Canary In A Coal Mine?

Following up on A Case of Tape-r Worm?

As mentioned in Know Your Limitations, we had also warned about the week of November 5th.  As things would have it, the 5th - 7th were happy daze, but on the 8th "it" showed up again as expected and lingered until the 15th.

We Nattered...  

During Red October a boat load of JPY-USD carry trades got unwound. The synthetic dollar short, King Dollar loves it. My guess, Japanese exporters are going to have a noticeable drop in revenue this Q. 
As previously mentioned watch UST's, the DXY and JPY-USD for clues. It is probable that this 1st week in Nov has seen some smart money selling into the rally. Nov 9, 2018. 11:36 AM 
And along those lines, after spending six days cooped up, on November 9th the synthetic yen short came back out of the wood shed like this....


B For Bob commented.... "Crude oil. When even OPEC jawboning can't save it. Wow." 12 Nov 2018, 03:31 PM


We Nattered... Nov 13, 2018. 07:47 AM "Monday, U.S. WTI crude prices fell for the 11th consecutive session, the most on record since the contract began trading."


A sign of economic conditions being ro-BUST? Emphasis on the latter. With the MSM narrative based in institutionalized econometric falsity, better row faster now? This comes to mind...


 
Upon which we posed a "canary in a coal mine" question to Salmo regarding the recent 35% pullback of oil from 76.90 to 49.41...


Proximo,


Since 10/03 we have seen a 25% pullback in the price of WTI. Call it $19 or $19K per contract. Reminds me of the inception of the flash crash June 2014 - Jan 2015 which saw a 60% decline. This led to an eventual 75% decline between June 2014 - Feb 2016. Do you see any similarities or dissimilarities?


Spaniard - Nov 13, 2018. 10:37 AM 


For the prescient answer, which everybody and their Mother needs to read and understand.... 
stay tuned, no flippin, more to come in Free Trade Warning?

Recommended reading:

Timing Is Everything?
Know Your Limitations?
Parting The Red Sea?
A Little Shop Of Horrors? 
Where's Your Messiah?
Rapture?
Ro-BUST?
Beware The Ides Of Winter?
Meddling With Powers?
The Perfect Storm?
Begin The Benign?
A Case of Tape-r Worm?

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