2019 NFL Week 2 Picks Against The Spread

Drum roll please, once again, rather than Thursday's in the Loo, it's time for NFL Football picks in the toilet.... putting that seat or content down loading time to good use?

Results Wk 1 - One For The Road...

TNF
GB 10 @ 3 CHI -3

Early
ATL 12 @ 28 MIN -3.5
WAS 27 @ 32 PHI -7.5
BUF +3.5 17 @ 16 NYJ
BAL -4 59 @ 10 MIA LOCK
KC -3.5 40 @ 26 JAX
TEN +5.5 43 @ 10 CLE
LAR 30 @ 27 CAR +3.5

Late
SF +2.5 31 @ 17 TB
DET PK 27 @ 27 ARI LOCK
CIN 20 @ 21 SEA -9
IND 24 @ 30 LAC -3.5 LOCK
NYG +8 17 @ 35 DAL

SNF
PIT +6.5 3 @ 33 NE

MNF
HOU 28 @ 30 NO -6
DEN +3 16 @ 24 OAK LOCK

PickFav H6 R2
Dog H1 R7
Home 7; Road 9

Result
Fav H5 R3
Dog H1 R7
Home 6; Road 10

Wk1  9-7-0 56% LOX 3-1 75%

And BTW... Public money ATS went 6-10 and as for the "experts", the venerable Case Keefer was out the gate alone at 10-5-1, his nearest competition was 9-6-1.  We still got it, but we're not chasing.  Let's review the last two years during which we beat all comers...

ATS
2017 151-108-8 = 56.6%
2018 147-118-2 = 55.1%

2 year ATS total 298-226-10 = 55.8%

LOX
2017 51-30-2 = 61.4%
2018 49-40-1 = 54.4%

2 year LOX total 100-70-3 = 57.8%

As we wrote last week...

After all this build up, we have a confession to make. Try sifting through weather forecasts, trades, free agents, draft picks, injury reports, coaching staff changes and their impact on rosters.  

Then rate the teams in various facets of the game, factor in prior performance, and upcoming tilts, then make the picks and post em. It takes dedication, hard work and time to do all that week in and week out for 26 weeks.

Sorry to say Baby Ducks, since our time is at a premium, we are going the way of Gronk and Andrew Luck this year. 

Last week was one for the road, and we meant it. Again, I wish to thank all the faithful for staying tuned and not flippin. It's been real, it's been fun, keep it tween the ditches, and you never know what can happen next?

If I had to bet only four games this week... these would be my LOX...

Road dog: CHI +1.5 16 @ 14 DEN
Road fav: NE -14.5 43 @ 0 MIA
Home fav: MIN 16 @ 21 GB -2
Home dog: DAL 31 @ 21 WAS +7

And now it's time for this...



Resources - Use Them Wisely

Spread info courtesy of VegasInsiderOddsSharkCovers, and additional matchup info Betonline.

Although the line differs on occasion from the links above, try Jeff Sherman's Twitter feed, as the manager of the Westgate Super Book, he might just know a little sumpin.


Amazingly close to what actually went down... way back on May 17, 2019, CG Technology posted opening betting spreads on weeks 1-16.  
Weekly "advance" lines from the Westgate can be found here and here, and weekly look ahead's from Fairway Jay.


For excellent insight, we recommend referring to Case Keefer at the Las Vegas Sun, Jamey Eisenberg at CBS, and the Miami Herald's Greg Cote, as from our experience they might just know a little sumpin, sumpin.

Stats and ATS (Against The Spread) courtesy of the indispensable Pro Football Reference

Roster and Depth Chart info courtesy of OurLads

Additional stats and graphics courtesy of Sharp Football Stats

Disclaimer

Use the information provided here at your own risk. This information is presented for informational and entertainment purposes only and is not intended to be used to make any sort of investing or gambling decisions. We do not promote or encourage illegal, underage or any type of gambling.

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