2017 NFL Week 10 Picks Against The Spread
Rather than Thursday's in the Loo, it's time for NFL Football picks in the toilet.... putting that content down loading time to good use?
RESULTS Week 9 Picks - Our pick is the team with the number, winners highlighted. A push is a win (see YTD pushes at bottom).
BUF -2.5 21 @ 34 NYJ
DEN +9 23 @ 51 PHI LOCK
LAR -3 51 @ 17 NYG LOCK
TB +7.5 10 @ 30 NO
CIN 7 @ 23 JAX -2
ATL 17 @ 20 CAR +2.5 LOCK
IND +14.5 20 @ 14 HOU
BAL 20 @ 23 TEN -3 PUSH
ARZ 20 @ 10 SF +3
WAS +8 17 @ 14 SEA
KC 17 @ 28 DAL +1.5 LOCK
OAK -1 27 @ 24 MIA
DET PK 30 @ 17 GB LOCK
How did we do? Had it not been for a last minute goal line tip and pick, 9ers would have pushed and we could have matched last weeks 10-3, alas, 9-4. Shall we continue to utilize a double headed wooden nickel in making our selections? Me thinks so...
That's life, that's what all the bookies say, you're ridin high pre game, shot down by late Sunday....
Week 1: 13-2 = 87% - Locks 4-0 = 100%
Week 2: 10-6 = 63% - Locks 5-1 = 83%
Week 3: 9-7 = 56% - Locks 3-3 = 50%
Week 4: 8-8 = 50% - Locks 5-0 = 100%
Week 5: 6-8 = 43% - Locks 2-3 = 40%
Week 6: 7-7 = 50% - Locks 1-3 = 25%
Week 7: 6-9 = 40% - Locks 2-3 = 40%
Week 8: 10-3 = 77% - Locks 3-1 = 75%
Week 9: 9-4 = 69% - Locks 4-1 = 80%
YTD: 78-54 = 59% - Locks 29-15 = 66%
At the moment, #1 % winner on the web (cherry picking games ATS -Bagels and Lox), and #1 on the web (picking all NFL games ATS).
Since we count a push as a win, and NFLPickWatch does not, subtract our 4 pushes from 78, we are #1 at 74-54-4; with locks 27-15.
A thin 1 game lead on #2 Yahoo's Frank Schwab, and 3 on Mantzouranis and Breer, who are tied at #3 Sports Illustrated's MMQB.
Shaking our head in absolute disbelief while Moving West...
Week 10 Picks - Our pick is highlighted. As always, I reserve the right to take the advance or opening line, shop the line, and make changes well in advance of Sunday kickoff.
Still two perfect teams, Baghdad By The Bay Phony Niners and Brown Floaters Mistake On The Lake.
UPDATE: 11/11/17 - Noon EST Updated lines
BYES: BAL, KC, OAK, PHI
OFF BYES: CHI, CLE, LAC, MIN, NE, PIT
BYE UP: NYJ, IND, SF, CAR
TNF
SEA @ ARZ +7 4-1 SU Self skinned Squawks, 2TO's, miss 3 FG, 16 flags. Cards 3-2 SU SF, TB, SF pt diff +18pts; L's Philly, Rams = 7-67, no wins vs +500 team. Gulls look past div rival to ATL? Last 4 vs Zona SU 1-2-1 LOCK
EARLY
MIN PK @ WAS Post Gull Skins back to DC #28runO faces 4W off bye Norse #3RoadD
GB @ CHI -3 MNF Trip L Pack face off bye Chairs, avenge 4TO Wk5 div rival L LOCK
PIT -9.5 @ IND Bye up Dolts #32D hosts off bye Riveters #5D, look past to TNF Tuxes?
LAC @ JAX PK Shags #1RunO hosts off bye Bolts #31runD. Stains next.
NYJ @ TB +3 TNF bye up Jets #27 road D+O visit 5L Bucs #30PassD, revenge of Fitz?
CIN @ TEN -3.5 -9TOM Gals #32run 1+100gm; Tux homeD:#9run,+100yd = 3L's, look to PIT?
