2018 NFL Divisional Weekend ATS Result
This week home favorites ruled, while public money was taken...
Wk 1: 5-10-1
Wk 2: 3-13
Wk 3: 6-10
Wk 4: 8- 7
Wk 5: 6- 9
Wk 6: 7- 7-1
Wk 7: 8- 6
Wk 8: 10- 3-1
Wk 9: 11- 2
Wk 10: 7- 7
Wk 11: 3- 8-2
Wk 12: 7- 8
Wk 13: 6-10
Wk 14: 7- 9
Wk 15: 6-10
Wk 16: 6-10
Wk 17: 12- 4
WC: 4- 0
DIV: 0- 4
YTD 122-137-5 and the beat goes on. 264 games down with 3 to go. Moving West...
Divisional Weekend: Winners underlined in BOLD, PUSH noted.
COMING OFF BYES: NO, LAR, KC, NE
Saturday 16:35 EST NBC O/U 56
Snow 32F, 88% Humidity, Precipitation 65%, Wind 10mph
Highlights
IND 13 @ 31 KC
Pick: KC -4 LOCK
The Ma-Homes Chefs had 14 drives with only 3 punts, converting 4TD's and 1FG. In particular the KC D stood up and delivered. Aside from the yardage and 1st down numbers: 0-2 RZ; 0-9 3rd down conversions; 4 three and outs to start the game, a 1st half shutout, and held the Colts to 6pts on offense.
By avoiding Deja Vu of years past and winning their first home playoff game since Jan 1994, the Chiefs earned hosting next Sunday's title game. In which a much more experienced opponent awaits.
Saturday 20:15 EST FOX O/U 48.5
Highlights
DAL 22 @ 30 LAR
Pick: LAR -6.5
The final score of 30-22 did not truly indicate the disparity between these two teams. All Rams: 1stD 30-19; 459-308 Total; 36-24 TOP. Yet, 2-4 in the red zone with FG's of 23 and 24 yds made the game seem closer than it was.
This week the Rams avoided Deja Vu and earned a title game rematch with the Pietists, who will not be a Big Easy like Jerry's Kidz. A sell out on the pass will not be an option, and Goff's anemic passing (74.4 this week) might get a reprieve? TBD.
Sunday 13:05 EST CBS O/U 47.5
Party Cloudy 27F, Precipitation 0%, Humidity 38%, Wind 6mph
Highlights
LAC 28 @ 41 NE
Pick: LAC +5 LOCK
There would be no deja vu for the Minutemen as to open the game, they scored 4 straight TD's. The only deja vu would be as the Bolts finally got a 3 and out, they muffed the punt, resulting in a 5th NE TD to end the half and effectively the game. Belichick's Boyz chillaxed in the 2nd half on 110yds and 2FG's.
Both teams started 1-2 with many a question, and finished strong at 12-4 and 11-5. Perhaps four away games in five weeks, and five in seven, finally extracted a road toll on the Bolts? As usual, the Minutemen took care of business as they earned a trip to KC for a rematch with the Wizard of Chefs. Tom Terrific aptly comments on perceptions.
Sunday 16:40 EST FOX O/U 52
Highlights
PHI 14 @ 20 NO
Pick: NO -7.5
Said drive 18 plays and 11:29 minutes started at the NO 8 due to a holding call on the Eagle punt. In order, two dubious 10yd holding calls yielded 2nd-20 twice, one nullifying a 1st down 46yd TD, and a red zone offsides yielded 1st-15. Tack on an additional 25yds to the 92 for 117 yards gained on that epic drive.
In effect, the whole of the 3rd quarter was consumed by the Saints refusing to succumb to the Zebras no scoring marching orders. With 3:03 remaining in the game, Kamara was stuffed on 3rd down for a 3yd loss by a waiting Bennett. Lutz then sailed a 52yd FG wide right, thus insuring that the Saint's would not cover. The only remaining theatre was Foles throwing his 2nd int to close the game.
Philly started 4-6, backed into the playoffs, received a wild card hall pass from the Zebras, and that is the team that showed up to face a well rested and superior 13-3 squad. The final score did not demonstrate the disparity between these two teams. In knocking the stuffing out of the Birds for 3 out of 4 quarters (and 7 out of 8), the Big Easy Pietists earned the right to host a rematch with the Gurley Ewes for a trip to SB LIII.
Pick
Week 1 8- 8- 0 50%; Locks 4- 1- 0 80%; 4.0 pts
More to come, stay tuned, no flippin.
Disclaimer
Use the information provided here at your own risk. This information is presented for informational and entertainment purposes only and is not intended to be used to make any sort of investing or gambling decisions. We do not promote or encourage illegal, underage or any type of gambling.
