2018 NFL Week 1 ATS Result

Last Week
"Even though their number is not always right or shopped, we will use the NFL Pickwatch line at the time we actually make our picks."
Zebra droppings on the play.  Upon further review, an emphatic WTF were you thinking? and here is why. As I write this, it is 7AM EST Tuesday and NFL Pickwatch still has no lines posted for Week 2? 

Do the Vegas books take days off? Hell to the no.... As always, we are sworn to the number, and loyal to none. A case for the early line and shopping the line... 

Found at open and near game time in multiple venues: HOU +7 swinging to a PUSH and SEA +3.5 swinging for a WIN.  

When price inefficiency affects 2 out of 16 games, that's a 12.5% differential making a big difference. So, NO we won't use "their" bloody line. Moving West...


Week 1: Winners underlined in BOLD, PUSH noted.

TNF
ATL PK 12 @ 18 PHI Falcon Failure to close, 2TO's inside 10, 2RZ FG's. A real home coming gift for Champs, 232 yds net? Won't cut it on road. To repeat... tougher schedule... weekly target on their back... [in South] solidly balanced Birds of Prey repeat again.

Early
PIT 21 @ 21 CLE +3.5  Comatose Riveters leave Lake at half, 6 TO's, -5 TOM. Garrett Non roughing foul yields TD, costs Stains W. Stains late 2TD rally, winning OT FG? But NO!!! Blocked. What's new?  They didn't lose and TBD?

SF +6.5 16 @ 24 MIN Homecoming gift for unimpressive Norse Cousins. On 16 play 70yd drive to tie, Jimmie 9ers TO at Vike 1 yd line. Failure to close 3 FG's + -3 TOM; 14 pt swing on TO's.

CIN -1 34 @ 23 IND Luck is back? Dolts still can't find it or an Oline to protect him. Non roughing foul on Dunlap negates fumble, keeps it close. Ben-gals off on right foot? TBD.

BUF 3 @ 47 BAL -8 LOCK Peterman - "Then, in the distance, I heard the Ravens. I began running as fast as I could..." Ravens that good? Or? 47 pts on B league D. This week, Josh gets thrown to the wolves? and Flacco gets some flack? TBD.

JAX -3 20 @ 15 NYG Tipped pick 6 was the difference for improved Eli-Ants. Bortle Shags unimpressive, to repeat: tougher schedule and less luck bogs down Shags. Continuance could result in default? To repeat... Texan surprise

TB 48 @ 40 NO -10 Holy SANTERIA Batman!!! Zombies spotted in Big Easy wearing Saint's uniforms, and pretending to be pro defenders. Buc's served up a can of Who Dat Whoop Ass on what appears to be a bottom 10 D. To repeat... Big Easy might not Brees in [to playoffs].

HOU +7 20 @ 27 NE LOCK PUSH Texan braintrust fails to utilize Watson's out of pocket skills or call TO to have Gronk non catch reviewed, resulting in winning TD. Yeomans work 4 steadfast and smart Minutemen. What's new?

TEN PK 20 @ 27 MIA  Much MSM squawk about new QB's, yet the forgotten... out since Dec 2016, Tannehill serves up fresh surprise.  2hr delay shocks Marriota's funny bone in 3Q, in 4Q TE Walker out for yr. To repeat... "tougher schedule and less luck bogs down Titans."

Late
KC +3.5 38 @ 28 LAC LOCK Chefs serve up Super Bowl ready notice? 9th straight W vs Bolts, racked 38 pts on top 10 D in uber scary fashion. To repeat... "QB upgrade Mahomes improves D."

SEA +3.5 24 @ 27 DEN How do you make Mr. Ed's Bunco's Case look good at home? Show up without a defense or offense. Squawks end up 4-12? To repeat... "D Depleted Squawks get de-feathered.... Mr. Ed's QB-less Buncos battle for bottom."

DAL +3 8 @ 16 CAR Big D-uh? Pokes trapped in Jason's Garret? Pound rock much? Difference in this one, Pants do, healthy one trick pony Pokes don't? Vs unimaginative Riverboat, what is big D braintrust thinking? They obviously don't.

WAS 24 @ 6 ARZ -2.5  Really Plucked or What? Smith Dead Skins surprise Bradford Cards 430 vs 213 net. Deja Vu? DC opened big last year too then poof.  To repeat... "This week, [Zona] Josh gets thrown to the wolves?... D Depleted Desert-er Cards get D-feathered."

SNF
CHI 23 @ 24 GB -7 Mack Paddy or Patty? Khalil gets In-N-Out urge, rolls and flattens Aaron double double style, scores on pick 6. Despite 23-3 Q4 lead, still not enough, epic Mr. Rodgers 3TD 4Q rally with some luck o the Irish. To repeat... Rodgers tries to put a Pack on his back... Chitown Chairs disappoint faithful masochists again.

MNF
NYJ 48 @ 17 DET -7 LOCK Holy Darn-old Sam I Am Batman??? Ominous pick 6 to start, Jets that good? No. Ten years after, Spiders n Snakes still can't read, 5 ints setting up 48 pts. To repeat... Motor City Kitties disappoint faithful masochists again.

LAR -6.5 33 @ 13 OAK LOCK  Rams yawn through 5th exhibition, wake up with 2nd half sprint to outdistance punchless LA/LV Traitors. To repeat... Retread Chucky Cheese Traitors battle for bottom.

Pick
Fav H5 R5
Dog H1 R5
Home 6; Road 10

Covered
Fav H3 R3
Dog H3 R6
Home 6; Road 9; Push 1

Week 1   7- 8- 1 44%; Locks  3- 1- 1 60%; 3.5 pts

P.U!!! Stay tuned, more to come tomorrow in our Week 2 picks, no flippin.

Disclaimer
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Comments

Salmo Trutta said…
Like I said Mahomes is better than Namath or Montana. He just set an NFL record for the most passing TDs in the first 2 games. He's still green. Will get much better.