2019 NFL Week 12 Picks Against The Spread
Drum roll please, once again, rather than Thursday's in the Loo, it's time for NFL Football picks in the toilet.... putting that "picking your seat" or "content down loading time" to good use?
Our 2 year total 298-226-10 in picking ALL 534 NFL games against the spread surpasses all "credentialed" experts, touts, pundits, analysts, etc. and its not even remotely close. Our 2017 season retrospective of George Plimpton in Paper Lion seems apropos? For a recap of our award winning 2017 and 2018 ATS records click here. Moving West...
You knew it eventually had to happen, reversion to the mean and stinkin the joint up sub 50% three weeks in a row...
Results Wk 11
11/14 8:20 ET +3 PIT 7 @ 21 CLE (TNF POST)
11/17 1:00 ET -2.5 DAL 35 @ 27 DET
11/17 1:00 ET +5 HOU 7 @ 41 BAL
11/17 4:25 ET CIN 10 @ 17 OAK -7.5
LOCKS
Wk01 3-1 75%
Wk02 3-1 75%
Wk03 2-2 50%
Wk04 3-1 75%
Wk05 4-1 80%
Wk06 4-0 100%
Wk07 3-2 60%
Wk08 3-1 75%
Wk09 1-3 25%
Wk10 2-3 40%
Wk11 1-3 25%
YTD 29-18 62%
Public money ATS:
Wk01 06-10 38%
Wk02 07-09 44%
Wk03 11-05 69%
Wk04 04-11 27%
Wk05 10-05 67%
Wk06 07-07 50%
Wk07 05-09 36%
Wk08 05-10 33%
Wk09 08-06 57%
Wk10 08-06 57%
Wk11 10-04 71%
YTD 81-82 50%
COVER BOX: The public had its best week of the season and almost pulled even YTD. Favs and road teams asserted. At the bottom of the post Home vs Road vs Fav vs Dog for each week.
Wk11
Fav 10 H05 R05
Dog 04 H00 R04
Home 05 Road 09
BTW - Down and Out? After ten weeks, only one team had not tasted victory, and the Gals remained perfect in getting hogtied by the Traitors.
BYE: ARZ, KC, LAC, MIN
OFF BYE: GB, NYG, SEA, TEN
Week 12 LOX: It's a week of trendy teams, taking the team with the number...
11/24 1:00 ET -2.5 OAK @ NYJ
11/24 1:00 ET TB @ ATL -2.5
11/24 4:25 ET +7 DAL @ NE
11/25 8:15 ET PK BAL @ LAR
As always we reserve the right to shop and take the best line that came available, early, opening or otherwise. This year we are taking pushes as wins.
Resources - Use Them Wisely
Spread info courtesy of VegasInsider, OddsShark, Covers, and additional matchup info Betonline. Although the line differs on occasion from the links above, try Jeff Sherman's Twitter feed, as the manager of the Westgate Super Book, he might just know a little sumpin.
Amazingly close to what actually went down... way back on May 17, 2019, CG Technology posted opening betting spreads on weeks 1-16. Weekly "advance" lines from the Westgate can be found here and here, and weekly look ahead's from Fairway Jay.
For excellent insight, we recommend referring to Case Keefer at the Las Vegas Sun, Jamey Eisenberg at CBS, and the Miami Herald's Greg Cote, as from our experience they might just know a little sumpin, sumpin.
Stats and ATS (Against The Spread) courtesy of the indispensable Pro Football Reference, for insight from outside the box Football Outsiders DVOA, for tracking the pundits NFL Pickwatch, and for statistical tracking of prediction systems the unequaled The Prediction Tracker.
Roster and Depth Chart info Roster and Depth Chart info courtesy of OurLads, weekly probs FiveThirtyEight, Playoffstatus for post season probs, playoff picture AFC; NFC, SOS AFC ; NFC ; injuries CBS Sports, additional in depth stats and graphics Sharp Football Stats, for running simulations NFL Game Sim and predictions WhatIfSports.
Use the information provided here at your own risk. This information is presented for informational and entertainment purposes only and is not intended to be used to make any sort of investing or gambling decisions. We do not promote or encourage illegal, underage or any type of gambling.
YTD Lox
Home vs Road vs Fav vs Dog
Wk1
Wk2
Wk3
Wk4
Wk5
Wk6
YTD
Our 2 year total 298-226-10 in picking ALL 534 NFL games against the spread surpasses all "credentialed" experts, touts, pundits, analysts, etc. and its not even remotely close. Our 2017 season retrospective of George Plimpton in Paper Lion seems apropos? For a recap of our award winning 2017 and 2018 ATS records click here. Moving West...
You knew it eventually had to happen, reversion to the mean and stinkin the joint up sub 50% three weeks in a row...
