2017 NFL Week 16 Result Picks Against The Spread
RESULTS Week 16 Picks - Our pick is the team with the number, winners highlighted.
SATNF
IND 16 @ 23 BAL -10 4-1 Early line gift? Listless Poes lack closure 3FG's. Dolts short 59yd + blocked 38yd FG's + inability to convert blocked RZ punt in last 2 mins cost.
MIN -7.5 16 @ 0 GB Defensive Norsemen stop short 3FG's, 3 sacks, 2 picks. Hundley Pack on Vikes side of field, pick @ 5, 4DC fails @ 36, 13 and own 28 cost.
Early
DET PK 17 @ 26 CIN Not as close as score, Motor City Kitties banged up Oline costs as Burfict Gals dominate 142 vs 87 net rush, with 4FG's.
LAC 14 @ 7 NYJ +10.5 Petty Coat Yets 3TO's, fumble + int @ Bolt 23 + 4 cost. Bolts 30 RushD gashed for 197yds, 6.6 per carry.
LAR -3 27 @ 23 TEN Not as close as score, 3L 2-4 Tuxes, 57yd punt ret = TD, fumble ret = TD, int = Ram TD. Rams sans K, miss FG + PAT = 11 pt differential
CLE 3 @ 20 CHI -6 Lesser of 2 evils won. In 2018 Stains have gone where no man has gone before in finding new ways to lose.
TB 19 @ 22 CAR -9 D-less Bucs put up 392 net, missed FG, 3 fumbles cost W, and hold up folding Pants 140 pass, 115 rush, Newton 52? 103yd KO ret saves playoff berth
ATL 13 @ 23 NO -4.5 D-struggle 3DC 2-13 vs 3-13. Halos D 5 sacks, goal line stand. Birds 10 flags, 4DC fail, 2TO's, goal line fumble, pick at NO36, all cost
DEN +5 11 @ 27 WAS Early Xmas for Skins, Bumbling Buncos 3TO's, 2 fumbles = 14pts, drive killing int = 3pts. Mr Ed needs Kaepernick
MIA 13 @ 29 KC -8 Fins lst wk -3TOM, this wk -2, 3DC31 0-8, TOM-13, O28. Chefs 28RZ, bad closers, 2-7 this wk 2 clinch AFC West
BUF +13.5 16 @ 37 NE Minutemen gash Matador Bison D 193 rushing, Brady gives up pick 6. Bufs can't block, 6 sacks, Pats must win out 2 clinch 1 seed.
Late
JAX 33 @ 44 SF +5.5 Not as close as score. Shags 3D gashed 131 net rush, 44 pts. Jimmy G9ers move at will converting 4-6 in RZ, shagged Fournette 48yds. 16-2 and 30-19 deficits led to Bortles getting trashed with 3 ints + 1 pick six.
NYG +7 0 @ 23 ARZ Back to Stanton Cards 7D last 4 ex-Rams 214yds avg. fumble ret TD. Post Eagle SB Gmen mail in Xmas Card 3DC 1-14, 10 flags, 3TO's.
SEA +5.5 21 @ 12 DAL Pokes hassle Mr. Wilson, 132 net, 3 sacks, 6 tackles 4 loss, no TO's. LT Tyron out 1Q: Mini boom sacked Dak 4 times, forced 3TO's, 1 pick 6, 0-2 RZ, 2 FG miss. Forget Son of Buzzi, as I could run for 1K behind him, an all pro LT is worth his weight in W's. Human turnstyle 4 backup costs Jerry's Kid's playoff spot. Squawks live to die in Atlanta.
MNF
PIT 34 @ 6 HOU +11 Riveters clinch AFC 2 seed on bye week as QB-less Texans roll over like good dogs and play dead. Shazier-less D 7 sacks, 2 TO's, gashed 4 176 rush yds
OAK +10.5 10 @ 19 PHI 5 Traitor TO's, missed FG prop lucky Cheese Steaks to NFC 1 seed. Foles vs 31st drive D: 3DC 1-14, 216 net. PHI D Gashed 4 137 rush by 25RunO? Deja vu vs Rams, last second lateral results in fluke PHI TD. We smell one and done.
How did we do? A disappointing 9-7 because we flopped off of CIN +5.5, WAS -3, NE -10 and ARZ -3. Three easy home fav covers, and some needy cats. Saw those four coming but rather than heed our intuition, bent to Kat and Dog sentiments. When will I learn?
