2017 NFL Week 9 Picks Against The Spread
Rather than Thursday's in the Loo, it's time for NFL Football picks in the toilet.... putting that content down loading time to good use?
During mid season Halloween house cleaning, we took the time to insert game scores in all prior posts. In doing so, we checked the lines posted and discovered two errors.
Wk3 - NY 24 @ 27 PHI -3.5 - LOCK - spread was found at -3, loss changes to a push - win.
Wk8 - LAC +7.5 13 @ 21 NE - spread was found at +8 through +9, loss changes to win.
Since we count a push as a win, and NFLPickWatch does not, we also decided to list our push games YTD, and will continue to do so. 3 pushes on 3 games and 2 locks.
Wk3 - NY 24 @ 27 PHI -3 LOCK
Wk4 WAS +9 20 @ 29 KC LOCK
Wk7 NYJ 28 @ 31 MIA -3
RESULTS Week 8 Picks - Our pick is the team with the number, winners highlighted. A push is a win.
MIA 0 @ 40 BAL -3
MIN -7.5 33 @ 16 CLE (UK)
CHI +9.5 12 @ 20 NO
ATL 25 @ 20 NYJ +7
CAR +2.5 17 @ 3 TB LOCK
SF 10 @ 33 PHI -10
OAK 14 @ 34 BUF -1.5 LOCK
IND 23 @ 24 CIN -3.5 LOCK advance line, closed -10.5, this was a setup game
LAC +9 13 @ 21 NE
HOU +7 38 @ 41 SEA
DAL +1 33 @ 19 WAS LOCK
PIT 20 @ 15 DET +3 - Kitties don't close 5 FG's, Riveters GL stand, 97 yd TD the other way
DEN +7.5 19 @ 29 KC Simean 3 ints, what could they do with Kaepernick?
How did we do? This weeks matchup's were easy? #1 Yahoo 4-9; #2 MMQB 7-6; #3 Yours Truly 10-3. What changed or did we do differently? This week, perhaps we will utilize a double headed wooden nickel?
That's life, that's what all the bookies say, you're ridin high pre kickoff, shot down by late Sunday....
Week 1: 13-2 = 87% - Locks 4-0 = 100%
Week 2: 10-6 = 63% - Locks 5-1 = 83%
Week 3: 9-7 = 56% - Locks 3-3 = 50%
Week 4: 8-8 = 50% - Locks 5-0 = 100%
Week 5: 6-8 = 43% - Locks 2-3 = 40%
Week 6: 7-7 = 50% - Locks 1-3 = 25%
Week 7: 6-9 = 40% - Locks 2-3 = 40%
Week 8: 10-3 = 77% - Locks 3-1 = 75%
YTD: 69-50 = 58% - Locks 25-14 = 64%
Still #1 % winner on the web (cherry picking games - LOCKS). And despite 5 horrible week's, we catapult to #1 on the web (picking all games ATS).
If we subtract the 3 pushes from 69, with 66 correct, we are tied with #2 Sports Illustrated's MMQB Tom Mantzouranis, only one back of Yahoo's Frank Schwab at #1. Shaking our head in disbelief while Moving West...
Week 9 Picks - Our pick is highlighted. As always, I reserve the right to take the advance or opening line, shop the line, and make changes well in advance of Sunday kickoff.
Still two perfect teams, Baghdad By The Bay Phony Niners and Brown Floater Mistake On The Lake. And then there was one, with a bye, the Stains remain perfect.
BYES: CHI, CLE, LAC, MIN, NE, PIT
OFF BYES: ARZ, GB, JAX, LAR, NYG, TEN
BYE UP: BAL, KC, OAK, PHI
TNF
BUF -2.5 @ NYJ +14TOM #8RunO Bison look past Jersey Shore to Big Easy? #27RunD rival home dog Trip L Yets, avenge Wk1 21-12 L? This game has me nervous.
