NCAA CFP 2019 Football Bowl Predictions

An Exercise in Futility - Year Six

Picking 40 bowls and Champ. Game, SU (straight up) and ATS (against the spread).


2019:  SU 28-13  68%; ATS 27-14  66%; Locks 11-07  61%
2018:  SU 24-16  60%; ATS 23-17  58%; Locks 06-06  50%
2017:  SU 28-13  68%; ATS 27-14  66%; Locks 11-04  73%
2016:  SU 27-15  64%; ATS 23-19  55%; Locks 06-07  46%  
2015:  SU 27-14  66%; ATS 19-22  46%; Locks 06-03  67%
2014:  SU  I did not  ; ATS 23-17  58%; Locks 07-02  77%

The line will be posted for all games in advance. As always, we reserve the right to take the advance or opening line, shop the line, and make changes, all in advance of kickoff.


The line (spread) will be next to our ATS pick; - (minus) favored and we are giving the points; + (plus) underdog and we are getting the points. PK pick em or even. 
Correct picks in bold.  IF our SU pick differs from our ATS pick, there will be asterisk's next to the team. 

Over Under: total is next to bowl name, below which we will timeline our SU and ATS progress for this year.


Locks: *** triple asterisk next to the over under indicates high confidence in our ATS pick.  Since we am picking 41 games, we take any push (on the number) to be a win.


Highlights


For detailed highlights of each game, click on The Name Of The Game, playlist of 2019-2020 bowl games. Highlight videos courtesy of NCAA, YouTube and Victors Valiant.


Updates


Update #1 12/26/19: Posted six days and 11 games late, better late than never.  Pre Independence Bowl = 8-3 SU; 7-4 ATS; Locks 2-2

Update #2 12/27/19: Several corrections. Pre Military Bowl = 9-4 SU; ATS: 7-6; Locks 2-3; Public Money 6-7; Favs 5 ; Dogs 8.

Update #3 12/28/19: Pre Camping-Cotton Bowl = SU 13-05ATS: 12-06; Locks 4-3; Public Money 9-9; Favs 8; Dogs 10.

Update #4 12/29/19: Pre 1st Responder Bowl = SU 16-06ATS: 14-08; Locks 5-5; Public Money 13-9; Favs 12; Dogs 10.

Update #5 01/01/20: Line corrections. Pre Outback Bowl = SU 21-10ATS: 20-11; Locks 8-6; Public Money 18-13; Favs 17; Dogs 14.

Update #6 01/03/20: Pre Potato Bowl = SU 25-12ATS: 25-12; Locks 10-6; Public Money 22-15; Favs 20; Dogs 17.

Update #7 01/08/20: Pre Championship = SU 28-12ATS: 27-13; Locks 11-6; Public Money 22-18; Favs 21; Dogs 19.

Update #8 01/14/20: Post Championship = SU 28-13ATS: 27-14; Locks 11-7; Public Money 23-18; Favs 22; Dogs 19.

A Happy, Healthy, Sane Holiday Season and Prosperous New Year to all.

*Note: All times Eastern
BOWLDATETIMESITEMATCHUP
Bahamas 52
SU (1-0)
ATS (1-0)
Dec. 201400Nassau, BABuffalo 31 (7-5) -4.5 ***
Charlotte 9 (7-5)
Frisco 71.5
SU (1-1) 
ATS (1-1)
Dec. 201930Frisco, TXKent St 51 (6-6)
Utah State 41 (7-5) -7
Celebration 51.5
SU (2-1) 
ATS (2-1)
Dec. 211200Atlanta, GAN Carolina AT 64 (8-3) PK
Alcorn St 44 (9-3)
New Mexico 41
SU (3-1)
ATS (3-1)
Dec. 211400Albuquerque, NMCentral Mich 11 (8-5) 
San Diego 48 (9-3) -3.5 ***
Cure 58.5
SU (3-2) 
ATS (3-2)
Dec. 211430Orlando, FL