Shall we continue to utilize a double headed wooden nickel in making our selections? Perhaps... That's life, that's what all the bookies say, you're ridin high pre game, shot down by late Sunday....
Hangin by a thread... 4 ahead of #2@131 Yahoo's Frank Schwab, 7 up on #2@128 Albert Breer, Sports Illustrated's MMQB and Case Keefer, Las Vegas Sun.
Comes To Shove
YTD 7 pushes, 2 involving locks.
One can find the advance line for week 2- 8 of the season, courtesy of John Morgan at PatsFan.
As we enjoy his commentary, humor and interesting observations, Walter Cherepinsky at NESN has weekly in depth analysis of each game.
For excellent insight, we recommend referring to Case Keefer at the Las Vegas Sun.
Stats and ATS (Against The Spread) courtesy of the indispensable Pro Football Reference
SATNF
IND 16 @ 23 BAL -10 4-1 Early line gift? Listless Poes lack closure 3FG's. Dolts short 59yd + blocked 38yd FG's + inability to convert blocked RZ punt in last 2 mins cost.
MIN -7.5 16 @ 0 GB Defensive Norsemen stop short 3FG's, 3 sacks, 2 picks. Hundley Pack on Vikes side of field, pick @ 5, 4DC fails @ 36, 13 and own 28 cost.
Early
DET PK 17 @ 26 CIN Not as close as score, Motor City Kitties banged up Oline costs as Burfict Gals dominate 142 vs 87 net rush, with 4FG's.
LAC 14 @ 7 NYJ +10.5 Petty Coat Yets 3TO's, fumble + int @ Bolt 23 + 4 cost. Bolts 30 RushD gashed for 197yds, 6.6 per carry.
LAR -3 27 @ 23 TEN Not as close as score, 3L 2-4 Tuxes, 57yd punt ret = TD, fumble ret = TD, int = Ram TD. Rams sans K, miss FG + PAT = 11 pt differential
CLE 3 @ 20 CHI -6 Lesser of 2 evils won. In 2018 Stains have gone where no man has gone before in finding new ways to lose.
TB 19 @ 22 CAR -9 D-less Bucs put up 392 net, missed FG, 3 fumbles cost W, and hold up folding Pants 140 pass, 115 rush, Newton 52? 103yd KO ret saves playoff berth
ATL 13 @ 23 NO -4.5 D-struggle 3DC 2-13 vs 3-13. Halos D 5 sacks, goal line stand. Birds 10 flags, 4DC fail, 2TO's, goal line fumble, pick at NO36, all cost
DEN +5 11 @ 27 WAS Early Xmas for Skins, Bumbling Buncos 3TO's, 2 fumbles = 14pts, drive killing int = 3pts. Mr Ed needs Kaepernick
MIA 13 @ 29 KC -8 Fins lst wk -3TOM, this wk -2, 3DC31 0-8, TOM-13, O28. Chefs 28RZ, bad closers, 2-7 this wk 2 clinch AFC West
BUF +13.5 16 @ 37 NE Minutemen gash Matador Bison D 193 rushing, Brady gives up pick 6. Bufs can't block, 6 sacks, Pats must win out 2 clinch 1 seed.
Late
JAX 33 @ 44 SF +5.5 Not as close as score. Shags 3D gashed 131 net rush, 44 pts. Jimmy G9ers move at will converting 4-6 in RZ, shagged Fournette 48yds. 16-2 and 30-19 deficits led to Bortles getting trashed with 3 ints + 1 pick six.
NYG +7 0 @ 23 ARZ Back to Stanton Cards 7D last 4 ex-Rams 214yds avg. fumble ret TD. Post Eagle SB Gmen mail in Xmas Card 3DC 1-14, 10 flags, 3TO's.
SEA +5.5 21 @ 12 DAL Pokes hassle Mr. Wilson, 132 net, 3 sacks, 6 tackles 4 loss, no TO's. LT Tyron out 1Q: Mini boom sacked Dak 4 times, forced 3TO's, 1 pick 6, 0-2 RZ, 2 FG miss. Forget Son of Buzzi, as I could run for 1K behind him, an all pro LT is worth his weight in W's. Human turnstyle 4 backup costs Jerry's Kid's playoff spot. Squawks live to die in Atlanta.
