Economic Reports 11/15/06

Oct Treasury Budget -$49.3B vs prior -$47.3B Full Report

Inside the number: YOY Outlays +10.3%; Receipts +12.2%. Outlays for the Defense Department +10.2%; Off-budget outlays, mostly Social Security and Medicare, +4%.

Bad news: Aside from the widening of the deficit, interest payments on the national debt +18.6% to $22.3B.

Should our interest rates increase this will become a massive debt service problem. It is not in our trading partners best interests to allow this to happen.

NY Empire Index 26.7 vs prior 22.9
Full Report

Inside the number: Good news: new orders UP 22.4 from 11.8, shipments UP 26.6 from 22.5, unfilled orders UP 10.2 from -1.5, employee index UP 24.5 from 19.4.

Bads news: prices paid UP 34.9 from 30.8, prices received DOWN 17.0 from 17.5.

Rising input prices and weakness in producer prices is a growing concern. Overall the report reflects a healthy NY state factory sector despite the occuring adjustments in the automotive sector.

To be release later today:

EIA Inventories
Full Report

FOMC Minutes
Full Report

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