Liberty 23 (7-5) 
Georgia South 16 (7-5) -5 ***
Boca Raton 63.5
SU (4-2) 
ATS (4-2)
Dec. 211530Boca Raton, FLSMU 28 (10-2)
Fla Atlantic 52 (10-3) +7
Camellia 59.5
SU (5-2)
ATS (5-2)
Dec. 211730Montgomery, ALFlorida Intl 26 (6-6)
Arkansas St 34 (7-5) +1
Las Vegas 48
SU (5-3)
ATS (5-3)
Dec. 221930Las Vegas, NVWashington 38 (7-5)
Boise St 7 (12-1) +3.5
New Orleans 47.5
SU (6-3)
ATS (5-4)
Dec. 222100New Orleans, LAUAB 17 (9-4)
Appalac St 31 (12-1) -15 ***
Gasparilla 59.5 
SU (7-3)
ATS (6-4)
Dec. 231430Tampa, FLMarshall 25 (8-4)
UCF 48 (9-3) -15.5
Hawaii 65
SU (8-3) 
ATS (7-4)
Dec. 242000Hawaii, HIBYU 34 (7-5)
Hawaii 38 (9-5) +2.5
SU (8-4) 
ATS (7-5)
Dec. 261600Shreveport, LAMiami 0 (6-6) -6.5
L. Tech 14 (9-3)
Quick Lane 49 
SU (9-4) 
ATS (7-6)
Dec. 262000Detroit, MIPitt 34 (7-5) -9.5 ***
E. Michigan 30 (6-6)
SU (10-4) 
ATS (8-6)
Dec. 271200Annapolis, MDN Carolina 55 (6-6) -4
Temple 13 (8-4)
SU (11-4) 
ATS (9-6)
Dec. 271520New York, NYMichigan St 27 (6-6) -3
Wake Forest 21 (8-4)
Texas 54
SU (11-5) 
ATS (10-6)
Dec. 271845Houston, TXOkla St 21 (8-4) +7.5
Texas AM 24 (7-5)
SU (12-5) 
ATS (11-6)
Dec. 272000San Diego, CAUSC 24 (8-4)
Iowa 49 (9-3) +2 ***
Cheeze-It 68.5
SU (13-5) 
ATS (12-6)
Dec. 272215Phoenix, AZAir Force 31 (10-2) -1.5 ***
Wash St 21 (6-6)
SU (14-5) 
ATS (13-6)
Dec. 281200Orlando, FLIowa St 9 (7-5)
Notre Dame 33 (10-2) -3 ***
Cotton 60.5
SU (15-5) 
ATS (14-6)
Dec. 281200Arlington, TXMemphis 39 (12-1)
Penn St 53 (10-2) -6.5
Peach 76
SU (16-5) 
ATS (14-7)
Dec. 281600Atlanta, GAOklahoma 28 (12-1) +14 ***
LSU * 63 (13-0)
Fiesta 63.5
SU (16-6) 
ATS (14-8)
Dec. 282000Glendale, AZClemson 29 (13-0)
Ohio St 23 (13-0) +3 ***
SU (16-7) 
ATS (15-8)
Dec. 301230Dallas, TXW Michigan 20 (7-5) +4
W Kentucky 23 (8-4)
SU (16-8) 
ATS (15-9)
Dec. 301600Nashville, TNMiss St 28 (6-6) -3
Louisville 38 (7-5)
Redbox 43
SU (17-8) 
ATS (16-9)
Dec. 301600Santa Clara, CAIllinois 20 (6-6)
California 35 (7-5) -4
Orange 54.5
SU (18-8) 
ATS (16-10)
Dec. 302000Miami, FLVirginia 28 (9-4)
Florida 36 (10-2) -13
Belk 46.5
SU (19-8) 
ATS (17-10)
Dec. 311200Charlotte, NCKentucky 37 (7-5) +3.5 ***
Virginia Tech 30 (8-4)
Sun 54
SU (20-8) 
ATS (18-10)
Dec. 311400El Paso, TXFlorida St 14 (6-6)
Arizona St 20 (7-5) -2.5 ***
SU (20-9) 
ATS (19-10)
Dec. 311545Memphis, TNKansas St 17 (8-4) +3.5
Navy 20 (10-2)
Arizona 48.5
SU (21-9) 
ATS (20-10)
Dec. 311630Tucson, AZGeorgia St 17 (7-5)
Wyoming 38 (7-5) -6.5 ***
Alamo 55
SU (21-10) 
ATS (20-11)
Dec. 311930San Antonio, TXTexas 38 (7-5)
Utah 10 (11-2) -6.5 ***
SU (22-10) 
ATS (21-11)
Jan. 011300Tampa, FLMinnesota 31 (10-2) +8
Auburn 24 (9-3)
Citrus 58.5
SU (22-11) 
ATS (21-12)
Jan. 011300Orlando, FLMichigan 16 (9-3) +8
Alabama 35 (10-2)
Rose 51.5
SU (23-11) 
ATS (22-12)
Jan. 011700Pasadena, CAWisconsin 27 (10-3)
Oregon 28 (11-2) +3.5 ***
Sugar 41.5
SU (24-11) 
ATS (23-12)
Jan. 012045New Orleans, LABaylor 14 (11-2)
Georgia 26 (11-2) -3.5
SU (25-11) 
ATS (24-12)
Jan. 021500Birmingham, ALBoston College 6 (6-6)
Cincinnati 38 (10-3) -4.5 ***
Gator 52
SU (25-12) 
ATS (25-12)
Jan. 021700Jacksonville, FLTennessee 23 (7-5)
Indiana 22 (8-4) +3.5
Potato 58.5
SU (26-12) 
ATS (26-12)
Jan. 031530Boise, IDOhio 30 (6-6) -5.5
Nevada 21 (7-5)
SU (27-12) 
ATS (27-12)
Jan. 041130Fort Worth, TXTulane 30 (6-6) -6 ***
S Miss 13 (7-5)
SU (28-12) 
ATS (27-13)
Jan. 061930Mobile, ALMiami OH 17 (8-5)
Louis-Lafay 27 (10-3) -13.5
Champ 69.5
SU (28-13) 
ATS (27-14)
Jan. 132000New Orleans, LAClemson 25 (14-0) +6.5 ***
LSU 42 (14-0)










































































Resources

CFP rankings, box scores, bowl game conference records. Spread courtesy of VegasInsider. Matchup info TeamRankings. Stats courtesy of the indispensable CFB Reference, from the makers of Pro Football Reference.

Disclaimer

These picks were made without privy of players academic probation, suspension, injury or potential game day weather conditions.

Use the information provided here at your own risk. This information is presented for informational and entertainment purposes only and is not intended to be used to make any sort of investing or gambling decisions. We do not promote or encourage illegal, underage or any type of gambling.













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