2017 NFL Week 14 Result Picks Against The Spread
RESULTS Week 14 Picks - Our pick is the team with the number, winners highlighted.
TNF
Shall we continue to utilize a double headed wooden nickel in making our selections? Perhaps... That's life, that's what all the bookies say, you're ridin high pre game, shot down by late Sunday....
YTD: 123-85 = 59% - Lox 43-25 = 63%
Hangin by a thread... 2 ahead of #2 @ 115 Albert Breer Sports Illustrated's MMQB, 3 up on #3 @ 114 Yahoo's Frank Schwab and 5 up on #4 @ 112 Tom Mantzouranis MMQB.
Comes To Shove
YTD 6 pushes, 2 involving locks.
One can find the advance line for week 2- 8 of the season, courtesy of John Morgan at PatsFan.
As we enjoy his commentary, humor and interesting observations, Walter Cherepinsky at NESN has weekly in depth analysis of each game.
Stats and ATS (Against The Spread) courtesy of the indispensable Pro Football Reference
TNF
NO 17 @ 20 ATL +4 Line went wild from NO-4 to ATL-3, we took the early line. Birds control rock 37min, 132rush, 3 ints, 1 end zone. Halos, 1st drive Kamara out, 50rush, 3/10 3rdDC. Worse, Lattimore's int ret to ATL 29 with 0:04 in half, illegal formation nullifies 46 yd FG. Bree's end zone int at 1:25 never happens, 28 yd FG to win? Se la vie.
Early
DET 24 @ 21 TB +3 PUSH Kats 3TO's, 50 rush = win? When U get 5TO's and depleted pass the Buc 31D allows 381 air
CHI +7 33 @ 7 CIN Chairs run over defenseless Gals, 482 net, 232 rush, 2TO's
IND 7 @ 13 BUF PK 2 miss FG's cost 4L 1-7 Dolts 163 rush vs 2 TO Bison 227yd in snow bowl
OAK +6 15 @ 26 KC Traitors mail in Carr bombs, 3TO, 268yds, 70 rush vs 2-6 30D, under 20 pts = 7L's
MIN 24 @ 31 CAR +3 Pants D 345yds, 6 sacks, 3TO's. Tired Vikes D 356, 1 pick, 216yds to triple Cam-med ground attack
GB 27 @ 21 CLE +6 PUSH Stains blow 21-7 4Q lead, early OT pick keeps them perfect
SF +5.5 26 @ 16 HOU LOCK 3-1 SU, prior 2-23! 9ers hold rock 416 net, TOP 35 min. Garoppolo 2-0, win streak?
DAL -3.5 30 @ 10 NYG LOCK Pokes rout Gmen, 454 net, 2 picks keep playoff hopes alive
Late
WAS 13 @ 30 LAC -5.5 Super Chargers hang 488 net, 174 rush on 27RoadD. 2-6 Skins got a pick 6?
NYJ +3 0 @ 23 DEN 1-5 road Jets miss flight, 2TO's, 100 net, ends 8L trip H L Mr. Ed's Bungling Buncos misery
TEN 7 @ 12 ARZ +3.5 Marriota hospitality 2 picks, FG miss. +8TOM Gabbert Cards D hangs tough 204 net
SEA +3.5 24 @ 30 JAX LOCK FG Miss, 75yd pass TD + 72yd punt ret cost Squawks. Shags D snags 3 picks.
PHI 43 @ 35 LAR +3 Rams get 1 int, 1 punt block for TD. Eagles hold rock dominate stats, 455 vs 307 net. Winning TD Zebra assisted with 2 ??? flags. Books cleared all Ram bets on "fluke" fumble TD return with 0:01 left.
SNF
BAL +7.5 38 @ 39 PIT LOCK 8W 10-1 Riveters ring up 545 net, 59 rush, 486 air, convert 4 long FG's. Poes 413 net, 152 rush, early drive killing pick at PIT 5yd line costs.
MNF
NE -10 @ MIA BAD FLOP, as we had Fins: "Gronkless Minutemen take partial bye week with 1-5 Fins to rest 4 Riveters? +14 road chalk on div rival in primetime? This is the NFL?" Pat Naps: 2 ints, 0-11 3rdDC, 248 net, 25 rush. Fins: No TO's, RB Drake 114yd, 362 net, TOP 36min
How did we do? After going 7-9 last week with a bad case of floppy pick, this week we firmed up and stayed the course while going 11-5. Two pushes are like kissing your sister. More annoying? Not now, Nattering another day.
Early
DET 24 @ 21 TB +3 PUSH Kats 3TO's, 50 rush = win? When U get 5TO's and depleted pass the Buc 31D allows 381 air
CHI +7 33 @ 7 CIN Chairs run over defenseless Gals, 482 net, 232 rush, 2TO's
IND 7 @ 13 BUF PK 2 miss FG's cost 4L 1-7 Dolts 163 rush vs 2 TO Bison 227yd in snow bowl
OAK +6 15 @ 26 KC Traitors mail in Carr bombs, 3TO, 268yds, 70 rush vs 2-6 30D, under 20 pts = 7L's
MIN 24 @ 31 CAR +3 Pants D 345yds, 6 sacks, 3TO's. Tired Vikes D 356, 1 pick, 216yds to triple Cam-med ground attack
GB 27 @ 21 CLE +6 PUSH Stains blow 21-7 4Q lead, early OT pick keeps them perfect
SF +5.5 26 @ 16 HOU LOCK 3-1 SU, prior 2-23! 9ers hold rock 416 net, TOP 35 min. Garoppolo 2-0, win streak?
