2018 NFL Wildcard Weekend ATS Result

This week road dogs ruled, while public money remained infuego...

Wk   1:   5-10-1 

Wk   2:   3-13
Wk   3:   6-10
Wk   4:   8-  7
Wk   5:   6-  9
Wk   6:   7-  7-1
Wk   7:   8-  6
Wk   8: 10-  3-1
Wk   9: 11-  2
Wk 10:   7-  7
Wk 11:   3-  8-2
Wk 12:   7-  8
Wk 13:   6-10
Wk 14:   7-  9
Wk 15:   6-10
Wk 16:   6-10
Wk 17:  12- 4
WC:        4- 0

YTD    122-133-5 and the beat goes on. Moving West...


Wildcard Weekend: Winners underlined in BOLD, PUSH noted.


BYES: NO, LAR, KC, NE


Saturday 16:35 EST ESPN O/U 48.5

Highlights
IND 21 @ 7 HOU
Pick: IND +2.5 LOCK

If the New Reich Luck-y Horseshoes perform as of late, and hold onto the rock, they should win going away to visit the Ma-Homes Chefs. 


And they did, all Indy: rushing 200-105; Total 422-322; 3DC 9-14 vs 3-13; Flags 2-10yds vs 8-67yds. 
The Texans defense showed up a fashionable 15 minutes late. Thus, in what was the most solid performance amongst this weeks Wild Card winners, the Colts dominated early 21-0 and won going away. Next week a much more difficult task awaits at Arrowhead, and the Ma-Homes Chefs will not be so kind.



Saturday 20:15 EST FOX O/U 43.5

Highlights
SEA 22 @ 24 DAL
Pick: SEA +3

If the Pokes can stuff the Squawk ground attack, gash them on the ground, hold the rock and close, they should win.


And they did with a little help from their friends. All Pokes 1stD 23-11; rushing 164-73; total 380-299; TOP 35-25 mins. 


Under hambone DAK, when the Pokes make no TO's, 25-1. With 1+ TO's, 7-15. Jerry Kidz lost the Uncle TOM battle -1 and normally that should have sealed their fate. But Uncle Jerry's national flag ball league had the situation covered, in dirty Zebra laundry. 


Entering the 4th quarter SEA penalties 1-5yds; 4Q = 4-31yds. Two offensive penalties after K.J. Wrights end zone pick stifled the Squawks near their own goal line.  More important, two bogus pass interference calls on 3rd down stops, bailed the Pokes out twice on their winning late 4Q TD drive.


Next week, black and white (Zebra) insurance will be at a premium on the road for Jerry's Kidz, and the Gurley Ewes will not be so kind.



Sunday 13:05 EST CBS O/U 41.5

Highlights
LAC 23 @ 17 BAL
Contrarian Pick: LAC +3   

After facing Action Jackson once, could a lack of exhaustion, time to prepare and additional weapons make a difference? To answer our earlier question regarding expectations for a different result, the Bolts must hold the rock, limit big plays and force Jackson to pass... with the Bolts being the heaviest bet side this week, apparently many think the result will be different. Going out on a limb, so do we.


Indeed, the result was different. All Bolts TOP 34-26 mins; TO's 1-3, D Sacks 7-1. Despite a late passing rally,  a lack of imagination or willingness to pass the ball early on, and a rare Just Tucker Inn FG miss, ultimately sealed the Running Black Birds fate. 


The lack of imagination ran (literally) both ways, as the Hey-LA My Bosa's Back Bolts who were up 23-3 with 9 mins remaining, should have won this game by 30 pts or more. At the end of the day, a defensive scrum and comedy of errors littered with countless play calling and player mistakes. 

IMHO, some of the worst offensive coaching in recent memory. Next week, Belichick's Minutemen who want not for imaginative coaching and run an orderly ship at the Razors Edge, will not be so kind.


