2017 NFL Week 6 Picks Against The Spread
Rather than Thursday's in the Loo, it's time for NFL Football picks in the toilet.... putting that content down loading time to good use?
RESULTS Week 5 Picks - Our pick is the team with the number, winners highlighted. A push is a win.
NE -4 19 @ 14 TB
LAC +4 27 @ 22 NYG
BUF +3.5 16 @ 20 CIN Road dog LOCK; Under 39.5 LOCK
NYJ +2.5 17 @ 14 CLE Under 40 is the LOCK
JAX 30 @ 9 PIT -7
TEN +1.5 10 @ 16 MIA
SF +2.5 23 @ 26 IND
ARZ +6.5 7 @ 34 PHI
CAR +3 27 @ 24 DET
SEA 16 @ 10 LAR PK LOCK
BAL 30 @ 17 OAK PK LOCK
GB +3 35 @ 31 DAL
KC 42 @ 34 HOU +2
MIN 20 @ 17 CHI +3.5
How did we do? Overall, as gravity pulled us down the drain we sucked at 6-8 for another week wallowing in mediocrity. Screwed by half point on BUF, SF, could have been 8-6...
That's life, that's what all the bookies say, you're ridin high pre kickoff, shot down by late Sunday....
Week 1: 13-2 = 87% - Locks 4-0 = 100%
Week 2: 10-6 = 63% - Locks 5-1 = 83%
Week 3: 8-8 = 50% - Locks 2-4 = 33%
Week 4: 8-8 = 50% - Locks 5-0 = 100%
Week 5: 6-8 = 43% - Locks 2-3 = 40%
YTD: 45-32 = 58% - Locks 18-8 = 69%
Still #1 on the web (cherry picking games) and despite another horrible week we are tied for #2 on the web (picking all games ATS). Won't last as gravitation to the mean has taken over.
Week 6 Picks - Our pick is the team with the number.
UPDATE: 10/15 8AM EST - SF +10 to +11, LAC +3.5 to +6, with Mariota TEN -5.5
UPDATE: 10/16 6AM EST - Mariota is playing, line is -7.5 to -8.5, NFL Pickwatch has it starting at -3 WTH?? IND +8.5 puts a different spin on it. MNF road dogs, especially div rivals are usually good bets. We will stick with our early line pick TEN -5.5.
BYE: BUF, CIN, DAL, SEA
OFF BYES: ATL, DEN, NO, WAS
Below TNF pick, remainder to come. As always, I reserve the right to take the advance or opening line, and make changes well in advance of the SUNDAY 13:00 EST kickoffs.
Last week, 10 road teams won, 7 of those were dogs. Chefs 6-0, how about 0-6? Still perfect SF, CLE, NYG. Last week, deja vu as both SF and NYG were last second victims. This week all four teams remain perfect, we think.
PHI @ CAR -3 B2B road W's @ NE, DET. #3D vs O, #29PassD looks past Panteras to Skins?
CLE +12 @ HOU Merci-lus, Watt-less Texans host perfect Hogan's Stains.
NE @ NYJ +10 Rested TNF Pats fav @ Yets 1-6 ATS. Double digit divisional home dog LOCK
MIA @ ATL -9 Off bye and Buf loss, ATS home fav Falcons 7-17, dome dog Fish 1-3 LOCK
DET +5.5 @ NO Off bye B2B W Aint's ATS home fav 6-13; vs Kats 0-2; Neither has pass D.
GB @ MIN +4 MNF Vikes, ATS div home dog: 7-1-1, 4-1 vs Pack. Post Big-D let down?
CHI +7 @ BAL ATS Poes 1-3-1 vs NFC, road dog Chairs 2-7 and MNF short wk.
SF +11 @ WAS Off bye Skins, 4+pt fav 2-12, #28D 9ers 2-7 in EST ATS, look past 9ers to PHI?
LAR +3 @ JAX LA run D#27; JAX 3W's +11 TO, run O#1, D#31, home vs NFC 1-9 ATS.
TB +2.5 @ ARZ Last wk Cards 7-34. Last yr Bucs @ Zona 7-40. TNF Bucs rested revenge.
PIT @ KC -2.5 Rush: KC O#2, Pit D#31, ATS @ Chefs 1-4, last playoff PIT 18 @ KC 16. LOCK
LAC +6 @ OAK Carr? look past to TNF vs Chefs? ATS Bolts post W 2-7; dog @ OAK 4-0.
NYG @ DEN -6 Off bye Buncos #1D, #3 run game, 0-5 sans wide out Gmen, cheap LOCK
IND @ TEN This game is off the board, so we have set a conditional line for it. Luck-y Dolts 11-0 SU vs Tuxes. No Luck this week. With Mariota TEN -5.5, no Mariota TEN +3.
Resources
Spread courtesy of VegasInsider, OddsShark, Covers, and the Westgate Advance Line here and here.
One can find the advance line for every week of the season, going back to Week 2, courtesy of John Morgan at PatsFan.
As we enjoy his commentary, humor and interesting observations, Walter Cherepinsky at NESN has weekly in depth analysis of each game.