DAL -3.5 30 @ 10 NYG LOCK Pokes rout Gmen, 454 net, 2 picks keep playoff hopes alive
Late
WAS 13 @ 30 LAC -5.5 Super Chargers hang 488 net, 174 rush on 27RoadD. 2-6 Skins got a pick 6?
NYJ +3 0 @ 23 DEN 1-5 road Jets miss flight, 2TO's, 100 net, ends 8L trip H L Mr. Ed's Bungling Buncos misery
TEN 7 @ 12 ARZ +3.5 Marriota hospitality 2 picks, FG miss. +8TOM Gabbert Cards D hangs tough 204 net
SEA +3.5 24 @ 30 JAX LOCK FG Miss, 75yd pass TD + 72yd punt ret cost Squawks. Shags D snags 3 picks.
PHI 43 @ 35 LAR +3 Rams get 1 int, 1 punt block for TD. Eagles hold rock dominate stats, 455 vs 307 net. Winning TD Zebra assisted with 2 ??? flags. Books cleared all Ram bets on "fluke" fumble TD return with 0:01 left.
SNF
BAL +7.5 38 @ 39 PIT LOCK 8W 10-1 Riveters ring up 545 net, 59 rush, 486 air, convert 4 long FG's. Poes 413 net, 152 rush, early drive killing pick at PIT 5yd line costs.
MNF
NE -10 @ MIA BAD FLOP, as we had Fins: "Gronkless Minutemen take partial bye week with 1-5 Fins to rest 4 Riveters? +14 road chalk on div rival in primetime? This is the NFL?" Pat Naps: 2 ints, 0-11 3rdDC, 248 net, 25 rush. Fins: No TO's, RB Drake 114yd, 362 net, TOP 36min
How did we do? After going 7-9 last week with a bad case of floppy pick, this week we firmed up and stayed the course while going 11-5. Two pushes are like kissing your sister. More annoying? Not now, Nattering another day.
Shall we continue to utilize a double headed wooden nickel in making our selections? Perhaps... That's life, that's what all the bookies say, you're ridin high pre game, shot down by late Sunday....
Week 01: 13-2 = 87% - Lox 4-0 = 100%
Week 02: 10-6 = 63% - Lox 5-1 = 83%
Week 03: 9-7 = 56% - Lox 3-3 = 50%
Week 02: 10-6 = 63% - Lox 5-1 = 83%
Week 03: 9-7 = 56% - Lox 3-3 = 50%
Week 04: 8-8 = 50% - Lox 5-0 = 100%
Week 05: 6-8 = 43% - Lox 2-3 = 40%
Week 06: 7-7 = 50% - Lox 1-3 = 25%
Week 07: 6-9 = 40% - Lox 2-3 = 40%
Week 08: 10-3 = 77% - Lox 3-1 = 75%
Week 09: 9-4 = 69% - Lox 4-1 = 80%
Week 10: 9-5 = 64% - Lox 5-1 = 83%
Week 11: 6-8 = 43% - Lox 3-6 = 33%
Week 12: 12-4 = 75% - Lox 1-0 = 100%
Week 13: 7-9 = 44% - Lox 2-2 = 50%
Week 14: 11-5 = 69% - Lox 3-1 = 75%
Week 13: 7-9 = 44% - Lox 2-2 = 50%
Week 14: 11-5 = 69% - Lox 3-1 = 75%
YTD: 123-85 = 59% - Lox 43-25 = 63%
Adjusting for pushes (see YTD below), subtract our 6 pushes (2 on lox) from 123, with a record of 117-85-6; lox at 41-25-2, and 3 weeks or 48 games to go...
we are still the #1 % winner on the web (cherry picking games ATS - Lox and Bagels), and #1 on the web picking all NFL games ATS.
Hangin by a thread... 2 ahead of #2 @ 115 Albert Breer Sports Illustrated's MMQB, 3 up on #3 @ 114 Yahoo's Frank Schwab and 5 up on #4 @ 112 Tom Mantzouranis MMQB.
Comes To Shove
On a push you get your money back. Depending on the book, a push can either completely kill or reduce the payout on parlays and teasers. Hence, we count not losing as a win, however books and NFLPickWatch do not.
YTD 6 pushes, 2 involving locks.
Wk3 NY 24 @ 27 PHI -3 LOCK
Wk4 WAS +9 20 @ 29 KC LOCK
Wk7 NYJ 28 @ 31 MIA -3
Wk9 BAL 20 @ 23 TEN -3
Wk14 DET 24 @ 21 TB +3
Wk14 GB 27 @ 21 CLE +6
Resources
Wk4 WAS +9 20 @ 29 KC LOCK
Wk7 NYJ 28 @ 31 MIA -3
Wk9 BAL 20 @ 23 TEN -3
Wk14 DET 24 @ 21 TB +3
Wk14 GB 27 @ 21 CLE +6
Resources
Spread courtesy of VegasInsider, OddsShark, Covers, and the Westgate Advance Line here and here.
One can find the advance line for week 2- 8 of the season, courtesy of John Morgan at PatsFan.
Although the line differs on occasion from the links above, try Jeff Sherman's Twitter feed, he is the manager of the Westgate Super Book.
As we enjoy his commentary, humor and interesting observations, Walter Cherepinsky at NESN has weekly in depth analysis of each game.
Stats and ATS (Against The Spread) courtesy of the indispensable Pro Football Reference
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