2019 NFL Week 7 Picks Against The Spread
Drum roll please, once again, rather than Thursday's in the Loo, it's time for NFL Football picks in the toilet.... putting that "picking your seat" or "content down loading time" to good use?
Our 2 year total 298-226-10 in picking ALL 534 NFL games against the spread surpasses all "credentialed" experts, touts, pundits, analysts, etc. and its not even remotely close. Our 2017 season retrospective of George Plimpton in Paper Lion seems apropos? For a recap of our award winning 2017 and 2018 ATS records click here. Moving West...
Results Wk 6
10/10 8:20 ET NYG 14 @ 35 NE -14 (TNF Post)
10/13 9:30 ET CAR +2.5 37 @ 26 TB (London)
10/13 1:00 ET HOU +9.5 31 @ 24 KC
10/13 4:05 ET SF +5 20 @ 7 LAR
LOCKS
Wk1 3-1 75%
Wk2 3-1 75%
Wk3 2-2 50%
Wk4 3-1 75%
Wk5 4-1 80%
Wk6 4-0 100%
YTD 19-6 76%
FYI - Case Keefer at the Las Vegas Sun is off to a great start picking all games ATS, at 53-38 (58%) 3 games behind 1st place Dave Blezow NY Post hwo has the highest win % for any expert at 61%.
Public money ATS:
Wk1 06-10 38%
Wk2 07-09 44%
Wk3 11-05 69%
Wk4 04-11 27%
Wk5 10-05 67%
Wk6 07-07 50%
YTD 45-47 49%
COVER BOX: At the bottom of the post Home vs Road vs Fav vs Dog for each week.
Wk6
Fav 04 H03 R01
Dog 10 H03 R07
Home 06 Road 08
FYI - Out of 92 games YTD, 42 of 63 road dogs have covered. Just laying off on all the road dogs is a 67% winner, which surpasses the best of the handicappers at 61%.
BTW - Down and Out? BTW - Down and Out? After five weeks, four teams had not tasted victory, Skins, Fins, Jets and Gals.
And then there were two as the Jets strafed the Pokes, Skins speared the Fins, while the Gals got pecked on by the Black Birds.
Up and In? After five weeks, two teams had yet to suffer the agony of defeat, Patriots and Niners.
And there are still two as the Minutemen marched over the Gmen, and Niners butted the LAmbs.
BYE: CAR, CLE, PIT, TB
OFF BYE: BUF, CHI, IND, OAK
Week 7 LOX: It's a week of stats and injury reports, taking the team with the number...
10/17 8:20 ET KC 30 @ 6 DEN +5.5 (Got bit by a home dog again)
10/20 1:00 ET MIN @ DET +3
10/20 1:00 ET LAR -2.5 @ ATL
10/20 1:00 ET SF -9 @ WAS
10/20 4:25 ET NO +4 @ CHI
As always we reserve the right to shop and take the best line that came available, early, opening or otherwise. This year we are taking pushes as wins.
Resources - Use Them Wisely
Spread info courtesy of VegasInsider, OddsShark, Covers, and additional matchup info Betonline.
Although the line differs on occasion from the links above, try Jeff Sherman's Twitter feed, as the manager of the Westgate Super Book, he might just know a little sumpin.
Amazingly close to what actually went down... way back on May 17, 2019, CG Technology posted opening betting spreads on weeks 1-16. Weekly "advance" lines from the Westgate can be found here and here, and weekly look ahead's from Fairway Jay.
For excellent insight, we recommend referring to Case Keefer at the Las Vegas Sun, Jamey Eisenberg at CBS, and the Miami Herald's Greg Cote, as from our experience they might just know a little sumpin, sumpin.
Stats and ATS (Against The Spread) courtesy of the indispensable Pro Football Reference, for insight from outside the box Football Outsiders DVOA, for tracking the pundits NFL Pickwatch, and for statistical tracking of prediction systems the unequaled The Prediction Tracker.
Roster and Depth Chart info courtesy of OurLads, weekly probabilities FiveThirtyEight, injuries CBS Sports, additional in depth stats and graphics Sharp Football Stats.
Disclaimer
Use the information provided here at your own risk. This information is presented for informational and entertainment purposes only and is not intended to be used to make any sort of investing or gambling decisions. We do not promote or encourage illegal, underage or any type of gambling.
YTD Lox
Home vs Road vs Fav vs Dog
Wk1
Wk2
Wk3
Wk4
Wk5
Wk6
YTD
Our 2 year total 298-226-10 in picking ALL 534 NFL games against the spread surpasses all "credentialed" experts, touts, pundits, analysts, etc. and its not even remotely close. Our 2017 season retrospective of George Plimpton in Paper Lion seems apropos? For a recap of our award winning 2017 and 2018 ATS records click here. Moving West...