Wk 1: 5-10-1
Wk 2: 3-13
Wk 3: 6-10
Wk 4: 8- 7
Wk 5: 6- 9
Wk 6: 7- 7-1
Wk 7: 8- 6
Wk 8: 10- 3-1
Wk 9: 11- 2
Wk 10: 7- 7
Wk 11: 3- 8-2
Wk 12: 7- 8
Wk 13: 6-10
Wk 14: 7- 9
Wk 15: 6-10
Wk 16: 6-10
Wk 17: 12- 4
WC: 4- 0
DIV: 0- 4
YTD 122-137-5 and the beat goes on. 264 games down with 3 to go. Moving West...
Divisional Weekend: Winners underlined in BOLD, PUSH noted.
COMING OFF BYES: NO, LAR, KC, NE
Saturday 16:35 EST NBC O/U 56
Snow 32F, 88% Humidity, Precipitation 65%, Wind 10mph
Highlights
IND 13 @ 31 KC
Pick: KC -4 LOCK
Expect Luck to get some pressure from the KC pass rush.In 17 games the Colts allowed a league low 18 sacks, the KC pass rush added 3 more.
In a last second 28-27 win at home vs the Gmen's non existent O-line, the Colts could get away with falling behind. On the road vs the Chefs? [To beat KC] Winning the TOP possession battle was key.TOP 40 vs 20 minutes. After falling into a 17-0 hole early, the Colts abandoned the run game, 87yds on 14 attempts. Refer to the "it' is as simple as this" comment in the Ram Cowboy result below.
The New Reich Horseshoes come in fresh off a DOME road win on a 10-1 roll. The 10 wins were over teams having serious O-line problems. We don't see those kinds of conditions in KC or the Horseshoes being perfectly Luck-y enough.Temperature 30F and snow helped the KC D to hamper the Colts 0-2 RZ, penalties 10-70yds resulting in 3 1st downs. Although the KC O-line gave up 4 sacks, 3 on blitzes, they pushed the Colts D-line around 3-4 RZ, 180yds rushing, and won the battle in the trenches.
Over the last five games (@HOU, DAL, NYG, @TEN, @HOU) the Colt D has looked stellar vs run and pass. Who wouldn't against those teams? Opposing defenses have not been able to stop Ma-Homes cookin.The Colts were exposed on both sides of the ball, all KC 1stD 29-15; rushing 180-87; total 433-263
The line opened at -4 and shot up to -6, as some bettors think the Chefs will keep on cookin and Saturday's plat du jour is Equine. We concur.The Colts started 1-5, and that is the team which showed up to play a superior 12-4 team. The final score of 31-13 and cheap spread, did not truly indicate the disparity between these two teams.
The Ma-Homes Chefs had 14 drives with only 3 punts, converting 4TD's and 1FG. In particular the KC D stood up and delivered. Aside from the yardage and 1st down numbers: 0-2 RZ; 0-9 3rd down conversions; 4 three and outs to start the game, a 1st half shutout, and held the Colts to 6pts on offense.
By avoiding Deja Vu of years past and winning their first home playoff game since Jan 1994, the Chiefs earned hosting next Sunday's title game. In which a much more experienced opponent awaits.
Saturday 20:15 EST FOX O/U 48.5
Highlights
DAL 22 @ 30 LAR
Pick: LAR -6.5
Why bother to pass when the Rams allowed 5.1ypc, dead last at #32? Could the Rams sell out on the pass to crowd the box and defend the run? Homey don't think so.Wrong longhorn breath as the Rams did sell out and Jerry's ham DAK registered 20-32 266yds, 1 sack, rating 99.2.
It is as simple as this, just run, hold the rock and win baby. Regardless of yds gained or avg, games with rush attempts less than 19: Rams 13-0; Boyz 10-4. Those who choose to ignore this maxim, or cannot execute were a collective 11-106-1 or 97% losers.The Pokes had 22 attempts (2 by QB DAK) for 50yds. Due to the Ram D selling out on the pass with a soft "prevent" zone to defend the run, Jerry's Kidz could not execute. 2nd and 3rd and long translated into 1 of 10 3rd down conversions.
Big D allowed only 3.8ypc #5. However, since Week 9 the Pokes run D has been gashed from the right side, and that is where Gurley and C.J. have trampled opponents.Apparently Coach McVay also noticed that Achilles heel in the game films. Gurley 16 for 115; C.J. 23 for 123 stampeding for 270 yds total rushing.
The last time these two met Wk 4 2017 in Jerrys World, both D's were wanting, the Rams kicked seven FG's and won 35-30.This time out, the Rams were 3 of 4 on FG's and punted only once in nine drives. Jerry's kidz inability to convert on 3rd down translated into 4 punts on 8 drives.
