2019 NFL Week 10 Picks Against The Spread
Drum roll please, once again, rather than Thursday's in the Loo, it's time for NFL Football picks in the toilet.... putting that "picking your seat" or "content down loading time" to good use?
Our 2 year total 298-226-10 in picking ALL 534 NFL games against the spread surpasses all "credentialed" experts, touts, pundits, analysts, etc. and its not even remotely close. Our 2017 season retrospective of George Plimpton in Paper Lion seems apropos? For a recap of our award winning 2017 and 2018 ATS records click here. Moving West...
You knew it eventually had to happen, diving for the Mendoza line...
Results Wk 9
10/31 8:20 ET -6.5 SF 28 @ 25 ARZ
11/03 9:30 ET HOU 26 @ 3 JAX +3 (London)
11/03 1:00 ET MIN 23 @ 26 KC +6
11/03 4:25 ET -3 GB 11 @ 26 LAC
LOCKS
Wk1 3-1 75%
Wk2 3-1 75%
Wk3 2-2 50%
Wk4 3-1 75%
Wk5 4-1 80%
Wk6 4-0 100%
Wk7 3-2 60%
Wk8 3-1 75%
Wk9 1-3 25%
YTD 26-12 68%
Public money ATS:
Wk1 06-10 38%
Wk2 07-09 44%
Wk3 11-05 69%
Wk4 04-11 27%
Wk5 10-05 67%
Wk6 07-07 50%
Wk7 05-09 36%
Wk8 05-10 33%
Wk9 08-06 57%
YTD 63-72 47%
COVER BOX: Last week home sweet home, last two weeks home favorites continue to assert. At the bottom of the post Home vs Road vs Fav vs Dog for each week.
Wk9
Fav 07 H06 R01
Dog 07 H06 R01
Home 12 Road 02
FYI - At the mid point Case Keefer leads the ATS experts 78-56-1 58.2%
BTW - Down and Out? BTW - Down and Out? After eight weeks, two teams had not tasted victory, Fins and Gals. And then there was one as the Fins shot down the Yets, with the Gals on bye.
Up and In? After eight weeks, two teams had yet to suffer the agony of defeat, Patriots and Niners. And then there was one as the Minutemen were exposed by the Blackbirds, while the Niners skipped out of Zona.
BYE: DEN, HOU, JAX, NE, PHI, WAS
OFF BYE: ATL, CIN, LAR, NO
Week 10 LOX: It's a week of mostly favorites, taking the team with the number...
11/07 8:20 ET LAC 24 @ 26 OAK +2 TNF Post
11/10 1:00 ET KC -3 @ TEN
11/10 1:00 ET BUF @ CLE -2
11/10 1:00 ET ARZ @ TB -3.5
11/10 1:00 ET ATL @ NO -11.5
As always we reserve the right to shop and take the best line that came available, early, opening or otherwise. This year we are taking pushes as wins.
Resources - Use Them Wisely
Spread info courtesy of VegasInsider, OddsShark, Covers, and additional matchup info Betonline.
Although the line differs on occasion from the links above, try Jeff Sherman's Twitter feed, as the manager of the Westgate Super Book, he might just know a little sumpin.
Amazingly close to what actually went down... way back on May 17, 2019, CG Technology posted opening betting spreads on weeks 1-16. Weekly "advance" lines from the Westgate can be found here and here, and weekly look ahead's from Fairway Jay.
For excellent insight, we recommend referring to Case Keefer at the Las Vegas Sun, Jamey Eisenberg at CBS, and the Miami Herald's Greg Cote, as from our experience they might just know a little sumpin, sumpin.
Stats and ATS (Against The Spread) courtesy of the indispensable Pro Football Reference, for insight from outside the box Football Outsiders DVOA, for tracking the pundits NFL Pickwatch, and for statistical tracking of prediction systems the unequaled The Prediction Tracker.
Roster and Depth Chart info courtesy of OurLads, weekly probs FiveThirtyEight, Playoffstatus.com for post season probs, playoff picture AFC; NFC, SOS AFC ; NFC ; injuries CBS Sports, additional in depth stats and graphics Sharp Football Stats, for running simulations NFL Game Sim and predictions WhatIfSports.
Disclaimer
Use the information provided here at your own risk. This information is presented for informational and entertainment purposes only and is not intended to be used to make any sort of investing or gambling decisions. We do not promote or encourage illegal, underage or any type of gambling.
YTD Lox
Home vs Road vs Fav vs Dog
Wk1
Wk2
Wk3
Wk4
Wk5
Wk6
YTD
Our 2 year total 298-226-10 in picking ALL 534 NFL games against the spread surpasses all "credentialed" experts, touts, pundits, analysts, etc. and its not even remotely close. Our 2017 season retrospective of George Plimpton in Paper Lion seems apropos? For a recap of our award winning 2017 and 2018 ATS records click here. Moving West...
You knew it eventually had to happen, diving for the Mendoza line...