DEN +9 @ PHI Trip L's, 3rd rd gm, -11 TOM, MNF, Ostweiler carrion? #1D Anderson holds rock, shock? LOCK
LAR -3 @ NYG Off bye Rams #32road runD face off bye #27O and D Gmen. LOCK
TB +7.5 @ NO 4L streak Bucs #31roadD sails into rival 5W dome D: #30Pass, #30YARun
CIN @ JAX -2 Off bye +8 TOM Jags host post Dolt struggle -10 TOM road Gals.
ATL @ CAR +2.5 #1TOP -7 TOM Pants host rival +5 TOM #31DTOP Birds. LOCK
IND +14.5 @ HOU Post SEA favs 15-31 ATS, Texans look past defenseless Dolts to Rams?
BAL @ TEN -3 Off bye Tuxes home #3runO. 40-0 TNF Poes #30runD, on road #26
ARZ @ SF +3 Off bye no Carson Cards look past 9ers to Gulls. B2B +20pt L home dogs avenge Wk4 18-15 OT rival L
WAS +8 @ SEA B2B L Skins road D#26run #28pts, O#6run. 4W Gulls home #26runD.
KC @ DAL +1.5 MNF Chefs +10TOM #30 D faces Big D sans son of Buzzi? Meh Morris McFadden git er done. LOCK
SNF
OAK -1 @ MIA Kaepernick snubbing Fins blown out on TNF 40-0 #32O, sans traded RB Ajayi, host 4TO 34-14 L Traitors #25D, road #30runO. Neither team can hold the ball or run, Carr can throw? This is the next Toilet Bowl up from 9ers-Zona, ugly.
MNF
DET PK @ GB Trip L (in dome also) SNF Kats face off bye Hundley Pack, what could they do with Kaepernick? LOCK
Resources
Spread courtesy of VegasInsider, OddsShark, Covers, and the Westgate Advance Line here and here.
One can find the advance line for every week of the season, going back to Week 2, courtesy of John Morgan at PatsFan.
As we enjoy his commentary, humor and interesting observations, Walter Cherepinsky at NESN has weekly in depth analysis of each game.
Stats and ATS (Against The Spread) courtesy of the indispensable Pro Football Reference
During mid season Halloween house cleaning, we took the time to insert game scores in all prior posts. In doing so, we checked the lines posted and discovered two errors.
Wk3 - NY 24 @ 27 PHI -3.5 - LOCK - spread was found at -3, loss changes to a push - win.
Wk8 - LAC +7.5 13 @ 21 NE - spread was found at +8 through +9, loss changes to win.
Since we count a push as a win, and NFLPickWatch does not, we also decided to list our push games YTD, and will continue to do so. 3 pushes on 3 games and 2 locks.
Wk3 - NY 24 @ 27 PHI -3 LOCK
Wk4 WAS +9 20 @ 29 KC LOCK
Wk7 NYJ 28 @ 31 MIA -3
RESULTS Week 8 Picks - Our pick is the team with the number, winners highlighted. A push is a win.
MIA 0 @ 40 BAL -3
MIN -7.5 33 @ 16 CLE (UK)
CHI +9.5 12 @ 20 NO
ATL 25 @ 20 NYJ +7
CAR +2.5 17 @ 3 TB LOCK
SF 10 @ 33 PHI -10
OAK 14 @ 34 BUF -1.5 LOCK
IND 23 @ 24 CIN -3.5 LOCK advance line, closed -10.5, this was a setup game
LAC +9 13 @ 21 NE
HOU +7 38 @ 41 SEA
DAL +1 33 @ 19 WAS LOCK
PIT 20 @ 15 DET +3 - Kitties don't close 5 FG's, Riveters GL stand, 97 yd TD the other way
DEN +7.5 19 @ 29 KC Simean 3 ints, what could they do with Kaepernick?
How did we do? This weeks matchup's were easy? #1 Yahoo 4-9; #2 MMQB 7-6; #3 Yours Truly 10-3. What changed or did we do differently? This week, perhaps we will utilize a double headed wooden nickel?
That's life, that's what all the bookies say, you're ridin high pre kickoff, shot down by late Sunday....