Sunday 16:40 EST NBC O/U 41.5

Highlights
PHI 16 @ 15 CHI
Pick: CHI -4.5 LOCK

[The Eagles] WILL have to pass right into the teeth of the NFL's #1 pass and run defense. 

Da Bears 4.1 YPA rushing is #27 and 6.5 NYA passing is #14. So maybe the Cheese Steaks can sell out on the run and force Trubisky (a virgin playoff QB) to pass and create TO's?  

IMHO, like a tired old rooster getting run over by a MACK truck, this game has the potential to be ugly.  In either the form of a low scoring crawl, or a humiliating blowout. The question is will the visitors out score the Mack Daddy Paddington's D?


A low scoring crawl which showcased both teams offensive ineptitude. Both sides anemic run games were evident as neither could muster an effective ground game PHI 65 and CHI 42yds. The visitors did more than outscore the MACK D, with a little help from their friends. 


National Flagball League Zebras gifted the Philly Foles with 53 out of 83 yds on their Q3 TD drive which ultimately made the difference. 14yds on a questionable roughness call with bailed them out of a 3rd down failure, and 33yds on a bogus pass interference call.

Here's the kicker, being in an improbable position, the Orsi were ultimately done in by a last second upright crossbar combo Parkey Doinky FG miss. Pun intended.  

As Aunt Bea would say: Oh come on aren't you being a bit harsh on the boy Naybob? How improbable was the Philly Foles win without said assistance?

Trubisky threw for 300yds and despite his attempts, the Bears had no TO's. Ol Saint Nick Foles passed for 266yds with 2 ints for a -2 TOM.  

Since the merger, road playoff teams -2 TOM are now a collective 6-54, with a 90% probability of losing. That's how improbable. Next week on the road in a rematch, the Big Easy Pietists will not be so kind.

Pick
Fav H1 R0
Dog H0 R3
Home 1; Road 3 


Result

Fav H0 R0
Dog H0 R4
Home 0; Road 4 

Week   1   8- 8- 0 50%; Locks  4- 1- 0  80%;  4.0 pts

Week   2   7- 9- 0 44%; Locks  3- 2- 0  60%;  3.0 pts
Week   3   7- 9- 0 44%; Locks  2- 3- 0  40%;  2.0 pts
Week   4 10- 5- 0 67%; Locks  1- 4- 0  20%;  1.0 pts
Week   5   8- 7- 0 53%; Locks  2- 3- 0  40%;  2.0 pts
Week   6   8- 7- 0 53%; Locks  1- 4- 0  20%;  1.0 pts
Week   7   6- 7- 1 43%; Locks  2- 3- 0  40%;  2.0 pts
Week   8   4- 9- 1 29%; Locks  3- 1- 1  60%;  3.5 pts
Week   9   9- 4- 0 69%; Locks  3- 2- 0  60%;  3.0 pts
Week 10   9- 5- 0 64%; Locks  2- 3- 0  40%;  2.0 pts
Week 11   8- 5- 0 62%; Locks  4- 1- 0  80%;  4.0 pts
Week 12 10- 5- 0 67%; Locks  5- 0- 0 100%;  5.0 pts
Week 13 11- 5- 0 69%; Locks  4- 1- 0  80%;  4.0 pts
Week 14  5-11- 0 31%; Locks  2- 3- 0  40%;  2.0 pts
Week 15  9-  7- 0 63%; Locks  3- 2- 0  60%;  3.0 pts
Week 16 11- 5- 0 63%; Locks  3- 2- 0  60%;  3.0 pts
Week 17 10- 6- 0 63%; Locks  3- 2- 0  60%;  3.0 pts

Reg.  140-114- 2 55%; Locks 47-37-1  55%; 47.5 pts

WC Wk   3- 1- 0 75%; Locks  1- 1- 0  50%;  1.0 pts

YTD    143-115- 2 55%; Locks 48-38-1  55%; 48.5 pts

Are we flying higher now? More to come, stay tuned, no flippin.


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