Stats and ATS (Against The Spread) courtesy of the indispensable Pro Football Reference
RESULTS Week 5 Picks - Our pick is the team with the number, winners highlighted. A push is a win.
NE -4 19 @ 14 TB
LAC +4 27 @ 22 NYG
BUF +3.5 16 @ 20 CIN Road dog LOCK; Under 39.5 LOCK
NYJ +2.5 17 @ 14 CLE Under 40 is the LOCK
JAX 30 @ 9 PIT -7
TEN +1.5 10 @ 16 MIA
SF +2.5 23 @ 26 IND
ARZ +6.5 7 @ 34 PHI
CAR +3 27 @ 24 DET
SEA 16 @ 10 LAR PK LOCK
BAL 30 @ 17 OAK PK LOCK
GB +3 35 @ 31 DAL
KC 42 @ 34 HOU +2
MIN 20 @ 17 CHI +3.5
How did we do? Overall, as gravity pulled us down the drain we sucked at 6-8 for another week wallowing in mediocrity. Screwed by half point on BUF, SF, could have been 8-6...
That's life, that's what all the bookies say, you're ridin high pre kickoff, shot down by late Sunday....
Week 1: 13-2 = 87% - Locks 4-0 = 100%
Week 2: 10-6 = 63% - Locks 5-1 = 83%
Week 3: 8-8 = 50% - Locks 2-4 = 33%
Week 4: 8-8 = 50% - Locks 5-0 = 100%
Week 5: 6-8 = 43% - Locks 2-3 = 40%
YTD: 45-32 = 58% - Locks 18-8 = 69%
Still #1 on the web (cherry picking games) and despite another horrible week we are tied for #2 on the web (picking all games ATS). Won't last as gravitation to the mean has taken over.
Week 6 Picks - Our pick is the team with the number.
UPDATE: 10/15 8AM EST - SF +10 to +11, LAC +3.5 to +6, with Mariota TEN -5.5
UPDATE: 10/16 6AM EST - Mariota is playing, line is -7.5 to -8.5, NFL Pickwatch has it starting at -3 WTH?? IND +8.5 puts a different spin on it. MNF road dogs, especially div rivals are usually good bets. We will stick with our early line pick TEN -5.5.
BYE: BUF, CIN, DAL, SEA
OFF BYES: ATL, DEN, NO, WAS
Below TNF pick, remainder to come. As always, I reserve the right to take the advance or opening line, and make changes well in advance of the SUNDAY 13:00 EST kickoffs.
Last week, 10 road teams won, 7 of those were dogs. Chefs 6-0, how about 0-6? Still perfect SF, CLE, NYG. Last week, deja vu as both SF and NYG were last second victims. This week all four teams remain perfect, we think.
PHI @ CAR -3 B2B road W's @ NE, DET. #3D vs O, #29PassD looks past Panteras to Skins?
CLE +12 @ HOU Merci-lus, Watt-less Texans host perfect Hogan's Stains.
NE @ NYJ +10 Rested TNF Pats fav @ Yets 1-6 ATS. Double digit divisional home dog LOCK
MIA @ ATL -9 Off bye and Buf loss, ATS home fav Falcons 7-17, dome dog Fish 1-3 LOCK
DET +5.5 @ NO Off bye B2B W Aint's ATS home fav 6-13; vs Kats 0-2; Neither has pass D.
GB @ MIN +4 MNF Vikes, ATS div home dog: 7-1-1, 4-1 vs Pack. Post Big-D let down?
CHI +7 @ BAL ATS Poes 1-3-1 vs NFC, road dog Chairs 2-7 and MNF short wk.
SF +11 @ WAS Off bye Skins, 4+pt fav 2-12, #28D 9ers 2-7 in EST ATS, look past 9ers to PHI?
LAR +3 @ JAX LA run D#27; JAX 3W's +11 TO, run O#1, D#31, home vs NFC 1-9 ATS.
TB +2.5 @ ARZ Last wk Cards 7-34. Last yr Bucs @ Zona 7-40. TNF Bucs rested revenge.
PIT @ KC -2.5 Rush: KC O#2, Pit D#31, ATS @ Chefs 1-4, last playoff PIT 18 @ KC 16. LOCK
LAC +6 @ OAK Carr? look past to TNF vs Chefs? ATS Bolts post W 2-7; dog @ OAK 4-0.
NYG @ DEN -6 Off bye Buncos #1D, #3 run game, 0-5 sans wide out Gmen, cheap LOCK
IND @ TEN This game is off the board, so we have set a conditional line for it. Luck-y Dolts 11-0 SU vs Tuxes. No Luck this week. With Mariota TEN -5.5, no Mariota TEN +3.
Spread courtesy of VegasInsider, OddsShark, Covers, and the Westgate Advance Line here and here.
One can find the advance line for every week of the season, going back to Week 2, courtesy of John Morgan at PatsFan.
As we enjoy his commentary, humor and interesting observations, Walter Cherepinsky at NESN has weekly in depth analysis of each game.
Stats and ATS (Against The Spread) courtesy of the indispensable Pro Football Reference
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