Results Wk 6
10/10 8:20 ET NYG 14 @ 35 NE -14 (TNF Post)
10/13 9:30 ET CAR +2.5 37 @ 26 TB (London)
10/13 1:00 ET HOU +9.5 31 @ 24 KC
10/13 4:05 ET SF +5 20 @ 7 LAR
LOCKS
Wk1 3-1 75%
Wk2 3-1 75%
Wk3 2-2 50%
Wk4 3-1 75%
Wk5 4-1 80%
Wk6 4-0 100%
YTD 19-6 76%
FYI - Case Keefer at the Las Vegas Sun is off to a great start picking all games ATS, at 53-38 (58%) 3 games behind 1st place Dave Blezow NY Post hwo has the highest win % for any expert at 61%.
Public money ATS:
Wk1 06-10 38%
Wk2 07-09 44%
Wk3 11-05 69%
Wk4 04-11 27%
Wk5 10-05 67%
Wk6 07-07 50%
YTD 45-47 49%
COVER BOX: At the bottom of the post Home vs Road vs Fav vs Dog for each week.
Wk6
Fav 04 H03 R01
Dog 10 H03 R07
Home 06 Road 08
FYI - Out of 92 games YTD, 42 of 63 road dogs have covered. Just laying off on all the road dogs is a 67% winner, which surpasses the best of the handicappers at 61%.
BTW - Down and Out? BTW - Down and Out? After five weeks, four teams had not tasted victory, Skins, Fins, Jets and Gals.
And then there were two as the Jets strafed the Pokes, Skins speared the Fins, while the Gals got pecked on by the Black Birds.
Up and In? After five weeks, two teams had yet to suffer the agony of defeat, Patriots and Niners.
And there are still two as the Minutemen marched over the Gmen, and Niners butted the LAmbs.
BYE: CAR, CLE, PIT, TB
OFF BYE: BUF, CHI, IND, OAK
Week 7 LOX: It's a week of stats and injury reports, taking the team with the number...
10/17 8:20 ET KC 30 @ 6 DEN +5.5 (Got bit by a home dog again)
10/20 1:00 ET MIN @ DET +3
10/20 1:00 ET LAR -2.5 @ ATL
10/20 1:00 ET SF -9 @ WAS
10/20 4:25 ET NO +4 @ CHI
As always we reserve the right to shop and take the best line that came available, early, opening or otherwise. This year we are taking pushes as wins.
Resources - Use Them Wisely
Spread info courtesy of VegasInsider, OddsShark, Covers, and additional matchup info Betonline.
Although the line differs on occasion from the links above, try Jeff Sherman's Twitter feed, as the manager of the Westgate Super Book, he might just know a little sumpin.
Amazingly close to what actually went down... way back on May 17, 2019, CG Technology posted opening betting spreads on weeks 1-16. Weekly "advance" lines from the Westgate can be found here and here, and weekly look ahead's from Fairway Jay.
For excellent insight, we recommend referring to Case Keefer at the Las Vegas Sun, Jamey Eisenberg at CBS, and the Miami Herald's Greg Cote, as from our experience they might just know a little sumpin, sumpin.
Stats and ATS (Against The Spread) courtesy of the indispensable Pro Football Reference, for insight from outside the box Football Outsiders DVOA, for tracking the pundits NFL Pickwatch, and for statistical tracking of prediction systems the unequaled The Prediction Tracker.
Roster and Depth Chart info courtesy of OurLads, weekly probabilities FiveThirtyEight, injuries CBS Sports, additional in depth stats and graphics Sharp Football Stats.
Disclaimer
Use the information provided here at your own risk. This information is presented for informational and entertainment purposes only and is not intended to be used to make any sort of investing or gambling decisions. We do not promote or encourage illegal, underage or any type of gambling.
Good Lox 19
Fav 11 H05 R06
Dog 08 H01 R07
Home 06 Road 13
Bad Lox 06
Fav 02 H01 R01
Dog 04 H03 R01
Home 04 Road 02
Fade Public 06-02
With Public 13-04
Home vs Road vs Fav vs Dog
Wk1
Fav 06 H03 R03
Dog 10 H02 R08
Home 05; Road 11
Wk2
Fav 07 H02 R05
Dog 09 H03 R06
Home 05; Road 11
Wk3
Fav 07 H05 R02
Dog 09 H01 R08
Home 06; Road 10
Wk4
Fav 05 H03 R02
Dog 10 H03 R07
Home 06; Road 09
Wk5
Fav 07 H05 R02
Dog 08 H02 R06
Home 07; Road 08
Wk6
Fav 04 H03 R01
Dog 10 H03 R07
Home 06; Road 08
YTD
Fav 36 H21 R15
Dog 56 H14 R42
Home 35; Road 57
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