2018 NFL Week 16 Picks Against The Spread

Rather than Thursday's in the Loo, it's time for NFL Football picks in the toilet.... putting that seat or content down loading time to good use?

Of late, post week 13, we had whittled a 13 game deficit down to 2, and were seemingly "back on the block".  Subsequently, a self inflicted case of NOT "taking care of business" plunged us six games back.

This week, unlike the Minutemen, Shags, Gurley Ewes, Jerry's Kids, Squawks and Ma-homes Chefs... and much like the Hey-LA Bosa Bolts, Riveters, Norsemen, Running Black Birds, Luck-y New Reich Colts and Mack Daddy Paddington's...

while "taking care of business" we managed to tilt 5-11, back to 9-7. Moving West...

Last week, we discovered as per the Boston Globe Ben Volin's totals were actually five games lower than advertised on a 3rd party site.  This week, after 15 weeks and 224 games, aper CBS Jamey Eisenberg is the leader at 123-95-6. Not so fast Joe...

Upon further review, we discovered as per the Miami Herald, Greg Cote is 128-89-7. Greg wrote "Don’t wake me, please. Dreams like this don’t come around very often."  No kidding, so I guess we finish outside?

Small World? Neither I, nor Greg is tracked by that 3rd party site, so we trust his count and the Miami Heralds posts.

Where in the world are we?  With 2 weeks and 32 games to go we are at 119-103-2, and apparently need to make up 9 games. (Don't forget the 11 playoff games.)  Moving West...

Since it seems like we are back on the right trackhave nine lives, keep slippin the noose and turning up like a bad penny, this weeks theme?



Apropos we think.  Shaking our head in utter disbelief... shall we continue to utilize a double headed wooden nickel in making our selections?  Perhaps...

That's life, that's what all the bookies say, you're ridin high pre game, shot down by late Sunday.... or


'Cause I'm back on the track and I'm beatin' the flack, nobody's gonna get me on another rap. So, look at me now, I'm just making my play, don't try to push your luck, just get out of my way...

Byes: None till Wild Card Week

Saturday Night Special
WAS @ TEN -9.5 Stayin Alive? TripW 5-1 home Tuxes, Colts up vs 1-4 Shag Club Skins. Home n Away O/D =
BAL +6 @ LAC Must Win? TNF 4W 5-2 home Hey-LA Bosa Bolts chase 1 seed vs 3-4 road 4-1 Black Birds

Early
TB +8.5 @ DAL Win n In? 6-1 big D Pokes fresh off skunking vs 1-6 away B2BL Bucs who gave Black Birds fits
BUF +14.5 @ NE Not Whether? 6-0 Razor's Edge B2BL Minutemen vs rival Joshin Bison recall Wk8 25-6L
ATL @ CAR +4 LOCK Cam Overboard? MNF 6L Cats 5-2 in cradle recall Wk2 31-24L vs rival 1-5 unnested Birds
JAX +6 @ MIA Do Not Pass Go? 6-1 Fish in Tank vs Last 3 Kessler 1-5 road Shags: safety, 4FG's, ret TD, 1OTD
NYG @ IND -6 That Smell? Wk14 B2BW 5-2 Horseshoes skunked Pokes, Tuxes up vs Gotham skunked Gmen
HOU @ PHI +3.5 LOCK Mask On? Tex-Ann's crawled out of Gotham with Zebra assist, Philly Foles kick'em silly
MIN @ DET +7 Sacked? Cats Wk9 24-9L 10sacks vs rival 2-4 road Vikes lst wk 9sacks, CHI up. Home D better
GB +4 @ NYJ Gangrene Groin Bowl? 1-7 Darn-old Yets vs 2-6 0-7 Rodgers road Pack. Home n Away D =
CIN @ CLE -6.5 Dare Thrice? B2BW 7HRunO Mayfield Browns vs 31ARunD rival Gals recall Wk12 35-20L

Late
LAR -9.5 @ ARI Both B2BL? 29HRunD 1-6 in Desert Rose-n Finches recall Wk2 34-0L vs 2ARunO rival Gurley Ewes
CHI @ SF +6 No Way? B2BW Mack Paddingtons, Vikes up. B2BW 9erz Home n Away: RunPass O n D better
PIT +7 LOCK @ NO Samuels? MNF 32HPassD last 3 away Pietists vs 1APassO 5APassD 7ARunD 4-2 away Riveters

SNF
KC @ SEA +3 LOCK Run vs Pass? 26HPassD 2HRunO Squawks vs 31APassD 2APassO TNF Ma-Homes Chefs

MNF
DEN -2 LOCK @ OAK Bye Black Hole n Vance? 31HRunD Vegas Litigators recall Wk2 20-19L vs rival B2BL 5ARunO Buncos

Pick
Fav H3 R2
Dog H5 R6
Home 8; Road 8

Resources
Spread info courtesy of VegasInsiderOddsSharkCovers, and additional matchup info Betonline.  The Westgate Advance Line can sometimes be found here and here.  

Although the line differs on occasion from the links above, try Jeff Sherman's Twitter feed, as the manager of the Westgate Super Book, he might just know a little sumpin.


Amazingly close to what actually went down... way back on May 8, 2018, CG Technology posted opening betting spreads on weeks 2-16


Weekly "look ahead" lines from the Westgate and FanDuel can be found at The Lines, and a complete list of 2018 look ahead's can be found at the Whale Capper.

Weekly Look Ahead's - by Fairway Jay

Week 17
Week 16
Week 15
Week 14
Week 13
Week 12
Week 11
Week 10
Week 09
Week 08
Week 07
Week 06
Week 05
Week 04
Week 03
Week 02
Week 01

For excellent insight, we recommend referring to Case Keefer at the Las Vegas Sun, as he knows a little sumpin, sumpin.

Stats and ATS (Against The Spread) courtesy of the indispensable Pro Football Reference


Roster and Depth Chart info courtesy of OurLads


Additional stats and graphics courtesy of Sharp Football Stats


Disclaimer

Use the information provided here at your own risk. This information is presented for informational and entertainment purposes only and is not intended to be used to make any sort of investing or gambling decisions. We do not promote or encourage illegal, underage or any type of gambling.

Comments