Market Soapbox 09/17/07

MON, down, DJIA -39 on tepid volume with ugly internals. All DOWN cept XAU.

Bonds flat 10 yr yield -0bps 4.46, $ down vs 115.18y & up vs 1.3867E, gold up $723.8 WTI crude up 1.9% $80.57

Two weeks ago: "Crude heading for $80... perhaps $90 on rate cut." All time high today.

Last week: "MAX PAIN NDX 1950-1975; SP500 1480-1485" Both numbers were hit intraday.

SP500, open 1484, drop 1471, rise to close 1476. NDX open 2002, gap down 1993, drop to 1975, rise to close 1983.

Last week: "Watch PG closely, it if hits $68 and falls..." $68.29 intraday, closing 67.95.

Friday: "
Stocks & the ABCP debt market have an artificially buoyancy this week on the hopes of a Tues. Fed rate cut. Next week many evils await...

A rate cut & lots of "hope and faith" in the numbers would result in a boom to the upside and perhaps double tops.

No rate cut could make this a very ugly week, in the extreme, as in Snap, Crackle & Pop!. Perhaps a good time for straddles
?"

FOMC announcement at 2EST brings one thing for sure, volatility. Often wrong, but never in doubt, this is the Nattering Naybob and you're not!

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