Shutdown Impacts Inflection?

Following up on Lunar New Year For Old Blind Men?

Below @"B"isForBob astutely commented about the government shutdown.
"We are now going on day 13 of the government shutdown; nearly 1/2 of one month. That equates to about 1% being knocked off GDP. " - 02 Jan 2019, 09:16 PM
Which brings to mind...

With the involvement of 800,000 federal government employees and some 4 million federal contractors, the shutdown directly affected nearly 3% of the labor force of the United States; furloughed between Dec 22 and Jan 25th, for a 35 day span with NO PAY. 

CBO estimates costs at $11B, excluding indirect costs which are harder to quantify.  Federal employees will receive back pay, contractors will not. On Jan 11th the FIRST paycheck was missed.

Salmo Trutta commented about the 1st seasonal inflection point due on mid January.
"Some years the first inflection point shows up in just a few trading days before it bottoms again. It's still coming." - 05 Feb 2019, 12:32 PM
The Nattering One muses... wonder how the shutdown affected DD (demand deposits) and RR (required reserves)?  and effected the TIMING of the 1st seasonal inflection point in mid January?  There is a 30 day lag in reporting to consider. Food for thought.


More to come in LIBOR: Putting Out A Fire With Gasoline? Stay tuned, no flippin.

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Lunar New Year For Old Blind Men?

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