CLE @ DET -9.5 MNF Trip Home L Kats #4PassO look past off bye #32RZD Stains to Chairs? LOCK
NO @ BUF +3.5 3TO TNF +11TOM home #2runO Bison; 6W Halos road #25runD, #29YPC, last 3 -3TOM
LATE
HOU @ LAR -3 B2B L Savage Texans #31Road PassD faces Rams #1 YPC Pass O LOCK
NYG +2.5 @ SF Post Ram rout Gmen go West face bye up 9ers in Toilet Bowl, WHY!!!
DAL +4 @ ATL Trip W Pokes look past 1-4 Birds to Cheese Steaks? Ground game: home #9O vs away #6D; home #15D vs away #4O. Son of Buzzi Out. Poke RB's C+ = Big D W
SNF
NE -5.5 @ DEN Off bye Belichick's #1O, #32D visit post Philly rout, 4L w/13TO's, -12TOM, #2ydD. Mr. Ed's QB-less Buncos need it badly, alas poor Wilbur LOCK
MNF
MIA @ CAR -7.5 Bye up Pants #1D hosts SNF B2B L Fins #31O. Cats make Sushi LOCK
Comes To Shove
Since we count a push as a win, and NFLPickWatch does not, we list our push games YTD, 4 pushes, 2 involving locks.
Wk3 NY 24 @ 27 PHI -3 LOCK
Wk4 WAS +9 20 @ 29 KC LOCK
Wk7 NYJ 28 @ 31 MIA -3
Wk8 BAL 20 @ 23 TEN -3
Resources
Spread courtesy of VegasInsider, OddsShark, Covers, and the Westgate Advance Line here and here.
One can find the advance line for every week of the season, going back to Week 2, courtesy of John Morgan at PatsFan. If not, then try Jeff Sherman's Twitter feed, he is the manager of the Westgate Super Book.
As we enjoy his commentary, humor and interesting observations, Walter Cherepinsky at NESN has weekly in depth analysis of each game.
Stats and ATS (Against The Spread) courtesy of the indispensable Pro Football Reference
RESULTS Week 9 Picks - Our pick is the team with the number, winners highlighted. A push is a win (see YTD pushes at bottom).
BUF -2.5 21 @ 34 NYJ
DEN +9 23 @ 51 PHI LOCK
LAR -3 51 @ 17 NYG LOCK
TB +7.5 10 @ 30 NO
CIN 7 @ 23 JAX -2
ATL 17 @ 20 CAR +2.5 LOCK
IND +14.5 20 @ 14 HOU
BAL 20 @ 23 TEN -3 PUSH
ARZ 20 @ 10 SF +3
WAS +8 17 @ 14 SEA
KC 17 @ 28 DAL +1.5 LOCK
OAK -1 27 @ 24 MIA
DET PK 30 @ 17 GB LOCK
How did we do? Had it not been for a last minute goal line tip and pick, 9ers would have pushed and we could have matched last weeks 10-3, alas, 9-4. Shall we continue to utilize a double headed wooden nickel in making our selections? Me thinks so...
That's life, that's what all the bookies say, you're ridin high pre game, shot down by late Sunday....
Week 1: 13-2 = 87% - Locks 4-0 = 100%
Week 2: 10-6 = 63% - Locks 5-1 = 83%
Week 3: 9-7 = 56% - Locks 3-3 = 50%
Week 4: 8-8 = 50% - Locks 5-0 = 100%
Week 5: 6-8 = 43% - Locks 2-3 = 40%
Week 6: 7-7 = 50% - Locks 1-3 = 25%
Week 7: 6-9 = 40% - Locks 2-3 = 40%
Week 8: 10-3 = 77% - Locks 3-1 = 75%
Week 9: 9-4 = 69% - Locks 4-1 = 80%
YTD: 78-54 = 59% - Locks 29-15 = 66%
At the moment, #1 % winner on the web (cherry picking games ATS -Bagels and Lox), and #1 on the web (picking all NFL games ATS).
