COVID19: I Dream Of Jeannie?
We've Nattered about crowded environments, transmission, seasonal flu numbers, mortality rates, imagined vs real, the backdraft of draconian measures, predicted "superspreader" events, pigs in a poke, monetary policy, preexisting conditions, a lack of global leadership, social habits and cultures for many reasons. Unlike others, this was not to infer that COVID19 is much ado about nothing...
In tonight's genea-logical offering one can find a veritable plethora of seeds, plantings, trees of viral prognostications, some Gin in a bottle, a Jeannie out of the bottle, cunning Jinn that promise to grant your wishes, replete with a "ye sow, so shall ye reap" theme. On with the show and a tree of viral prognostication...
Pleased to meet you, hope you guess my name ... Captain Trips? (not Uncle Jerry's LSD). - Jan 21, 2020. 06:07 PM
A day to remember... although it started December 8th; (given incubation probably three weeks earlier) the gene was sequenced January 10, and confirmed to be communicable human to human January 20. - Pleased To Meet You? - 02/03
"I never go to hospitals, that’s where all the sick people are." COVID19 had begun to spread weeks before the Wuhan fresh food market outbreak, with more than a third of the earliest cases having no connection with the market. - Same Bat Time? - 02/24
US Flu Deaths... nothing to do with antibiotics being handed out for decades like Chocks children's vitamins? Back to the old joke... [started ticking transmission boxes] Along the lines of... "superspreader" events, one might bet their entire net worth, that you nor anyone you know were even thinking about this... Fat Tuesday... we might just find out how virulent this virus IS or IS NOT by March 11 to 21st? - Same Bat Channel? - 02/26
Since we outlined a potential "Carnival" super-spreader event, confirmed cases in Europe, Italy, Japan, South Korea and Iran and its neighboring countries have all confirmed our theory by spiking. Tick the MILITARY BASE BOX? Tick SCHOOL BOX? Tick AIRPLANE or any PUBLIC VENUE BOX? Alas, if only shutting the Southern U.S. border would stop a virus from entering. - Secondary Infection? 03/02
As predicted on Twitter March 7th... last week the US vaulted into the top 10 with 20K. Over the weekend the US vaulted... with 40K to temporarily trail only China and Italy... 3200 [US] seeds over 114 days... and those 20K have been walking around undiagnosed... Ceteris Paribus, in short order [US] 160K reported, with another 250K as yet, is neither a parabolic stretch nor vivid imagination... [global] expect 400K in a day or so, parabolic thereafter... we could see 20M by the end of May, and 4B by the end of July - mid August... - Parabellum? - 03/23
As predicted: First, infected cases exploding past 500K, unchecked circa April 5th to 1M? Second, with 67K+ the US is now #1 in active cases. Third, 3.28M highest number of initial jobless claims in history. - Social Disease? - 03/26
Now picking up where COVID19: Viral Vectors? left off on 03/30... Nothing strange last November in Lombardy, as it is obvious that COVID19 was ALREADY present... as diagnosed cases see another spike past the 1M mark this week... if one thinks Italy has it bad, higher affluence and mobility in the US will make the former rate of spread, look like Rodin's The Thinker, as in standing still in the gates of hell.
Speaking of spread or attack rates... with four simply implemented common sense measures, school closure, self quarantine for infected adults and children, 50% work from home, 50% reduction in daily contacts...
...had China not delayed eight weeks in telling the truth, and had EEG flat-lining world leaders reacted in a timely fashion with non draconian measures such as above, we would be looking at a 6% rather than 66% attack rate, and functioning economies. Instead, the COVID19 Jeannie has broken protocol, is out of the bottle and cannot be put back in. Indeed, timing is everything and speaking of which...
Above, a quarantine for Major's Healy and Nelson's flag planting results in Jeannie breaking protocol. Apropos for our purposes and as for Barbara Eden, one word, capital letter, double down... Hubba-Hubba. Moving West...
As predicted, 1. last Thursday 04/02 global cases flew past 1M to 1.25M on 04/06. 2. US cases vaulted past 300K to 336K. Perhaps 2M global circa 04/15, with the US hitting 1M around 04/21? TBD. Upon which many might hit a bottle of "Mother's Ruin" with some Tonic? Some of the constituents therein might serve them well? Gin - Juniper Berries (plant) + Tonic - Quinine (tree bark). Hydroxychloroquine, an analog of the latter being tested on the fly in New York and Rome, TBD. The Nattering One muses...
Another consequence of knee jerk, dim witted responses which affect the supply chain, effects farmers being forced to dump highly perishable foods, milk, cheese and butter in increasing amounts. Yet, its all hands on deck with tens of Trillions for the false "profit" banksters, Wall St and buy back rich Corps? What of the Food Chain? Starving? Shelterless? Indigent? Poor? Uninsured? Let them eat cake, W.H.O. CARES $1200 and SBA Un-Obtanium Loans? But what else did one expect? and coming full circle to Ye Reap What Ye Sow?
As we have Nattered before, "its a cult-ture, its a mindset", which virally begets a disturbing disregard for public safety, welfare and your fellow man. All the profit motive celebrations, events and travel modes which were sown as "the band played on" are now reaping some rich "late cancellation fees". So called global "leadership" reaction and efforts have been laughably misdirected and late. The Genie is indeed out of the bottle, but not the one expected? Moral of tonight's story? As for Jinn who are pleased to meet you, and promise to grant wishes to serve their "master's" in exchange for being released from a bottle... one should not have to guess their name, and have no sympathy for such.
