NFC Wild Card Playoffs

Tomorrow, the AFC Wild Card Playoffs.

DAL(+3)@SEA: DAL Total Off #5, Rush #13, Pass #5. Total Def #13, Rush #10, Pass #24. SEA Total Off #19, Rush #14, Pass #20. Total Def #19, Rush #22, Pass #16.

Last year, the Pokes missed a FG and threw a last second int resulting in a game winning FG in SEA. Since, these Pokes are better and the Squaks have gone downhill.

Both teams are limping into this game with their D's looking pourous. They both have a chance to "throw the switch" and gain some momentum for next week on the road.

Romo started hot, but other teams finally figured out how to exploit him and the Poke D with the loss of linebacker Greg Ellis.

Pokes finished 1-3, losing 2 straight for the 1st time this year to close and dropping 3 straight at home. At 9-7 the Pokes were 4-1 on the road with Romo, the loss being a fluke in WAS.

The 9-7 Squaks also closed 1-3, snapping a 3 game losing streak at TB. Squaks have not been passing well, allowing 49 sacks, resulting in 22 ints, a -8 turnover ratio and red zone failure.

Squaks will find it tough to run vs Poke D, but should be able to throw vs the weak DAL secondary.

Pokes defend the run well, but not the pass, they allowed 16 TD passes & 30 ppg the last 5 outings, while allowing 70% red zone efficiency the last 3 on the road.

Both SEA starting CB's are out, this will make it easier for the Pokes to throw. Especially since the Squak secondary when healthy, grabbed only 12 ints this year.

Last 3 games Key: Pokes avg anemic 78 ypg rush, but the Squak D allowing 168 ypg rush. The Pokes should be able to run the ball often and pass effectively. Thus controlling the clock and keeping their weak passing D off the field.

DAL 0-4 ATS last 4 playoff games, no wins since 1996 Super Bowl. SEA 8-3-1 ATS at home, but 3-9 ATS vs NFC. Depending on the weather, with the weak D, there could be alot of scoring in this game.

Our pick: DAL to WIN and beat the spread +3

NYG@PHI(-6.5): PHI Total Off #2, Rush #11, Pass #3. Total Def #15, Rush #26, Pass #9. NYG Total Off #14, Rush #7, Pass #19. Total Def #25, Rush #14, Pass #28.

Eagles coming in 5-0 & 6-2, Gmen coming in 2-6. NYG without starters, LB Arrington, WR Toomer, T Petitgout, DE Strahan, CB Webster. Can RB Tiki Barber carry the load again?

Last 3 Home & Away Key: NYG #7 run game 180 ypg & 5.1 ypc vs PHI # 26 run D allowing 159 ypg & 5.3 ypc. Gmen could be able to run and control the ball, but they have no passing game and a pourous D.

Key: PHI #3 passing offense, 307 ypg vs #28 NYG pass D allowing 306 ypg. Philly should be able to throw the ball at will. However they are having some trouble finishing with only 44% red zone efficiency.

PHI opened -5, PHI money has moved line 1.5 pts. PHI 9-4 ATS in playoffs, 4-1-1 ATS vs NFC East. NYG 4-1-1 ATS vs NFC East, however, 2-6-1 ATS last 9 & 3-7 ATS last 10 vs PHI.

Garcia Eagles should be able to control ball with passing and focus weak run defense on one dimensional Gmen Tiki rushing game. No Eagle mistakes and a couple Eli Manning ints would seal the deal.

Our pick: PHI to WIN and cover -6.5

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