Results Wk 11
11/14 8:20 ET +3 PIT 7 @ 21 CLE (TNF POST)
11/17 1:00 ET -2.5 DAL 35 @ 27 DET
11/17 1:00 ET +5 HOU 7 @ 41 BAL
11/17 4:25 ET CIN 10 @ 17 OAK -7.5
LOCKS
Wk01 3-1 75%
Wk02 3-1 75%
Wk03 2-2 50%
Wk04 3-1 75%
Wk05 4-1 80%
Wk06 4-0 100%
Wk07 3-2 60%
Wk08 3-1 75%
Wk09 1-3 25%
Wk10 2-3 40%
Wk11 1-3 25%
YTD 29-18 62%
Public money ATS:
Wk01 06-10 38%
Wk02 07-09 44%
Wk03 11-05 69%
Wk04 04-11 27%
Wk05 10-05 67%
Wk06 07-07 50%
Wk07 05-09 36%
Wk08 05-10 33%
Wk09 08-06 57%
Wk10 08-06 57%
Wk11 10-04 71%
YTD 81-82 50%
COVER BOX: The public had its best week of the season and almost pulled even YTD. Favs and road teams asserted. At the bottom of the post Home vs Road vs Fav vs Dog for each week.
Wk11
Fav 10 H05 R05
Dog 04 H00 R04
Home 05 Road 09
BTW - Down and Out? After ten weeks, only one team had not tasted victory, and the Gals remained perfect in getting hogtied by the Traitors.
BYE: ARZ, KC, LAC, MIN
OFF BYE: GB, NYG, SEA, TEN
Week 12 LOX: It's a week of trendy teams, taking the team with the number...
11/24 1:00 ET -2.5 OAK @ NYJ
11/24 1:00 ET TB @ ATL -2.5
11/24 4:25 ET +7 DAL @ NE
11/25 8:15 ET PK BAL @ LAR
As always we reserve the right to shop and take the best line that came available, early, opening or otherwise. This year we are taking pushes as wins.
Resources - Use Them Wisely
Spread info courtesy of VegasInsider, OddsShark, Covers, and additional matchup info Betonline. Although the line differs on occasion from the links above, try Jeff Sherman's Twitter feed, as the manager of the Westgate Super Book, he might just know a little sumpin.
Amazingly close to what actually went down... way back on May 17, 2019, CG Technology posted opening betting spreads on weeks 1-16. Weekly "advance" lines from the Westgate can be found here and here, and weekly look ahead's from Fairway Jay.
For excellent insight, we recommend referring to Case Keefer at the Las Vegas Sun, Jamey Eisenberg at CBS, and the Miami Herald's Greg Cote, as from our experience they might just know a little sumpin, sumpin.
Stats and ATS (Against The Spread) courtesy of the indispensable Pro Football Reference, for insight from outside the box Football Outsiders DVOA, for tracking the pundits NFL Pickwatch, and for statistical tracking of prediction systems the unequaled The Prediction Tracker.
Roster and Depth Chart info Roster and Depth Chart info courtesy of OurLads, weekly probs FiveThirtyEight, Playoffstatus for post season probs, playoff picture AFC; NFC, SOS AFC ; NFC ; injuries CBS Sports, additional in depth stats and graphics Sharp Football Stats, for running simulations NFL Game Sim and predictions WhatIfSports.
Disclaimer
Use the information provided here at your own risk. This information is presented for informational and entertainment purposes only and is not intended to be used to make any sort of investing or gambling decisions. We do not promote or encourage illegal, underage or any type of gambling.
Good Lox 29
Fav 18 H07 R11
Dog 11 H04 R07
Home 11 Road 18
Bad Lox 18
Fav 09 H07 R02
Dog 09 H05 R04
Home 12 Road 06
Fade Public 09-07
With Public 20-11
Home vs Road vs Fav vs Dog
Wk1
Fav 06 H03 R03
Dog 10 H02 R08
Home 05; Road 11
Wk2
Fav 07 H02 R05
Dog 09 H03 R06
Home 05; Road 11
Wk3
Fav 07 H05 R02
Dog 09 H01 R08
Home 06; Road 10
Wk4
Fav 05 H03 R02
Dog 10 H03 R07
Home 06; Road 09
Wk5
Fav 07 H05 R02
Dog 08 H02 R06
Home 07; Road 08
Wk6
Fav 04 H03 R01
Dog 10 H03 R07
Home 06; Road 08
Wk7
Wk7
Fav 09 H04 R05
Dog 05 H01 R04
Home 05 Road 09
Wk8
Fav 07 H06 R01
Dog 08 H01 R07
Home 07 Road 08
Wk9
Fav 07 H06 R01
Dog 07 H06 R01
Home 12 Road 02
Wk10
Fav 04 H03 R01
Dog 10 H04 R06
Home 07 Road 07
Wk11
Fav 10 H05 R05
Dog 04 H00 R04
Home 05 Road 09
Dog 05 H01 R04
Home 05 Road 09
Wk8
Fav 07 H06 R01
Dog 08 H01 R07
Home 07 Road 08
Wk9
Fav 07 H06 R01
Dog 07 H06 R01
Home 12 Road 02
Wk10
Fav 04 H03 R01
Dog 10 H04 R06
Home 07 Road 07
Wk11
Fav 10 H05 R05
Dog 04 H00 R04
Home 05 Road 09
YTD
Fav 73 H45 R28
Dog 90 H26 R64
Home 71; Road 92
Comments