2017 NFL Week 7 Picks Against The Spread

Rather than Thursday's in the Loo, it's time for NFL Football picks in the toilet.... putting that content down loading time to good use?

RESULTS Week 6 Picks - Our pick is the team with the number, winners highlighted. A push is a win.


PHI 28 @ 23 CAR -3

CLE +12 17 @ 33 HOU
NE 24 @ 17 NYJ +10  LOCK
MIA 20 @ 17 ATL -9 LOCK
DET +5.5 38 @ 52 NO
GB 10 @ 23 MIN +4 
CHI +7 27 @ 24 BAL
SF +11 24 @ 26 WAS
LAR +3 27 @ 17 JAX
TB +2.5 33 @ 38 ARZ
PIT 19 @ 13 KC -2.5 LOCK
LAC +6 17 @ 16 OAK  
NYG 23 @ 10 DEN -6  LOCK
IND 22 @ 36 TEN -5.5

How did we do? Once again, as gravity slowly pulls us down the drain we sucked at 7-7. Four straight weeks of wallowing in the mire of mediocrity, truly an exercise in futility.

That's life, that's what all the bookies say, you're ridin high pre kickoff, shot down by late Sunday.... 


Week 1: 13-2 = 87% - Locks 4-0 = 100%

Week 2: 10-6 = 63% - Locks 5-1 =  83%
Week 3:  8-8 =  50% - Locks 2-4 =  33%
Week 4:  8-8 =  50% - Locks 5-0 = 100%
Week 5:  6-8 =  43% - Locks 2-3 =  40%
Week 6:  7-7 =  50% - Locks 1-3 =  25%

YTD:    52-39 = 57% - Locks 19-11 = 63%


Amazingly, still #1 on the web (cherry picking games - LOCKS).  
Despite 4 horrible week's we are tied for #3 on the web (picking all games ATS). With 52 correct we are only 1 game back of 2nd, and 6 games behind the leader.


Week 7 Picks - Our pick is the team with the number. As always, I reserve the right to take the advance or opening line, and make changes well in advance of kickoffs.


And then there were two, Phony Niners and Brown Stains By The Lake remain perfect.


BYES: DET, HOU

OFF BYES: BUF, CIN, DAL, SEA

TNF

KC -2.5 @ OAK rival home dog Traitors 4 straight L's, hosting Chefs 3-11 ATS. Post riveting 5-0 ATS road Chefs rebound LOCK

TEN -5.5 @ CLE Tuxedos off MNF with bye up, vs -.500 team 3-13 ATS. Stains 2-10 ATS, Kizer starts. 77% bet Ten ATS, yet line moved opposite direction -7 to -5.5, trap game?

JAX -3 @ IND Rival home dog Dolts off MNF, home #29PassD. Jags: missed 2 FG's, 2 special teams TD's gifted to road Rams, 5-1 ATS road Jags rebound


CIN +7 @ PIT Riveters cold rolled Chefs, let down? Rival road dog Gals 2-5 ATS at Heinz, make off bye effort to Ketchup?


BAL @ MIN -3 Despite 2 return TD gifts, Ravens Chaired at home 27-24 OT, of late 1-3 SU, 3-7 road ATS. B2B W Vikes collared Mr. Rodgers, were gifted 10 pts and 3 ints.


NYJ @ MIA -3 Road: Yets runD#32, off div game 0-6 ATS. Road Fins downed Birds, 2-5 ATS hosting Yets, avenge 20-6 Wk2 rival loss?


TB @ BUF -2 Pirates in Pewter Pants routed in Zona, B2B L's, Winston? Bad road D: pass#31 run#29. Face off bye Bison stampede LOCK


CAR -3 @ CHI Road Chairs sat on Poes, hosting Cats 1-4 ATS. Cats off 2TD home gift to Philly. Road: 5-0 ATS, #2runD, rebound LOCK


NO +6.5 @ GB Line now GB +5.5. Trip-W's Saints gifted 5TO's 21pts by Kats, gave back 14, ATS 4-1 vs Rodgerless Pack, late line NO -4, early line shopper LOCK 


ARZ @ LAR -3 (UK) Cards whip Buccos, ATS vs +.500 team 3-12, 1-5 of late, #26PassD gets Goff-ed? Rival Rams special teams road butted Jags, #31RunD gets Yo Adrian-ed?


DAL @ SF +6.5  4-1 ATS Phony 9er record 5 loss margin 3,2,3,3,2 - answer Beathard? Off bye B2B home loss Pokes, ATS 3-9, road 1-4, look past 9ers to DC?


SEA @ NYG +8 Gmen made DEN Omelette in Primetime, home to face #25 road D. Off bye Squawks, road 1-6 ATS, too many pts in Gotham, now down to SEA -3.5.

DEN +1.5 @ LAC 3TO Buncos no show 4 Gmen, Siemian? of late 1-2, -5 pt diff. Look past Bolts to KC? Road Bolts B2B zapped weak Traitors, Gmen, avenge 24-21 Wk1 rival loss?


SNF

ATL +4 @ NE #32PassD patted down Yets. Sans miracle vs Texans, 0-3 at Razor. Balanced Birds looked past Fins, B2B dome L's vs Bison, Fins. Pats at home better? good teams don't lose Trips? Road 7-1 ATS #11 roadD facing worst homeD, avenges biggest SB comeback?  LOCK

MNF

WAS +6.5 @ PHI TNF early Xmas 4 Birds gifted 2 freak tip picks inside 20 = 14 easy pts, 1-4 ATS hosting Skins, #29PassD? #1NetYdAttPassO, MNF road dogs avenge 30-17 Wk1 rival loss?

Resources

Spread courtesy of VegasInsiderOddsSharkCovers, and the Westgate Advance Line here and here.  


One can find the advance line for every week of the season, going back to Week 2, courtesy of John Morgan at PatsFan


As we enjoy his commentary, humor and interesting observations, Walter Cherepinsky at NESN has weekly in depth analysis of each game. 



Stats and ATS (Against The Spread) courtesy of the indispensable Pro Football Reference

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