In week 14, the Rams got a Mack Daddy Paddington beat down on MNF in Chitown. The following short week, caught off guard, ill-prepared and making mistakes, the Rams learned their lesson the hard way with Ol' Saint Nick... [with] the extra week off to rest and prepare, we don't think there will be any deja vu here.No surprises this week. Jerry's Kidz started 3-5 and said team, which backed into the NFC Least title, and was given a hall pass in last weeks game by the Zebras, showed up to play a superior 13-3 team.
The final score of 30-22 did not truly indicate the disparity between these two teams. All Rams: 1stD 30-19; 459-308 Total; 36-24 TOP. Yet, 2-4 in the red zone with FG's of 23 and 24 yds made the game seem closer than it was.
This week the Rams avoided Deja Vu and earned a title game rematch with the Pietists, who will not be a Big Easy like Jerry's Kidz. A sell out on the pass will not be an option, and Goff's anemic passing (74.4 this week) might get a reprieve? TBD.
Sunday 13:05 EST CBS O/U 47.5
Party Cloudy 27F, Precipitation 0%, Humidity 38%, Wind 6mph
Highlights
LAC 28 @ 41 NE
Pick: LAC +5 LOCK
Expect the Bolts to shut down the Pat run game, and attempt to pressure Brady, over aggressiveness may backfire... without J. Gordon to stretch, who does Brady have to throw to these days?Wrong lightning breath, anything but a ground game shutdown as the Pats rumbled on 34 carries for 155yds rushing. Brady hit everybody including the Bolt D square in the mouth with 34-44 for 343yds passing.
Unlike the 5 FG inability to close against the Raven D, the Bolts should be able to move the ball and convert TD's... San Angeles should control the ball, tempo and clock.The Bolts couldn't control themselves much less the Minutemen, falling behind 35-7 by the half, and registering a woeful 10 rushing attempts for 19yds and 22 minutes of possession. The Pats punter first appeared just prior to halftime, and with 4 punts on 13 drives they controlled the game.
Aside from a run O and D tilt to the Bolts, and defensive efficiency tilted to the Pats, these teams match up evenly on both sides of the ball. NE makes up the difference in exploitative schemes and turnovers. The Bolts come off a defensive redemption at the Ravens expense. Action Jackson is one thing, Tom Terrific will be a more difficult task.Indeed Belichick's Boyz made up the difference and Tom was Terrific. This game was anything but even, and all Pats: Zero Sacks; 30-22 1st Downs; 38-22 TOP; 498 - 335 Total.
There would be no deja vu for the Minutemen as to open the game, they scored 4 straight TD's. The only deja vu would be as the Bolts finally got a 3 and out, they muffed the punt, resulting in a 5th NE TD to end the half and effectively the game. Belichick's Boyz chillaxed in the 2nd half on 110yds and 2FG's.
Both teams started 1-2 with many a question, and finished strong at 12-4 and 11-5. Perhaps four away games in five weeks, and five in seven, finally extracted a road toll on the Bolts? As usual, the Minutemen took care of business as they earned a trip to KC for a rematch with the Wizard of Chefs. Tom Terrific aptly comments on perceptions.
Sunday 16:40 EST FOX O/U 52
Highlights
PHI 14 @ 20 NO
Pick: NO -7.5
With the #21 YPA run D 4.7ypc if a team can run and pass, which the Pietists can, then the Eagles can't do what they did last week, sell out on the pass to defend the run.Indeed, the Philly Birds were caught between a rock and a hard place. Brees 28-38 for 283yds, as Kamara and Ingram combined for 137yds on 31 rush attempts.
Despite the Philly Foles potential to back door the fattest spread of the week, we have faith. The well rested and healthy Big Easy Pietists will make a statement by creating just enough Week 11 deja vu for their fine feathered guests.And those monastic Pietists did indeed: 1st downs 25-15; 38-22 TOP; 438-250 total yds. 11 penalties for 84 yds made this blowout look closer than it was. The National Flagball League Zebra's were out in full force and in particular on the Saints epic 3rd quarter TD drive.
Said drive 18 plays and 11:29 minutes started at the NO 8 due to a holding call on the Eagle punt. In order, two dubious 10yd holding calls yielded 2nd-20 twice, one nullifying a 1st down 46yd TD, and a red zone offsides yielded 1st-15. Tack on an additional 25yds to the 92 for 117 yards gained on that epic drive.
