2017 NFL Week 15 Result Picks Against The Spread
RESULTS Week 15 Picks - Our pick is the team with the number, winners highlighted.
TNF
DEN 25 @ 13 IND +3 Toilet Bowl. WHY?? Soft Buncos saved by Siemian injury, 462net, 213rush, 1int, 1FG miss. Dolts 228net 70rush, 23min TOP.
SAT
CHI +7 10 @ 20 DET LOCK Oh My! No Tiger Bowl. 1-6 Chairs 43 net rush vs 222 Wk11. QB Tru-Biscuit 3 picks, 1 at Bear 41, 1 in Lion end zone = 17 pt difference. Nine lives Kats die another day.
LAC +2 13 @ 30 KC LOCK AFC West Bowl. 3-6 Chefs 6O don't get 3TO's, they get 4 in 2nd half = 13 pt diff. Hold rock vs 29RushD with 174 net. Lst 4 Bolts Oavg 465yds, 307 vs 29D, 0-8 SU vs KC. They don't win out, and finish outside?
Early
PHI 34 @ 29 NYG +9.5 New Foles Bowl. Trip L Gmen recall Wk 3 377 air effort with 429 and 504 net. Cheese Steaks bailed out on pick, blocked FG, PAT and punt for 18 pt diff
GB +7 24 @ 31 CAR PUSH Mr Rodgers Pants Bowl. 384 vs 387 net, 120 vs 151 rush. Rodgers 6gms = 3 ints, vs Pants 3 ints + fumble = 10 pt diff
CIN 7 @ 34 MIN -9 Nordic Gals Bowl. Norsemen tie down Gals, 8 1stD, 161 net, 46 rush, 3rdDC 1-13, 2 ints, 1 pick six. Gals fans can dream of Clueless Lewis departure?
MIA 16 @ 24 BUF -3 Surf n Turf Bowl. Even game. Dull Cutlery Fins 3 picks + RZ failure spell doom
HOU +13.5 7 @ 45 JAX Shag n Texan Bowl. Shags dominate 464 vs 186 net, 4 sacks, RZ 6-6 all TD's. Old n Grey Yates, 14 flags, 1 pick.
NYJ 19 @ 31 NO -10.5 All Saints Bowl. Sloppy Halos 3 TO's, fumbles at NJ 7 and 15, pick at NO 11, keep non Wilkerson sharp Petty Coat Yets close
ARZ +6 15 @ 20 WAS Deserted DC Bowl.Tough 8D Gabbert Cards peel Skins 218net, 31 rush, 3rdDC 1/9. 5 sacks, 0/6 in RZ, fumble own 18, int DC 8 = 10-14 pt diff
BAL 27 @ 10 CLE +9.5 Poe Stains Bowl. Stains keep finding ways to lose and not cover. 4 TO's, pick at Raven 9, fumble in own end zone = 10-14 pt diff.
Late
LAR +3 42 @ 7 SEA LOCK NFC West Bowl. Rams recall Wk 5 5TO 16-10 home gift to div rival? Gurley no mercy 152yds, 7 sacks, 2TO's, safety, 71 air, 149 net, 34-0 at half
TEN 23 @ 25 SF +4 Jimmy G Tux Bowl. Tux fumble costs 3pts and game. 9er trips it is, 414 vs 328 net, 1/4 in RZ keeps it close as 6 FG's are Gould-en
NE -1 27 @ 24 PIT LOCK AFC #1 Seed Bowl. Riveters dominate 413-360 net, 143-77 rush, TOP 35-24. Not seen in eons real D, man press blanketed Pats WR's. 40 year old Brady's 41st 4Q Comeback, 52nd Game Winning Drive, 77 yds, 5 plays, 1:10 elapsed, #2 all time on both counts.
Shazier-less Riveters, Browned-out and Blacked-out on 2 self inflicted wounds, TE James did not cradle catch, unnecessary stretch for TD ruled incomplete. Afterwards, somebody got cute and pulled a Pete Carroll, risky goal line gadget pass results in EZ pick. Coach Tomlin, "We play to win", forgets... yes you may, but when you play stupid, you lose.
SNF
DAL +2 20 @ 17 OAK LOCK Poke Salad Bowl. 2 Dak ints, OAK 22 + DAL 22 = 6-10 pt diff. 4th D conversion at own 40 yields go ahead FG. Last second Carr bomb fumble into DAL EZ, bails out Pokes to die another day
MNF
ATL -3.5 24 @ 21 TB Capt Flint Bowl. Trip L Buc's fumble at ATL 5 and gm end 54yd FG miss cost W. Dirty Birds 410-373 net, 201-84 rush, TOP 33-27, blocked 32yd FG blows cover.