Results Wk 9
10/31 8:20 ET -6.5 SF 28 @ 25 ARZ
11/03 9:30 ET HOU 26 @ 3 JAX +3 (London)
11/03 1:00 ET MIN 23 @ 26 KC +6
11/03 4:25 ET -3 GB 11 @ 26 LAC
LOCKS
Wk1 3-1 75%
Wk2 3-1 75%
Wk3 2-2 50%
Wk4 3-1 75%
Wk5 4-1 80%
Wk6 4-0 100%
Wk7 3-2 60%
Wk8 3-1 75%
Wk9 1-3 25%
YTD 26-12 68%
Public money ATS:
Wk1 06-10 38%
Wk2 07-09 44%
Wk3 11-05 69%
Wk4 04-11 27%
Wk5 10-05 67%
Wk6 07-07 50%
Wk7 05-09 36%
Wk8 05-10 33%
Wk9 08-06 57%
YTD 63-72 47%
COVER BOX: Last week home sweet home, last two weeks home favorites continue to assert. At the bottom of the post Home vs Road vs Fav vs Dog for each week.
Wk9
Fav 07 H06 R01
Dog 07 H06 R01
Home 12 Road 02
FYI - At the mid point Case Keefer leads the ATS experts 78-56-1 58.2%
BTW - Down and Out? BTW - Down and Out? After eight weeks, two teams had not tasted victory, Fins and Gals. And then there was one as the Fins shot down the Yets, with the Gals on bye.
Up and In? After eight weeks, two teams had yet to suffer the agony of defeat, Patriots and Niners. And then there was one as the Minutemen were exposed by the Blackbirds, while the Niners skipped out of Zona.
BYE: DEN, HOU, JAX, NE, PHI, WAS
OFF BYE: ATL, CIN, LAR, NO
Week 10 LOX: It's a week of mostly favorites, taking the team with the number...
11/07 8:20 ET LAC 24 @ 26 OAK +2 TNF Post
11/10 1:00 ET KC -3 @ TEN
11/10 1:00 ET BUF @ CLE -2
11/10 1:00 ET ARZ @ TB -3.5
11/10 1:00 ET ATL @ NO -11.5
As always we reserve the right to shop and take the best line that came available, early, opening or otherwise. This year we are taking pushes as wins.
Resources - Use Them Wisely
Spread info courtesy of VegasInsider, OddsShark, Covers, and additional matchup info Betonline.
Although the line differs on occasion from the links above, try Jeff Sherman's Twitter feed, as the manager of the Westgate Super Book, he might just know a little sumpin.
Amazingly close to what actually went down... way back on May 17, 2019, CG Technology posted opening betting spreads on weeks 1-16. Weekly "advance" lines from the Westgate can be found here and here, and weekly look ahead's from Fairway Jay.
For excellent insight, we recommend referring to Case Keefer at the Las Vegas Sun, Jamey Eisenberg at CBS, and the Miami Herald's Greg Cote, as from our experience they might just know a little sumpin, sumpin.
Stats and ATS (Against The Spread) courtesy of the indispensable Pro Football Reference, for insight from outside the box Football Outsiders DVOA, for tracking the pundits NFL Pickwatch, and for statistical tracking of prediction systems the unequaled The Prediction Tracker.
Roster and Depth Chart info courtesy of OurLads, weekly probs FiveThirtyEight, Playoffstatus.com for post season probs, playoff picture AFC; NFC, SOS AFC ; NFC ; injuries CBS Sports, additional in depth stats and graphics Sharp Football Stats, for running simulations NFL Game Sim and predictions WhatIfSports.
Disclaimer
Use the information provided here at your own risk. This information is presented for informational and entertainment purposes only and is not intended to be used to make any sort of investing or gambling decisions. We do not promote or encourage illegal, underage or any type of gambling.
Good Lox 26
Fav 16 H06 R10
Dog 10 H03 R07
Home 09 Road 17
Bad Lox 12
Fav 05 H04 R01
Dog 07 H05 R02
Home 09 Road 03
Fade Public 08-05
With Public 18-07
Home vs Road vs Fav vs Dog
Wk1
Fav 06 H03 R03
Dog 10 H02 R08
Home 05; Road 11
Wk2
Fav 07 H02 R05
Dog 09 H03 R06
Home 05; Road 11
Wk3
Fav 07 H05 R02
Dog 09 H01 R08
Home 06; Road 10
Wk4
Fav 05 H03 R02
Dog 10 H03 R07
Home 06; Road 09
Wk5
Fav 07 H05 R02
Dog 08 H02 R06
Home 07; Road 08
Wk6
Fav 04 H03 R01
Dog 10 H03 R07
Home 06; Road 08
Wk7
Wk7
Fav 09 H04 R05
Dog 05 H01 R04
Home 05 Road 09
Wk8
Fav 07 H06 R01
Dog 08 H01 R07
Home 07 Road 08
Wk9
Fav 07 H06 R01
Dog 07 H06 R01
Home 12 Road 02
Dog 05 H01 R04
Home 05 Road 09
Wk8
Fav 07 H06 R01
Dog 08 H01 R07
Home 07 Road 08
Wk9
Fav 07 H06 R01
Dog 07 H06 R01
Home 12 Road 02
YTD
Fav 59 H37 R22
Dog 76 H22 R54
Home 59; Road 76
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