2017 NFL Week 12 Picks Against The Spread
Rather than Thursday's in the Loo, it's time for NFL Football picks in the toilet.... putting that content down loading time to good use?
RESULTS Week 11 Picks - Our pick is the team with the number, winners highlighted. A push is a win (see YTD pushes at bottom).
TNF
EARLY
How did we do? Much like little Charlie with an everlasting Wonka Gobstopper, we sucked hard at 6-8. The error of our ways? Thinking we actually know anything, then getting greedy and stupid (those are the same thing?) with a boat load of lox. Topping? Performing stupid pet tricks by flopping to four dogs from favs who went 11-3 ATS.
Shall we continue to utilize a double headed wooden nickel in making our selections? Perhaps... That's life, that's what all the bookies say, you're ridin high pre game, shot down by late Sunday....
Week 01: 13-2 = 87% - Lox 4-0 = 100%
Week 02: 10-6 = 63% - Lox 5-1 = 83%
Week 03: 9-7 = 56% - Lox 3-3 = 50%
Week 04: 8-8 = 50% - Lox 5-0 = 100%
Week 05: 6-8 = 43% - Lox 2-3 = 40%
Week 06: 7-7 = 50% - Lox 1-3 = 25%
Week 07: 6-9 = 40% - Lox 2-3 = 40%
Week 08: 10-3 = 77% - Lox 3-1 = 75%
Week 09: 9-4 = 69% - Lox 4-1 = 80%
Week 10: 9-5 = 64% - Lox 5-1 = 83%
Week 11: 6-8 = 43% - Lox 3-6 = 33%
YTD: 93-67 = 58% - Lox 37-22 = 63%
At the moment, #1 % winner on the web (cherry picking games ATS - Lox and Bagels), and #1 on the web (picking all NFL games ATS).
Since we count a push as a win, and NFLPickWatch does not, subtract our 4 pushes (2 on lox) from 94, we are still #1 at 89-67-4; with lox 35-22.
Tied with Yahoo's Frank Schwab and Mantzouranis Sports Illustrated's MMQB, and 3 up on Breer and Gramling at MMQB.
Shaking our head in absolute disbelief while Moving West...
Week 12 Picks - Our pick is highlighted. As always, I reserve the right to take the advance or opening line, shop the line, and make changes, all well in advance of kickoff.
And then there was one, Brown Floaters Mistake On The Lake still perfect. As opposed to last weeks litter of LOX, only one on the board from Turkey Day. Odd matchups, strange week.
BYES: NONE
Revenge of The Gobbler
LAC +4.5 28 @ 6 DAL Due to kicker injury and inability to close, score does not indicate how bad this was. TNF Trip L 3-5 SU Pokes got whipped and put away wet by 515yd Bolts. Prediction: they run the table and win the division, not the Pokes, the Bolts.
Late Leftovers
NYG +9 10 @ WAS 20 Weak Skins dominate feeble Gmen, but can't put it up vs #28RoadD? Failed 4th dwn attempt inside own 30 with 3mins remaining, allows DC FG to cover. Sad
Early
CLE @ CIN -7.5 4-2 SU Gals #26HRunD vs #5RRunO, look past rival Wk4 31-7 W, to PIT? -7pt+ 3-0 ATS vs Stains, who are 2-9 ATS as 7pt+ dog
CHI @ PHI -11 8W SNF Birds -7+ 5-0 ATS in nest ignore 3L 7+ road dog 0-3 ATS Orsi 4 Gulls?
MIA @ NE -14.5 6W Minutemen -7+ 9-4 ATS host 4L rival Moore Fins away 7+ dog 3-7 ATS
BUF +11.5 @ KC Post Gmen 1-4 SU Chefs -7+ 1-8 ATS host B2B blow out Trip L Tyrod Bills
TB +11.5 @ ATL MNF Post Squawk Favs (15-34 ATS) -7+ 1-10 ATS, look past 2W Fitz Bucs #30RoadD to Norsemen?
CAR -4 @ NYJ Off bye TripW Pants #2RoadD looks past off bye 1-4 SU Yets to Halos?
TEN @ IND +6.5 TNF 4TO Road Tuxes 1-5 ATS. Off bye rival Dolts recall Wk6 36-22 L
Late
SEA @ SF +8.5 1-2 SU MNF Gulls -7+ 4-7 ATS look past rival to Philly? Off bye 9ers recall Wk2 12-9 L, 7+ dog 4-2 ATS
NO @ LAR PK 8W Skin miracle D faces gored Gurley Rams vertical attack
JAX @ ARZ +6 Can't run for their life 1-4 SU Gabbert Cards host run happy 4W Shags
DEN @ OAK -4 6L Buncos get Lynched as rival 2-6 SU Traitors recall Wk4 16-10 L
SNF
GB @ PIT -12.5 TNF Riveters as host -7+ 4-1 ATS, get 5TO skunked 23-0 Hundley Pack
MNF
HOU +8 @ BAL Savage Texans Road #32PassD, #6RunO saunters to Edgar Allan's bird nest, Poe's Home #31PassO, #28RunD
Comes To Shove
Wk3 NY 24 @ 27 PHI -3 LOCK
Wk4 WAS +9 20 @ 29 KC LOCK
Wk7 NYJ 28 @ 31 MIA -3
Wk8 BAL 20 @ 23 TEN -3
Resources
One can find the advance line for week 2- 8 of the season, courtesy of John Morgan at PatsFan.