How did we do? Lost by half point on the Dirty Birds, and a push on the Pack, but at 10-6 we'll take it. Shall we continue to utilize a double headed wooden nickel in making our selections? Perhaps... That's life, that's what all the bookies say, you're ridin high pre game, shot down by late Sunday....
YTD: 133-91 = 60% - Lox 46-27 = 63%
Hangin by a thread... 3 ahead of #2@123 Yahoo's Frank Schwab, 5 up on #3@121 Albert Breer Sports Illustrated's MMQB and 7 up on #4@119 Tom Mantzouranis MMQB.
Comes To Shove
YTD 7 pushes, 2 involving locks.
One can find the advance line for week 2- 8 of the season, courtesy of John Morgan at PatsFan.
As we enjoy his commentary, humor and interesting observations, Walter Cherepinsky at NESN has weekly in depth analysis of each game.
For excellent insight, we recommend referring to Case Keefer at the Las Vegas Sun.
Stats and ATS (Against The Spread) courtesy of the indispensable Pro Football Reference
TNF
DEN 25 @ 13 IND +3 Toilet Bowl. WHY?? Soft Buncos saved by Siemian injury, 462net, 213rush, 1int, 1FG miss. Dolts 228net 70rush, 23min TOP.
SAT
CHI +7 10 @ 20 DET LOCK Oh My! No Tiger Bowl. 1-6 Chairs 43 net rush vs 222 Wk11. QB Tru-Biscuit 3 picks, 1 at Bear 41, 1 in Lion end zone = 17 pt difference. Nine lives Kats die another day.
LAC +2 13 @ 30 KC LOCK AFC West Bowl. 3-6 Chefs 6O don't get 3TO's, they get 4 in 2nd half = 13 pt diff. Hold rock vs 29RushD with 174 net. Lst 4 Bolts Oavg 465yds, 307 vs 29D, 0-8 SU vs KC. They don't win out, and finish outside?
Early
PHI 34 @ 29 NYG +9.5 New Foles Bowl. Trip L Gmen recall Wk 3 377 air effort with 429 and 504 net. Cheese Steaks bailed out on pick, blocked FG, PAT and punt for 18 pt diff
GB +7 24 @ 31 CAR PUSH Mr Rodgers Pants Bowl. 384 vs 387 net, 120 vs 151 rush. Rodgers 6gms = 3 ints, vs Pants 3 ints + fumble = 10 pt diff
CIN 7 @ 34 MIN -9 Nordic Gals Bowl. Norsemen tie down Gals, 8 1stD, 161 net, 46 rush, 3rdDC 1-13, 2 ints, 1 pick six. Gals fans can dream of Clueless Lewis departure?
MIA 16 @ 24 BUF -3 Surf n Turf Bowl. Even game. Dull Cutlery Fins 3 picks + RZ failure spell doom
HOU +13.5 7 @ 45 JAX Shag n Texan Bowl. Shags dominate 464 vs 186 net, 4 sacks, RZ 6-6 all TD's. Old n Grey Yates, 14 flags, 1 pick.
NYJ 19 @ 31 NO -10.5 All Saints Bowl. Sloppy Halos 3 TO's, fumbles at NJ 7 and 15, pick at NO 11, keep non Wilkerson sharp Petty Coat Yets close
ARZ +6 15 @ 20 WAS Deserted DC Bowl.Tough 8D Gabbert Cards peel Skins 218net, 31 rush, 3rdDC 1/9. 5 sacks, 0/6 in RZ, fumble own 18, int DC 8 = 10-14 pt diff
BAL 27 @ 10 CLE +9.5 Poe Stains Bowl. Stains keep finding ways to lose and not cover. 4 TO's, pick at Raven 9, fumble in own end zone = 10-14 pt diff.
Late
LAR +3 42 @ 7 SEA LOCK NFC West Bowl. Rams recall Wk 5 5TO 16-10 home gift to div rival? Gurley no mercy 152yds, 7 sacks, 2TO's, safety, 71 air, 149 net, 34-0 at half
TEN 23 @ 25 SF +4 Jimmy G Tux Bowl. Tux fumble costs 3pts and game. 9er trips it is, 414 vs 328 net, 1/4 in RZ keeps it close as 6 FG's are Gould-en
NE -1 27 @ 24 PIT LOCK AFC #1 Seed Bowl. Riveters dominate 413-360 net, 143-77 rush, TOP 35-24. Not seen in eons real D, man press blanketed Pats WR's. 40 year old Brady's 41st 4Q Comeback, 52nd Game Winning Drive, 77 yds, 5 plays, 1:10 elapsed, #2 all time on both counts.