MNF
PIT 34 @ 6 HOU +11 Riveters clinch AFC 2 seed on bye week as QB-less Texans roll over like good dogs and play dead. Shazier-less D 7 sacks, 2 TO's, gashed 4 176 rush yds
OAK +10.5 10 @ 19 PHI 5 Traitor TO's, missed FG prop lucky Cheese Steaks to NFC 1 seed. Foles vs 31st drive D: 3DC 1-14, 216 net. PHI D Gashed 4 137 rush by 25RunO? Deja vu vs Rams, last second lateral results in fluke PHI TD. We smell one and done.
How did we do? A disappointing 9-7 because we flopped off of CIN +5.5, WAS -3, NE -10 and ARZ -3. Three easy home fav covers, and some needy cats. Saw those four coming but rather than heed our intuition, bent to Kat and Dog sentiments. When will I learn?
Shall we continue to utilize a double headed wooden nickel in making our selections? Perhaps... That's life, that's what all the bookies say, you're ridin high pre game, shot down by late Sunday....
Week 01: 13-2 = 87% - Lox 4-0 = 100%
Week 02: 10-6 = 63% - Lox 5-1 = 83%
Week 03: 9-7 = 56% - Lox 3-3 = 50%
Week 02: 10-6 = 63% - Lox 5-1 = 83%
Week 03: 9-7 = 56% - Lox 3-3 = 50%
Week 04: 8-8 = 50% - Lox 5-0 = 100%
Week 05: 6-8 = 43% - Lox 2-3 = 40%
Week 06: 7-7 = 50% - Lox 1-3 = 25%
Week 07: 6-9 = 40% - Lox 2-3 = 40%
Week 08: 10-3 = 77% - Lox 3-1 = 75%
Week 09: 9-4 = 69% - Lox 4-1 = 80%
Week 10: 9-5 = 64% - Lox 5-1 = 83%
Week 11: 6-8 = 43% - Lox 3-6 = 33%
Week 12: 12-4 = 75% - Lox 1-0 = 100%
Week 13: 7-9 = 44% - Lox 2-2 = 50%
Week 14: 11-5 = 69% - Lox 3-1 = 75%
Week 15: 10-6 = 63% - Lox 3-2 = 60%
Week 13: 7-9 = 44% - Lox 2-2 = 50%
Week 14: 11-5 = 69% - Lox 3-1 = 75%
Week 15: 10-6 = 63% - Lox 3-2 = 60%
Week 16: 9-7 = 56% - Lox 0-0 = Off
YTD: 142-98 = 60% - Lox 46-27 = 63%
YTD: 142-98 = 60% - Lox 46-27 = 63%
Adjusting for pushes (see YTD below), subtract our 7 pushes (2 on lox) from 142, with a record of 135-98-7; lox at 44-27-2, and 1 week or 16 games to go...
we are still the #1 % winner on the web (cherry picking games ATS - Lox and Bagels), and #1 on the web picking all NFL games ATS.
Hangin by a thread... 4 ahead of #2@131 Yahoo's Frank Schwab, 7 up on #2@128 Albert Breer, Sports Illustrated's MMQB and Case Keefer, Las Vegas Sun.
Comes To Shove
On a push you get your money back. Depending on the book, a push can either completely kill or reduce the payout on parlays and teasers. Hence, we count not losing as a win, however books and NFLPickWatch do not.
YTD 7 pushes, 2 involving locks.
Wk3 NYG 24 @ 27 PHI -3 LOCK
Wk4 WAS +9 20 @ 29 KC LOCK
Wk7 NYJ 28 @ 31 MIA -3
Wk9 BAL 20 @ 23 TEN -3
Wk14 DET 24 @ 21 TB +3
Wk14 GB 27 @ 21 CLE +6
Wk15 GB +7 24 @ 31 CAR
Resources
Wk4 WAS +9 20 @ 29 KC LOCK
Wk7 NYJ 28 @ 31 MIA -3
Wk9 BAL 20 @ 23 TEN -3
Wk14 DET 24 @ 21 TB +3
Wk14 GB 27 @ 21 CLE +6
Wk15 GB +7 24 @ 31 CAR
Resources
Spread courtesy of VegasInsider, OddsShark, Covers, and the Westgate Advance Line here and here.
One can find the advance line for week 2- 8 of the season, courtesy of John Morgan at PatsFan.
Although the line differs on occasion from the links above, try Jeff Sherman's Twitter feed, he is the manager of the Westgate Super Book.
As we enjoy his commentary, humor and interesting observations, Walter Cherepinsky at NESN has weekly in depth analysis of each game.
For excellent insight, we recommend referring to Case Keefer at the Las Vegas Sun.
Stats and ATS (Against The Spread) courtesy of the indispensable Pro Football Reference
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