2017 NFL Week 11 Picks Against The Spread
Rather than Thursday's in the Loo, it's time for NFL Football picks in the toilet.... putting that content down loading time to good use?
RESULTS Week 10 Picks - Our pick is the team with the number, winners highlighted. A push is a win (see YTD pushes at bottom).
TNF
SEA 22 @ 16 ARZ +7 LOCK 5-1 SU Squawks, lose Sherman, do not self destruct. Cards did, fumble kills drive, missed PA, safety, pts cost later in game. No wins vs +500 team
EARLY
MIN PK 38 @ 30 WAS Off bye Norse get 5th straight W
SNF
NE -5.5 41 @ 16 DEN LOCK Bunco special teams, muffed punt, allow 103yd KO return, 2 TO's. Mr. Ed's QB-less Buncos need Kaepernick, alas poor Wilbur
MNF
MIA 21 @ 45 CAR -7.5 LOCK Pants made 548yds of Sushi.
At the moment, #1 % winner on the web (cherry picking games ATS -Lox and Bagels), and #1 on the web (picking all NFL games ATS).
Since we count a push as a win, and NFLPickWatch does not, subtract our 4 pushes (2 on lox) from 87, we are #1 at 83-59-4; with lox 32-16.
Opening a 3 game lead on #2 Yahoo's Frank Schwab, and 4 up on Mergola Sportfolio, and Mantzouranis and Breer Sports Illustrated's MMQB, all tied at #3.
Shaking our head in absolute disbelief while Moving West...
Week 11 Picks - Our pick is highlighted. As always, I reserve the right to take the advance or opening line, shop the line, and make changes, all well in advance of kickoff.
And then there was one, Brown Floaters Mistake On The Lake still perfect. We need a boat load of bagels, because there are NINE LOX on the board.
BYES: CAR, IND, NYJ, SF
TNF
Comes To Shove
Since we count a push as a win, and NFLPickWatch does not, we list our push games YTD, 4 pushes, 2 involving locks.
Wk3 NY 24 @ 27 PHI -3 LOCK
Wk4 WAS +9 20 @ 29 KC LOCK
Wk7 NYJ 28 @ 31 MIA -3
Wk8 BAL 20 @ 23 TEN -3
Resources
One can find the advance line for week 2- 8 of the season, courtesy of John Morgan at PatsFan.
As we enjoy his commentary, humor and interesting observations, Walter Cherepinsky at NESN has weekly in depth analysis of each game.
Stats and ATS (Against The Spread) courtesy of the indispensable Pro Football Reference
RESULTS Week 10 Picks - Our pick is the team with the number, winners highlighted. A push is a win (see YTD pushes at bottom).
TNF
SEA 22 @ 16 ARZ +7 LOCK 5-1 SU Squawks, lose Sherman, do not self destruct. Cards did, fumble kills drive, missed PA, safety, pts cost later in game. No wins vs +500 team
EARLY
MIN PK 38 @ 30 WAS Off bye Norse get 5th straight W
GB 23 @ 16 CHI -3 LOCK Chairs coach out-FOXed a TD on IDIOTIC pylon challenge
PIT -9.5 20 @ 17 IND Riveters look past Dolts to TNF Tuxes, 17pt rally
LAC 17 @ 20 JAX PK Shags D saves day in OT. Stains next
NYJ 10 @ 15 TB +3 Bucs snap 5L streak by giving Yets real Fitz
CIN 20 @ 24 TEN -3.5 - Tux gave Gals 17pts, miss FG, pick=3yd TD, endzone TB fumble
CLE 24 @ 38 DET -9.5 LOCK Kats allow +200yd rush, look past sloppy Stains to Chairs
NO 47 @ 10 BUF +3.5 7W Halos D pen up and stampede Bison with 298yds rushing
NYG +2.5 21 @ 31 SF 9ers 186yds rush win Toilet Bowl to lose #1 draft pick. WHY!!!
DAL +4 7 @ 27 ATL Hungry Birds dominated Pokes. OT Tyron Smith's injury is BIG: O-line allow 8 SACKS, 2 fumbles, net 126yds pass, lone TD short 21yd drive post int.
SNF
NE -5.5 41 @ 16 DEN LOCK Bunco special teams, muffed punt, allow 103yd KO return, 2 TO's. Mr. Ed's QB-less Buncos need Kaepernick, alas poor Wilbur
MNF
MIA 21 @ 45 CAR -7.5 LOCK Pants made 548yds of Sushi.