Week 1: 13-2 = 87% - Locks 4-0 = 100%
Week 2: 10-6 = 63% - Locks 5-1 = 83%
Week 3: 9-7 = 56% - Locks 3-3 = 50%
Week 4: 8-8 = 50% - Locks 5-0 = 100%
Week 5: 6-8 = 43% - Locks 2-3 = 40%
Week 6: 7-7 = 50% - Locks 1-3 = 25%
Week 7: 6-9 = 40% - Locks 2-3 = 40%
Week 8: 10-3 = 77% - Locks 3-1 = 75%
YTD: 69-50 = 58% - Locks 25-14 = 64%
Still #1 % winner on the web (cherry picking games - LOCKS). And despite 5 horrible week's, we catapult to #1 on the web (picking all games ATS).
If we subtract the 3 pushes from 69, with 66 correct, we are tied with #2 Sports Illustrated's MMQB Tom Mantzouranis, only one back of Yahoo's Frank Schwab at #1. Shaking our head in disbelief while Moving West...
Week 9 Picks - Our pick is highlighted. As always, I reserve the right to take the advance or opening line, shop the line, and make changes well in advance of Sunday kickoff.
Still two perfect teams, Baghdad By The Bay Phony Niners and Brown Floater Mistake On The Lake. And then there was one, with a bye, the Stains remain perfect.
BYES: CHI, CLE, LAC, MIN, NE, PIT
OFF BYES: ARZ, GB, JAX, LAR, NYG, TEN
BYE UP: BAL, KC, OAK, PHI
TNF
BUF -2.5 @ NYJ +14TOM #8RunO Bison look past Jersey Shore to Big Easy? #27RunD rival home dog Trip L Yets, avenge Wk1 21-12 L? This game has me nervous.
DEN +9 @ PHI Trip L's, 3rd rd gm, -11 TOM, MNF, Ostweiler carrion? #1D Anderson holds rock, shock? LOCK
LAR -3 @ NYG Off bye Rams #32road runD face off bye #27O and D Gmen. LOCK
TB +7.5 @ NO 4L streak Bucs #31roadD sails into rival 5W dome D: #30Pass, #30YARun
CIN @ JAX -2 Off bye +8 TOM Jags host post Dolt struggle -10 TOM road Gals.
ATL @ CAR +2.5 #1TOP -7 TOM Pants host rival +5 TOM #31DTOP Birds. LOCK
IND +14.5 @ HOU Post SEA favs 15-31 ATS, Texans look past defenseless Dolts to Rams?
BAL @ TEN -3 Off bye Tuxes home #3runO. 40-0 TNF Poes #30runD, on road #26
ARZ @ SF +3 Off bye no Carson Cards look past 9ers to Gulls. B2B +20pt L home dogs avenge Wk4 18-15 OT rival L
WAS +8 @ SEA B2B L Skins road D#26run #28pts, O#6run. 4W Gulls home #26runD.
KC @ DAL +1.5 MNF Chefs +10TOM #30 D faces Big D sans son of Buzzi? Meh Morris McFadden git er done. LOCK
SNF
OAK -1 @ MIA Kaepernick snubbing Fins blown out on TNF 40-0 #32O, sans traded RB Ajayi, host 4TO 34-14 L Traitors #25D, road #30runO. Neither team can hold the ball or run, Carr can throw? This is the next Toilet Bowl up from 9ers-Zona, ugly.
MNF
DET PK @ GB Trip L (in dome also) SNF Kats face off bye Hundley Pack, what could they do with Kaepernick? LOCK
Spread courtesy of VegasInsider, OddsShark, Covers, and the Westgate Advance Line here and here.
One can find the advance line for every week of the season, going back to Week 2, courtesy of John Morgan at PatsFan.
As we enjoy his commentary, humor and interesting observations, Walter Cherepinsky at NESN has weekly in depth analysis of each game.
Stats and ATS (Against The Spread) courtesy of the indispensable Pro Football Reference
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