As we enjoy his commentary, humor and interesting observations, Walter Cherepinsky at NESN has weekly in depth analysis of each game.
Stats and ATS (Against The Spread) courtesy of the indispensable Pro Football Reference
RESULTS Week 11 Picks - Our pick is the team with the number, winners highlighted. A push is a win (see YTD pushes at bottom).
TNF
TEN +8 17 @ 40 PIT LOCK Stupid dog flop, had Riveters who cash in 16pts on 4 Tux TO's
EARLY
DET -2.5 27 @ 24 CHI Kats bailed out by 27yd fumble ret TD and late FG
KC -9.5 9 @ 12 NYG LOCK Over 42.5 LOCK. Still on bye Chefs no show, 3TO's, 9 flags
TB 30 @ 20 MIA +1.5 Stupid dog flop had Buccos who drown 4L Fins on 5TO's, 7 flags
BAL -1 23 @ 0 GB Off bye (8-2 ATS) Poes show up to cash in on 5 Hundley Pack TO's
LAR +3 7 @ 24 MIN 6W Vikos 175yd rush, hold Rams, TO at 1yd line, 45yds rush, 22min TOP
KC -9.5 9 @ 12 NYG LOCK Over 42.5 LOCK. Still on bye Chefs no show, 3TO's, 9 flags
TB 30 @ 20 MIA +1.5 Stupid dog flop had Buccos who drown 4L Fins on 5TO's, 7 flags
BAL -1 23 @ 0 GB Off bye (8-2 ATS) Poes show up to cash in on 5 Hundley Pack TO's
LAR +3 7 @ 24 MIN 6W Vikos 175yd rush, hold Rams, TO at 1yd line, 45yds rush, 22min TOP
ARI 21 @ 31 HOU +2.5 Texans hold Post Squawk Cards to 48yd rush w 10 flags
JAX -7 19 @ 7 CLE Shags get 5TO's and sacks, cover on last second end zone fumble 4 TD
WAS 31 @ 34 NO -7 Over 49 LOCK 8W Halos look past, rally from 31-36 in 1Kyd track meet
LATE
BUF +6 24 @ 54 LAC Stupid dog flop had Bolts who made Bison into turkey forcing 6TO's
CIN 20 @ 17 DEN -1 LOCK 2 TO Buncos get put away wet, make road hard Gals look good
OAK 8 @ 33 NE -4.5 LOCK Over 50 LOCK - Pats hold 2TO 8 flag Traitors at MC Track Meet
SNF
PHI -1 37 @ 9 DAL LOCK 8W Birds of Prey feasted on Pokes O-line carrion, 4 sacks and TO's
MNF
ATL @ SEA +2 LOCK Stupid dog flop from Birds to Gulls. Fumble at Gull 10 returned for TD, failed fake FG inside 20, and miss game tying FG. Give away 13 points? This happens.
JAX -7 19 @ 7 CLE Shags get 5TO's and sacks, cover on last second end zone fumble 4 TD
WAS 31 @ 34 NO -7 Over 49 LOCK 8W Halos look past, rally from 31-36 in 1Kyd track meet
LATE
BUF +6 24 @ 54 LAC Stupid dog flop had Bolts who made Bison into turkey forcing 6TO's
CIN 20 @ 17 DEN -1 LOCK 2 TO Buncos get put away wet, make road hard Gals look good
OAK 8 @ 33 NE -4.5 LOCK Over 50 LOCK - Pats hold 2TO 8 flag Traitors at MC Track Meet
SNF
PHI -1 37 @ 9 DAL LOCK 8W Birds of Prey feasted on Pokes O-line carrion, 4 sacks and TO's
MNF
ATL @ SEA +2 LOCK Stupid dog flop from Birds to Gulls. Fumble at Gull 10 returned for TD, failed fake FG inside 20, and miss game tying FG. Give away 13 points? This happens.
How did we do? Much like little Charlie with an everlasting Wonka Gobstopper, we sucked hard at 6-8. The error of our ways? Thinking we actually know anything, then getting greedy and stupid (those are the same thing?) with a boat load of lox. Topping? Performing stupid pet tricks by flopping to four dogs from favs who went 11-3 ATS.
Shall we continue to utilize a double headed wooden nickel in making our selections? Perhaps... That's life, that's what all the bookies say, you're ridin high pre game, shot down by late Sunday....
Week 01: 13-2 = 87% - Lox 4-0 = 100%
Week 02: 10-6 = 63% - Lox 5-1 = 83%
Week 03: 9-7 = 56% - Lox 3-3 = 50%
Week 04: 8-8 = 50% - Lox 5-0 = 100%
Week 05: 6-8 = 43% - Lox 2-3 = 40%
Week 06: 7-7 = 50% - Lox 1-3 = 25%
Week 07: 6-9 = 40% - Lox 2-3 = 40%
Week 08: 10-3 = 77% - Lox 3-1 = 75%
Week 09: 9-4 = 69% - Lox 4-1 = 80%
Week 10: 9-5 = 64% - Lox 5-1 = 83%
Week 11: 6-8 = 43% - Lox 3-6 = 33%
YTD: 93-67 = 58% - Lox 37-22 = 63%
At the moment, #1 % winner on the web (cherry picking games ATS - Lox and Bagels), and #1 on the web (picking all NFL games ATS).