Be well, more to come in COVID19: YGBFK? Stay tuned, no flippin.
Recommended Reading:
COVID19: Corona Virus Series
Visual Capitalist: Math Behind Social Distancing
Imperial College COVID19 Global Impact Study 03/26 Ver 2
Dairy Farmers Dump
In tonight's genea-logical offering one can find a veritable plethora of seeds, plantings, trees of viral prognostications, some Gin in a bottle, a Jeannie out of the bottle, cunning Jinn that promise to grant your wishes, replete with a "ye sow, so shall ye reap" theme. On with the show and a tree of viral prognostication...
Pleased to meet you, hope you guess my name ... Captain Trips? (not Uncle Jerry's LSD). - Jan 21, 2020. 06:07 PM
A day to remember... although it started December 8th; (given incubation probably three weeks earlier) the gene was sequenced January 10, and confirmed to be communicable human to human January 20. - Pleased To Meet You? - 02/03
"I never go to hospitals, that’s where all the sick people are." COVID19 had begun to spread weeks before the Wuhan fresh food market outbreak, with more than a third of the earliest cases having no connection with the market. - Same Bat Time? - 02/24
Since we outlined a potential "Carnival" super-spreader event, confirmed cases in Europe, Italy, Japan, South Korea and Iran and its neighboring countries have all confirmed our theory by spiking. Tick the MILITARY BASE BOX? Tick SCHOOL BOX? Tick AIRPLANE or any PUBLIC VENUE BOX? Alas, if only shutting the Southern U.S. border would stop a virus from entering. - Secondary Infection? 03/02
Add these containment and transmission BOXES to be ticked... Even with a conservative reduced flu like R0 at 1.3, [our] modeling estimates indicate [in the US] 300K infected by late March to early April. If COVID19 reaches 50% of the worlds population, which it could by the time an efficacious vaccine is available for the masses... - Bat Out Of Hell? - 03/04
Add these containment and transmission BOXES to be ticked off (literally)... [Followed by March 7th Tweet's of our estimates for Global, US and Russia based on October - Jan 23rd "pre seeding" from Wuhan] - Pig In A Poke? - 03/10
As for a viral pandemic which as predicted should accelerate further mid to late March? that single strand of RNA is not the real culprit for the markets and economic fallout. - Great Gig In The Sky? - 03/12
The new normal? Cut after cut, necessitating intervention after increased intervention.. perverse policy blunder after blunder... exacts an economic toll. And remember all of the above was BEFORE coronavirus had any impact. - The Sound Of Silence? - 03/17
As predicted: First, infected cases exploding past 500K, unchecked circa April 5th to 1M? Second, with 67K+ the US is now #1 in active cases. Third, 3.28M highest number of initial jobless claims in history. - Social Disease? - 03/26
Now picking up where COVID19: Viral Vectors? left off on 03/30... Nothing strange last November in Lombardy, as it is obvious that COVID19 was ALREADY present... as diagnosed cases see another spike past the 1M mark this week... if one thinks Italy has it bad, higher affluence and mobility in the US will make the former rate of spread, look like Rodin's The Thinker, as in standing still in the gates of hell.
Speaking of spread or attack rates... with four simply implemented common sense measures, school closure, self quarantine for infected adults and children, 50% work from home, 50% reduction in daily contacts...
Above, a quarantine for Major's Healy and Nelson's flag planting results in Jeannie breaking protocol. Apropos for our purposes and as for Barbara Eden, one word, capital letter, double down... Hubba-Hubba. Moving West...
As predicted, 1. last Thursday 04/02 global cases flew past 1M to 1.25M on 04/06. 2. US cases vaulted past 300K to 336K. Perhaps 2M global circa 04/15, with the US hitting 1M around 04/21? TBD. Upon which many might hit a bottle of "Mother's Ruin" with some Tonic? Some of the constituents therein might serve them well? Gin - Juniper Berries (plant) + Tonic - Quinine (tree bark). Hydroxychloroquine, an analog of the latter being tested on the fly in New York and Rome, TBD. The Nattering One muses...
Another consequence of knee jerk, dim witted responses which affect the supply chain, effects farmers being forced to dump highly perishable foods, milk, cheese and butter in increasing amounts. Yet, its all hands on deck with tens of Trillions for the false "profit" banksters, Wall St and buy back rich Corps? What of the Food Chain? Starving? Shelterless? Indigent? Poor? Uninsured? Let them eat cake, W.H.O. CARES $1200 and SBA Un-Obtanium Loans? But what else did one expect? and coming full circle to Ye Reap What Ye Sow?
As we have Nattered before, "its a cult-ture, its a mindset", which virally begets a disturbing disregard for public safety, welfare and your fellow man. All the profit motive celebrations, events and travel modes which were sown as "the band played on" are now reaping some rich "late cancellation fees". So called global "leadership" reaction and efforts have been laughably misdirected and late. The Genie is indeed out of the bottle, but not the one expected? Moral of tonight's story? As for Jinn who are pleased to meet you, and promise to grant wishes to serve their "master's" in exchange for being released from a bottle... one should not have to guess their name, and have no sympathy for such.
Be well, more to come in COVID19: YGBFK? Stay tuned, no flippin.
Recommended Reading:
COVID19: Corona Virus Series
Visual Capitalist: Math Behind Social Distancing
Imperial College COVID19 Global Impact Study 03/26 Ver 2
Dairy Farmers Dump
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