How did we do? not bad 9-5. No pushes. Our errors JAX -3 opened PK at Stations Casino, TEN -3.5 at two online books, blinders on much? Shall we continue to utilize a double headed wooden nickel in making our selections? Perhaps...
That's life, that's what all the bookies say, you're ridin high pre game, shot down by late Sunday....
Week 01: 13-2 = 87% - Lox 4-0 = 100%
Week 02: 10-6 = 63% - Lox 5-1 = 83%
Week 03: 9-7 = 56% - Lox 3-3 = 50%
Week 04: 8-8 = 50% - Lox 5-0 = 100%
Week 05: 6-8 = 43% - Lox 2-3 = 40%
Week 06: 7-7 = 50% - Lox 1-3 = 25%
Week 07: 6-9 = 40% - Lox 2-3 = 40%
Week 08: 10-3 = 77% - Lox 3-1 = 75%
Week 09: 9-4 = 69% - Lox 4-1 = 80%
Week 10: 9-5 = 64% - Lox 5-1 = 83%
YTD: 87-59 = 60% - Locks 34-16 = 68%
That's life, that's what all the bookies say, you're ridin high pre game, shot down by late Sunday....
Week 01: 13-2 = 87% - Lox 4-0 = 100%
Week 02: 10-6 = 63% - Lox 5-1 = 83%
Week 03: 9-7 = 56% - Lox 3-3 = 50%
Week 04: 8-8 = 50% - Lox 5-0 = 100%
Week 05: 6-8 = 43% - Lox 2-3 = 40%
Week 06: 7-7 = 50% - Lox 1-3 = 25%
Week 07: 6-9 = 40% - Lox 2-3 = 40%
Week 08: 10-3 = 77% - Lox 3-1 = 75%
Week 09: 9-4 = 69% - Lox 4-1 = 80%
Week 10: 9-5 = 64% - Lox 5-1 = 83%
YTD: 87-59 = 60% - Locks 34-16 = 68%
At the moment, #1 % winner on the web (cherry picking games ATS -Lox and Bagels), and #1 on the web (picking all NFL games ATS).
Since we count a push as a win, and NFLPickWatch does not, subtract our 4 pushes (2 on lox) from 87, we are #1 at 83-59-4; with lox 32-16.
Opening a 3 game lead on #2 Yahoo's Frank Schwab, and 4 up on Mergola Sportfolio, and Mantzouranis and Breer Sports Illustrated's MMQB, all tied at #3.
Shaking our head in absolute disbelief while Moving West...
Week 11 Picks - Our pick is highlighted. As always, I reserve the right to take the advance or opening line, shop the line, and make changes, all well in advance of kickoff.
And then there was one, Brown Floaters Mistake On The Lake still perfect. We need a boat load of bagels, because there are NINE LOX on the board.
BYES: CAR, IND, NYJ, SF
OFF BYES: BAL, KC, OAK, PHI
BYE UP: NONE
TNF
TEN +8 @ PIT LOCK Both 4W streak. Road Tuxes #32PassO; #7RunO. Riveters home: #1PassD; #26RunD. Steelers stuff box, dare Mariota. When either D allows +100rush = Loss
EARLY
DET -2.5 @ CHI B2B L Chairs Home #32PassO, vs div rival Kats SU 1-7. Kitty Road D #8Pass, #9Run, look past to THU Turkey with Norsemen?
KC -9.5 @ NYG LOCK Off bye (Reid 13-5 ATS) Chefs #5O, #30D at #27O #31D, Phony 9ers 474yds vs Gmen? Over 42.5 LOCK
DET -2.5 @ CHI B2B L Chairs Home #32PassO, vs div rival Kats SU 1-7. Kitty Road D #8Pass, #9Run, look past to THU Turkey with Norsemen?
KC -9.5 @ NYG LOCK Off bye (Reid 13-5 ATS) Chefs #5O, #30D at #27O #31D, Phony 9ers 474yds vs Gmen? Over 42.5 LOCK
TB @ MIA +1.5 Bucs Road #31D #31RunO at MNF Trip L Fins Home #28O #7RunD
BAL -1 @ GB Off bye (7-2 ATS) Poes RoadD #2Pass #21Run. Pack Home O #24Pass #21Run
LAR +3 @ MIN 4W (+8TOM) Rams Road #2RunO 159yd SF, DAL, JAX, NYG. 5W Vikos Home #3RunD 63yd TB, DET, GB, BAL. Something and somebody gives.