Since we count a push as a win, and NFLPickWatch does not, subtract our 4 pushes (2 on lox) from 94, we are still #1 at 89-67-4; with lox 35-22.
Tied with Yahoo's Frank Schwab and Mantzouranis Sports Illustrated's MMQB, and 3 up on Breer and Gramling at MMQB.
Shaking our head in absolute disbelief while Moving West...
Week 12 Picks - Our pick is highlighted. As always, I reserve the right to take the advance or opening line, shop the line, and make changes, all well in advance of kickoff.
And then there was one, Brown Floaters Mistake On The Lake still perfect. As opposed to last weeks litter of LOX, only one on the board from Turkey Day. Odd matchups, strange week.
BYES: NONE
OFF BYES: CAR, IND, NYJ, SF
BYE UP: NONE
Day of The Gobbler
Day of The Gobbler
Early Bird Special
MIN +1.5 30 @ DET 23 TNF 2TO Motor City Kitties home #31PassD and #30runO don't get bailed out by 7W #5D Norsemen who dominate and avenge Wk4 14-7 home loss. Statement win for division with tiebreaker wins over Saints and Rams. Falcons next. LOCKRevenge of The Gobbler
LAC +4.5 28 @ 6 DAL Due to kicker injury and inability to close, score does not indicate how bad this was. TNF Trip L 3-5 SU Pokes got whipped and put away wet by 515yd Bolts. Prediction: they run the table and win the division, not the Pokes, the Bolts.
Late Leftovers
NYG +9 10 @ WAS 20 Weak Skins dominate feeble Gmen, but can't put it up vs #28RoadD? Failed 4th dwn attempt inside own 30 with 3mins remaining, allows DC FG to cover. Sad
Early
CLE @ CIN -7.5 4-2 SU Gals #26HRunD vs #5RRunO, look past rival Wk4 31-7 W, to PIT? -7pt+ 3-0 ATS vs Stains, who are 2-9 ATS as 7pt+ dog
CHI @ PHI -11 8W SNF Birds -7+ 5-0 ATS in nest ignore 3L 7+ road dog 0-3 ATS Orsi 4 Gulls?
MIA @ NE -14.5 6W Minutemen -7+ 9-4 ATS host 4L rival Moore Fins away 7+ dog 3-7 ATS
BUF +11.5 @ KC Post Gmen 1-4 SU Chefs -7+ 1-8 ATS host B2B blow out Trip L Tyrod Bills
TB +11.5 @ ATL MNF Post Squawk Favs (15-34 ATS) -7+ 1-10 ATS, look past 2W Fitz Bucs #30RoadD to Norsemen?
CAR -4 @ NYJ Off bye TripW Pants #2RoadD looks past off bye 1-4 SU Yets to Halos?
TEN @ IND +6.5 TNF 4TO Road Tuxes 1-5 ATS. Off bye rival Dolts recall Wk6 36-22 L
Late
SEA @ SF +8.5 1-2 SU MNF Gulls -7+ 4-7 ATS look past rival to Philly? Off bye 9ers recall Wk2 12-9 L, 7+ dog 4-2 ATS
NO @ LAR PK 8W Skin miracle D faces gored Gurley Rams vertical attack
JAX @ ARZ +6 Can't run for their life 1-4 SU Gabbert Cards host run happy 4W Shags
DEN @ OAK -4 6L Buncos get Lynched as rival 2-6 SU Traitors recall Wk4 16-10 L
SNF
GB @ PIT -12.5 TNF Riveters as host -7+ 4-1 ATS, get 5TO skunked 23-0 Hundley Pack
MNF
HOU +8 @ BAL Savage Texans Road #32PassD, #6RunO saunters to Edgar Allan's bird nest, Poe's Home #31PassO, #28RunD
Comes To Shove
Since we count a push as a win, and NFLPickWatch does not, we list our push games YTD, 4 pushes, 2 involving locks.
Wk3 NY 24 @ 27 PHI -3 LOCK
Wk4 WAS +9 20 @ 29 KC LOCK
Wk7 NYJ 28 @ 31 MIA -3
Wk8 BAL 20 @ 23 TEN -3
Resources
Spread courtesy of VegasInsider, OddsShark, Covers, and the Westgate Advance Line here and here.
One can find the advance line for week 2- 8 of the season, courtesy of John Morgan at PatsFan.
Although the line differs on occasion from the links above, try Jeff Sherman's Twitter feed, he is the manager of the Westgate Super Book.
As we enjoy his commentary, humor and interesting observations, Walter Cherepinsky at NESN has weekly in depth analysis of each game.
Stats and ATS (Against The Spread) courtesy of the indispensable Pro Football Reference
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