Since we count a push as a win, and NFLPickWatch does not, subtract our 4 pushes from 78, we are #1 at 74-54-4; with locks 27-15.
A thin 1 game lead on #2 Yahoo's Frank Schwab, and 3 on Mantzouranis and Breer, who are tied at #3 Sports Illustrated's MMQB.
Shaking our head in absolute disbelief while Moving West...
Week 10 Picks - Our pick is highlighted. As always, I reserve the right to take the advance or opening line, shop the line, and make changes well in advance of Sunday kickoff.
Still two perfect teams, Baghdad By The Bay Phony Niners and Brown Floaters Mistake On The Lake.
UPDATE: 11/11/17 - Noon EST Updated lines
BYES: BAL, KC, OAK, PHI
OFF BYES: CHI, CLE, LAC, MIN, NE, PIT
BYE UP: NYJ, IND, SF, CAR
TNF
SEA @ ARZ +7 4-1 SU Self skinned Squawks, 2TO's, miss 3 FG, 16 flags. Cards 3-2 SU SF, TB, SF pt diff +18pts; L's Philly, Rams = 7-67, no wins vs +500 team. Gulls look past div rival to ATL? Last 4 vs Zona SU 1-2-1 LOCK
EARLY
MIN PK @ WAS Post Gull Skins back to DC #28runO faces 4W off bye Norse #3RoadD
GB @ CHI -3 MNF Trip L Pack face off bye Chairs, avenge 4TO Wk5 div rival L LOCK
PIT -9.5 @ IND Bye up Dolts #32D hosts off bye Riveters #5D, look past to TNF Tuxes?
LAC @ JAX PK Shags #1RunO hosts off bye Bolts #31runD. Stains next.
NYJ @ TB +3 TNF bye up Jets #27 road D+O visit 5L Bucs #30PassD, revenge of Fitz?
CIN @ TEN -3.5 -9TOM Gals #32run 1+100gm; Tux homeD:#9run,+100yd = 3L's, look to PIT?
CLE @ DET -9.5 MNF Trip Home L Kats #4PassO look past off bye #32RZD Stains to Chairs? LOCK
NO @ BUF +3.5 3TO TNF +11TOM home #2runO Bison; 6W Halos road #25runD, #29YPC, last 3 -3TOM
LATE
HOU @ LAR -3 B2B L Savage Texans #31Road PassD faces Rams #1 YPC Pass O LOCK
NYG +2.5 @ SF Post Ram rout Gmen go West face bye up 9ers in Toilet Bowl, WHY!!!
DAL +4 @ ATL Trip W Pokes look past 1-4 Birds to Cheese Steaks? Ground game: home #9O vs away #6D; home #15D vs away #4O. Son of Buzzi Out. Poke RB's C+ = Big D W
SNF
NE -5.5 @ DEN Off bye Belichick's #1O, #32D visit post Philly rout, 4L w/13TO's, -12TOM, #2ydD. Mr. Ed's QB-less Buncos need it badly, alas poor Wilbur LOCK
MNF
MIA @ CAR -7.5 Bye up Pants #1D hosts SNF B2B L Fins #31O. Cats make Sushi LOCK
Comes To Shove
Since we count a push as a win, and NFLPickWatch does not, we list our push games YTD, 4 pushes, 2 involving locks.
Wk3 NY 24 @ 27 PHI -3 LOCK
Wk4 WAS +9 20 @ 29 KC LOCK
Wk7 NYJ 28 @ 31 MIA -3
Wk8 BAL 20 @ 23 TEN -3
Resources
Spread courtesy of VegasInsider, OddsShark, Covers, and the Westgate Advance Line here and here.
One can find the advance line for every week of the season, going back to Week 2, courtesy of John Morgan at PatsFan. If not, then try Jeff Sherman's Twitter feed, he is the manager of the Westgate Super Book.
As we enjoy his commentary, humor and interesting observations, Walter Cherepinsky at NESN has weekly in depth analysis of each game.
Stats and ATS (Against The Spread) courtesy of the indispensable Pro Football Reference
Comments