Shazier-less Riveters, Browned-out and Blacked-out on 2 self inflicted wounds, TE James did not cradle catch, unnecessary stretch for TD ruled incomplete. Afterwards, somebody got cute and pulled a Pete Carroll, risky goal line gadget pass results in EZ pick. Coach Tomlin, "We play to win", forgets... yes you may, but when you play stupid, you lose.
SNF
DAL +2 20 @ 17 OAK LOCK Poke Salad Bowl. 2 Dak ints, OAK 22 + DAL 22 = 6-10 pt diff. 4th D conversion at own 40 yields go ahead FG. Last second Carr bomb fumble into DAL EZ, bails out Pokes to die another day
MNF
ATL -3.5 24 @ 21 TB Capt Flint Bowl. Trip L Buc's fumble at ATL 5 and gm end 54yd FG miss cost W. Dirty Birds 410-373 net, 201-84 rush, TOP 33-27, blocked 32yd FG blows cover.
How did we do? Lost by half point on the Dirty Birds, and a push on the Pack, but at 10-6 we'll take it. Shall we continue to utilize a double headed wooden nickel in making our selections? Perhaps... That's life, that's what all the bookies say, you're ridin high pre game, shot down by late Sunday....
Week 01: 13-2 = 87% - Lox 4-0 = 100%
Week 02: 10-6 = 63% - Lox 5-1 = 83%
Week 03: 9-7 = 56% - Lox 3-3 = 50%
Week 02: 10-6 = 63% - Lox 5-1 = 83%
Week 03: 9-7 = 56% - Lox 3-3 = 50%
Week 04: 8-8 = 50% - Lox 5-0 = 100%
Week 05: 6-8 = 43% - Lox 2-3 = 40%
Week 06: 7-7 = 50% - Lox 1-3 = 25%
Week 07: 6-9 = 40% - Lox 2-3 = 40%
Week 08: 10-3 = 77% - Lox 3-1 = 75%
Week 09: 9-4 = 69% - Lox 4-1 = 80%
Week 10: 9-5 = 64% - Lox 5-1 = 83%
Week 11: 6-8 = 43% - Lox 3-6 = 33%
Week 12: 12-4 = 75% - Lox 1-0 = 100%
Week 13: 7-9 = 44% - Lox 2-2 = 50%
Week 14: 11-5 = 69% - Lox 3-1 = 75%
Week 15: 10-6 = 63% - Lox 3-2 = 60%
Week 13: 7-9 = 44% - Lox 2-2 = 50%
Week 14: 11-5 = 69% - Lox 3-1 = 75%
Week 15: 10-6 = 63% - Lox 3-2 = 60%
YTD: 133-91 = 60% - Lox 46-27 = 63%
Adjusting for pushes (see YTD below), subtract our 7 pushes (2 on lox) from 133, with a record of 126-91-7; lox at 44-27-2, and 2 weeks or 32 games to go...
we are still the #1 % winner on the web (cherry picking games ATS - Lox and Bagels), and #1 on the web picking all NFL games ATS.
Hangin by a thread... 3 ahead of #2@123 Yahoo's Frank Schwab, 5 up on #3@121 Albert Breer Sports Illustrated's MMQB and 7 up on #4@119 Tom Mantzouranis MMQB.
Comes To Shove
On a push you get your money back. Depending on the book, a push can either completely kill or reduce the payout on parlays and teasers. Hence, we count not losing as a win, however books and NFLPickWatch do not.
YTD 7 pushes, 2 involving locks.
Wk3 NYG 24 @ 27 PHI -3 LOCK
Wk4 WAS +9 20 @ 29 KC LOCK
Wk7 NYJ 28 @ 31 MIA -3
Wk9 BAL 20 @ 23 TEN -3
Wk14 DET 24 @ 21 TB +3
Wk14 GB 27 @ 21 CLE +6
Wk15 GB +7 24 @ 31 CAR
Resources
Wk4 WAS +9 20 @ 29 KC LOCK
Wk7 NYJ 28 @ 31 MIA -3
Wk9 BAL 20 @ 23 TEN -3
Wk14 DET 24 @ 21 TB +3
Wk14 GB 27 @ 21 CLE +6
Wk15 GB +7 24 @ 31 CAR
Resources
Spread courtesy of VegasInsider, OddsShark, Covers, and the Westgate Advance Line here and here.
One can find the advance line for week 2- 8 of the season, courtesy of John Morgan at PatsFan.
Although the line differs on occasion from the links above, try Jeff Sherman's Twitter feed, he is the manager of the Westgate Super Book.
As we enjoy his commentary, humor and interesting observations, Walter Cherepinsky at NESN has weekly in depth analysis of each game.
For excellent insight, we recommend referring to Case Keefer at the Las Vegas Sun.
Stats and ATS (Against The Spread) courtesy of the indispensable Pro Football Reference
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