ARI @ HOU +2.5 Tough luck Trip L Savage Texans #27PassD, Home #25RunD. TNF Post Squawk (fav 15-33 ATS) Cards Gabbert the night away?
JAX -7 @ CLE Shags TripW Road #1RunO 183yd. Stains Home #2RunD 58yd, last 4 99yd?
WAS @ NO -7 7W Halos Home #7PassO #7RunO, look past Skins to Rams? 1-3 SU DC Road D #25Pass #30Run. Track meet? Over 49 LOCK
LATE
BUF +6 @ LAC Both B2B L, Peterman Bison Road O#30Pass, #25Run, #25RunD, look past to Chefs? Home Bolts D #9Pass #30Run, #31RunO, look past to TNF Turkey with Pokes?
CIN @ DEN -1 LOCK 5L SNF Buncos #4D #8Pass #5Run gets off schneid. B2B L road hard (3rd straight) Gals O#25Pass #29Run
OAK @ NE -4.5 LOCK Off bye Traitors O #15Pass, #27Run, #26D vs 5W SNF Pats #1O #32D. Brady vs Carr in Mexico City Track Meet, can't stop me now? Over 50 LOCK
SNF
PHI -1 @ DAL LOCK Son of Buzzi, D lead Lee, OT Tyron Out. Off bye 7W Birds of Prey feast on Pokes O-line carrion. Advance line was -1, went to -5.5, there are many reasons.
MNF
ATL @ SEA -2.5 LOCK Birds Freeman? Post D Poking, same flock SU 2-4? TNF Squawks Thomas back. Brown, Chancellor? Sherman Out, SU 5-1. Happy bird go cheap, cheap.
LAR +3 @ MIN 4W (+8TOM) Rams Road #2RunO 159yd SF, DAL, JAX, NYG. 5W Vikos Home #3RunD 63yd TB, DET, GB, BAL. Something and somebody gives.
ARI @ HOU +2.5 Tough luck Trip L Savage Texans #27PassD, Home #25RunD. TNF Post Squawk (fav 15-33 ATS) Cards Gabbert the night away?
JAX -7 @ CLE Shags TripW Road #1RunO 183yd. Stains Home #2RunD 58yd, last 4 99yd?
WAS @ NO -7 7W Halos Home #7PassO #7RunO, look past Skins to Rams? 1-3 SU DC Road D #25Pass #30Run. Track meet? Over 49 LOCK
LATE
BUF +6 @ LAC Both B2B L, Peterman Bison Road O#30Pass, #25Run, #25RunD, look past to Chefs? Home Bolts D #9Pass #30Run, #31RunO, look past to TNF Turkey with Pokes?
CIN @ DEN -1 LOCK 5L SNF Buncos #4D #8Pass #5Run gets off schneid. B2B L road hard (3rd straight) Gals O#25Pass #29Run
OAK @ NE -4.5 LOCK Off bye Traitors O #15Pass, #27Run, #26D vs 5W SNF Pats #1O #32D. Brady vs Carr in Mexico City Track Meet, can't stop me now? Over 50 LOCK
SNF
PHI -1 @ DAL LOCK Son of Buzzi, D lead Lee, OT Tyron Out. Off bye 7W Birds of Prey feast on Pokes O-line carrion. Advance line was -1, went to -5.5, there are many reasons.
MNF
ATL @ SEA -2.5 LOCK Birds Freeman? Post D Poking, same flock SU 2-4? TNF Squawks Thomas back. Brown, Chancellor? Sherman Out, SU 5-1. Happy bird go cheap, cheap.
Comes To Shove
Since we count a push as a win, and NFLPickWatch does not, we list our push games YTD, 4 pushes, 2 involving locks.
Wk3 NY 24 @ 27 PHI -3 LOCK
Wk4 WAS +9 20 @ 29 KC LOCK
Wk7 NYJ 28 @ 31 MIA -3
Wk8 BAL 20 @ 23 TEN -3
Resources
Spread courtesy of VegasInsider, OddsShark, Covers, and the Westgate Advance Line here and here.
One can find the advance line for week 2- 8 of the season, courtesy of John Morgan at PatsFan.
Although the line differs on occasion from the links above, try Jeff Sherman's Twitter feed, he is the manager of the Westgate Super Book.
As we enjoy his commentary, humor and interesting observations, Walter Cherepinsky at NESN has weekly in depth analysis of each game.
Stats and ATS (Against The Spread) courtesy of the indispensable Pro Football Reference
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