In effect, the whole of the 3rd quarter was consumed by the Saints refusing to succumb to the Zebras no scoring marching orders. With 3:03 remaining in the game, Kamara was stuffed on 3rd down for a 3yd loss by a waiting Bennett. Lutz then sailed a 52yd FG wide right, thus insuring that the Saint's would not cover. The only remaining theatre was Foles throwing his 2nd int to close the game.
Don't think the Philly Foles forgot being made to look like a college team as they come in on a 6-1 streak.... [Week 11] When the Fleagles got behind 17-0 before you could say boo, they abandoned the run 12-58yds.This time on 151yds of 1st quartr offense the Philly Foles jumped ahead 14-0. All to no avail, as they were put into LOCKDOWN for the remaining 45 minutes = 30 plays, 7 drives, 5 punts, 2 ints and no points on 108 yds. When you can't run, you can't run as the Fleagles had no place to run on 16 carries for 49 yds.
Philly started 4-6, backed into the playoffs, received a wild card hall pass from the Zebras, and that is the team that showed up to face a well rested and superior 13-3 squad. The final score did not demonstrate the disparity between these two teams. In knocking the stuffing out of the Birds for 3 out of 4 quarters (and 7 out of 8), the Big Easy Pietists earned the right to host a rematch with the Gurley Ewes for a trip to SB LIII.
Pick
Fav H3 R0
Dog H0 R1
Home 3; Road 1
Result
Home 3; Road 1
Result
Fav H3 R0
Dog H0 R1
Home 3; Road 1
Week 1 8- 8- 0 50%; Locks 4- 1- 0 80%; 4.0 pts
Week 2 7- 9- 0 44%; Locks 3- 2- 0 60%; 3.0 pts
Week 3 7- 9- 0 44%; Locks 2- 3- 0 40%; 2.0 pts
Week 4 10- 5- 0 67%; Locks 1- 4- 0 20%; 1.0 pts
Week 5 8- 7- 0 53%; Locks 2- 3- 0 40%; 2.0 pts
Week 6 8- 7- 0 53%; Locks 1- 4- 0 20%; 1.0 pts
Week 7 6- 7- 1 43%; Locks 2- 3- 0 40%; 2.0 pts
Week 8 4- 9- 1 29%; Locks 3- 1- 1 60%; 3.5 pts
Week 9 9- 4- 0 69%; Locks 3- 2- 0 60%; 3.0 pts
Week 10 9- 5- 0 64%; Locks 2- 3- 0 40%; 2.0 pts
Week 11 8- 5- 0 62%; Locks 4- 1- 0 80%; 4.0 pts
Week 12 10- 5- 0 67%; Locks 5- 0- 0 100%; 5.0 pts
Week 13 11- 5- 0 69%; Locks 4- 1- 0 80%; 4.0 pts
Week 14 5-11- 0 31%; Locks 2- 3- 0 40%; 2.0 pts
Week 15 9- 7- 0 63%; Locks 3- 2- 0 60%; 3.0 pts
Week 16 11- 5- 0 63%; Locks 3- 2- 0 60%; 3.0 pts
Week 17 10- 6- 0 63%; Locks 3- 2- 0 60%; 3.0 pts
Week 11 8- 5- 0 62%; Locks 4- 1- 0 80%; 4.0 pts
Week 12 10- 5- 0 67%; Locks 5- 0- 0 100%; 5.0 pts
Week 13 11- 5- 0 69%; Locks 4- 1- 0 80%; 4.0 pts
Week 14 5-11- 0 31%; Locks 2- 3- 0 40%; 2.0 pts
Week 15 9- 7- 0 63%; Locks 3- 2- 0 60%; 3.0 pts
Week 16 11- 5- 0 63%; Locks 3- 2- 0 60%; 3.0 pts
Week 17 10- 6- 0 63%; Locks 3- 2- 0 60%; 3.0 pts
Reg. 140-114- 2 55%; Locks 47-37-1 55%; 47.5 pts
WC 3- 1- 0 75%; Locks 1- 1- 0 50%; 1.0 pts
DIV 2- 2- 0 50%; Locks 1- 1- 0 50%; 1.0 pts
YTD 145-117- 2 55%; Locks 49-39-1 55%; 49.5 pts
WC 3- 1- 0 75%; Locks 1- 1- 0 50%; 1.0 pts
DIV 2- 2- 0 50%; Locks 1- 1- 0 50%; 1.0 pts
YTD 145-117- 2 55%; Locks 49-39-1 55%; 49.5 pts
More to come, stay tuned, no flippin.
Disclaimer
Use the information provided here at your own risk. This information is presented for informational and entertainment purposes only and is not intended to be used to make any sort of investing or gambling decisions. We do not promote or encourage illegal, underage or any type of gambling.
Comments