26 4.5 Pass #12 6.2 Sacks 39 Takeaway: 26
In both Patriot playoff games, despite committing multiple turnovers, deep into the third quarter, both the Texans and Steelers were alive and within striking distance. Yes, the Pats eventually put their opponents out of their misery, but not without great difficulty.
A feeble Texan offense is one thing but NE got lucky in the title game, as Riveters RB Le'Veon Bell left with an early groin injury and did not return. This left a one dimensional offense and Antonio Brown to be held by the Pats to seven receptions for 77 yards and 17 points.
In their two playoff games the Pats waxed a less than impressive 9-7 Texan team and beat up a hot Steeler team, by a combined 70-33. Brady has thrown for 653 yds, 5 TD's with 2 picks. The Pats have committed three turnovers while getting five takeaways and lost TOP -5 mins vs HOU, +3 mins vs PIT for net -2. Regarding the Pats sloppy three turnovers vs the Texans: A team taking advantage of TOM (not Brady), would have eaten the Pats alive.
The Dirty Birds literally BROKE the Legion of Boom into pieces fit for a pigeon, then WIPED the turf of the Georgia Dome with Mr. Rodgers and the red hot Sausage Stuffers. Atlanta are red Hot-lanta, seemingly unstoppable on offense, and their underrated defense seems to be jelling at the right time.
Much like a pick up truck running over a rooster, both ATL playoff games were over by the mid point of the 2nd quarter. The Falcons did not pause as they effortlessly blew out two hot NFL teams for the remainder of the game by a combined 80-41. Private Ryan has thrown for 730 yards, 7 TD's with no picks, as ATL won TOP +7 min vs SEA; +7 min vs GB for a net +14.
As opposed to NE, the Falcons have gotten 4 takeaways, while committing ZERO turnovers. This game is going to be a game of keep away. Both teams will use the pass to set up the run in an attempt to win TOP (Time of Possession) and keep their defense fresher. Baring turnovers, this makes the OVER at 59, problematic.
If the Patriots do not play turnover free, or get the benefit of some special teams plays or takeaways, its going to be a long day for Belichick's statistically superior defense. Double teaming Falcon WR Jones will only expose the Pats highly rated pass D to the multiple weapons which are at Private Ryan's disposal.
For NE, RB Blount and O-line have to come up with +100yds rushing, as the order of the day is keep the Dirty Birds offense off the field and defense on the field. Those ATL defensive schemes will be problematic as ATL head coach Dan Quinn, was the Seahawks defensive coordinator in SB 48 and 49 (vs Patriots).
Since the Dirty Bird D does not have the Squawk defensive personnel, my sense is that Belichick will attempt to run the ball far more than ATL will. Of course, Ryan and Co will be challenged by a NE D that is #1 in fewest points allowed and does not have a patch work (SEA) or swiss cheese secondary (GB).
With the public sentiment that the Dirty Birds don't really have a chance to win, there is a reason the Pats are not favored by much. Appropriate pricing at -6 or -7 would move money towards the Falcons and the book could take a bath. With the line seemingly priced cheap for the Pats at -3, this allows the book to keep the money flow even, paying the winners with the losers money.
Both teams must avoid losing to TOM (turn over margin), as any turnovers will be costly and could be blowout fatal. Despite, Brady, Belichick and a record 9th Super Bowl appearance, and even if All-World TE Gronkowski were healthy and could play, I seriously doubt the Brady Bunch could keep up. The 2nd coming of Dan Fouts and Air Coryell , channeled by Private Ryan, Jones and Co. cannot be denied.
Setting our line: Pick 'em on a neutral field. Yet, we sense the Falcons up early and potentially leading by double digits, so we will "fade" the public sentiment. Our pick, underdog ATL
Since we are an atrocious ATS 5-5 SU 6-4, DON'T take our word for anything. You would be better off flipping a coin or abiding by the CBS EA Sports Madden 17 Sim which predicted a NE 30-20 victory.
But wait, there is a glimmer of hope, you could wait for Yowie the Dog's prediction, as said canine is a perfect 10-0 in this years playoffs. Her methodology proves, this isn't rocket science and she's got a bone to pick. Must see TV indeed.
Comments
Neither of you would ever have let Ryan attempt a pass on 2nd down deep into Pats territory. So, I absolve you.