12/11/06 Market Influence & History
DJIA week beginning: 09/19 -222 breaking key support, 09/26 +149, 10/03 -276, 10/10 -5, 10/17 -72 (5 week loss -427).
10/24 recovery begins +188, 10/31 +128, 11/07 +155, 11/14 +80, 11/21 +165 (5 week gain +716).
11/28 -54, 12/05 -99, 12/12 +97, 12/19 +8, 12/27 -166, (5 week loss -214)
01/03 +242 on a broadbased new year buy in, 01/09 +1, 01/17 -292, 01/23 +240, 01/30 -114. (5 week gain +76)
02/06 +125, 02/13 +196, 02/21 -53, 02/27 -40, 03/06 +55, (5 week gain +283)
03/13 +203, 03/20 +0, 03/27 -171, 04/03 +11, 04/10 +18 (5 week gain +61)
04/17 +210, 04/24 +20, 05/01 +211 , 05/08 -197, 05/15 -237 breaking key support (5 week gain +6)
05/22 +135 a bounce, 05/29 -31, 06/05 -356, 06/12 +123, 06/19 -25 (5 week loss -155)
06/26 +161, 07/03 -60, 07/10 -351, 07/17 +129, 07/24 +352 (5 week gain +231)
07/31 +20, 08/07 -152, 08/14 +294, 08/21 -96, 08/28 +180 (5 week gain +246)
09/04 -73, 09/11 +167, 09/18 -51, 09/25 +172, 10/02 +171 (5 week gain +386)
10/09 +110, 10/16 +42, 10/23 +89, 10/30 -105, 11/06 +123 (5 week gain +259)
11/13 +234, 11/20 -63, 11/27 -86, 12/04 +114 (4 week gain +199), since 09/19/05 DJIA +1648
Looking ahead at potential market influences:
Date Event Period Est. Prior
Dec 11 Wholesale Inventories Oct - 0.7% 0.8% -
Dec 12 Trade Balance Oct - -$62.0B -$64.3B -
Dec 12 Treasury Budget Nov - -$73.0B -$83.1B -
Dec 12 FOMC policy statement - - - - -
Dec 13 10 year note auction
Dec 13 Retail Sales Nov - 0.4% -0.4% -
Dec 13 Retail Sales ex-auto Nov - 0.5% -0.4% -
Dec 13 Business Inventories Oct - 0.5% 0.4% -
Dec 13 EIA Crude Inventories 12/08 - NA -1049K -
Dec 14 Export Prices ex-ag. Nov - NA -0.5% -
Dec 14 Import Prices ex-oil Nov - NA -0.6% -
Dec 14 Initial Claims 12/09 - 320K 324K -
Dec 15 CPI Nov - 0.2% -0.5% -
Dec 15 Core CPI Nov - 0.2% 0.1% -
Dec 15 NY Empire State Index Dec - 12.0 26.7 -
Dec 15 TIC Net Foreign Purchases Oct - NA $65.1B -
Dec 15 Capacity Utilization Nov - 82.1% 82.2% -
Dec 15 Industrial Production Nov - 0.1% 0.2% -
Dec 15 Quadruple Witching Options Expiration
10/24 recovery begins +188, 10/31 +128, 11/07 +155, 11/14 +80, 11/21 +165 (5 week gain +716).
11/28 -54, 12/05 -99, 12/12 +97, 12/19 +8, 12/27 -166, (5 week loss -214)
01/03 +242 on a broadbased new year buy in, 01/09 +1, 01/17 -292, 01/23 +240, 01/30 -114. (5 week gain +76)
02/06 +125, 02/13 +196, 02/21 -53, 02/27 -40, 03/06 +55, (5 week gain +283)
03/13 +203, 03/20 +0, 03/27 -171, 04/03 +11, 04/10 +18 (5 week gain +61)
04/17 +210, 04/24 +20, 05/01 +211 , 05/08 -197, 05/15 -237 breaking key support (5 week gain +6)
05/22 +135 a bounce, 05/29 -31, 06/05 -356, 06/12 +123, 06/19 -25 (5 week loss -155)
06/26 +161, 07/03 -60, 07/10 -351, 07/17 +129, 07/24 +352 (5 week gain +231)
07/31 +20, 08/07 -152, 08/14 +294, 08/21 -96, 08/28 +180 (5 week gain +246)
09/04 -73, 09/11 +167, 09/18 -51, 09/25 +172, 10/02 +171 (5 week gain +386)
10/09 +110, 10/16 +42, 10/23 +89, 10/30 -105, 11/06 +123 (5 week gain +259)
11/13 +234, 11/20 -63, 11/27 -86, 12/04 +114 (4 week gain +199), since 09/19/05 DJIA +1648
Looking ahead at potential market influences:
Date Event Period Est. Prior
Dec 11 Wholesale Inventories Oct - 0.7% 0.8% -
Dec 12 Trade Balance Oct - -$62.0B -$64.3B -
Dec 12 Treasury Budget Nov - -$73.0B -$83.1B -
Dec 12 FOMC policy statement - - - - -
Dec 13 10 year note auction
Dec 13 Retail Sales Nov - 0.4% -0.4% -
Dec 13 Retail Sales ex-auto Nov - 0.5% -0.4% -
Dec 13 Business Inventories Oct - 0.5% 0.4% -
Dec 13 EIA Crude Inventories 12/08 - NA -1049K -
Dec 14 Export Prices ex-ag. Nov - NA -0.5% -
Dec 14 Import Prices ex-oil Nov - NA -0.6% -
Dec 14 Initial Claims 12/09 - 320K 324K -
Dec 15 CPI Nov - 0.2% -0.5% -
Dec 15 Core CPI Nov - 0.2% 0.1% -
Dec 15 NY Empire State Index Dec - 12.0 26.7 -
Dec 15 TIC Net Foreign Purchases Oct - NA $65.1B -
Dec 15 Capacity Utilization Nov - 82.1% 82.2% -
Dec 15 Industrial Production Nov - 0.1% 0.2% -
Dec 15 Quadruple Witching Options Expiration
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