2017 NFL Week 17 Result Picks Against The Spread

RESULTS Week 17 Picks - Our pick is the team with the number, winners highlighted.

Early

GB +9 11 @ 35 DET Hundley Pack 3TO's, 4 sacks gain Motor City Kitties a year end W
NYJ +17 6 @ 26 NE Yets 0-12 3DC, 4 sacks, missed FG costs cover. Minutemen mean business and take care of it by clinching AFC1 + homefield
HOU 13 @ 22 IND PK BBQ Brisket, Eau Savage, Old Grey Yates, all better than Kaepernick? These teams cancelled their seasons and the fans should demand refunds 
CLE +16.5 24 @ PIT 28 96yd KO return bails out AFC2 Riveters 2nd team. Hues perfect Stains find new inventive ways to lose. Should have been a Black Monday pink slip?
WAS 10 @ 18 NYG +4 Gmen ode to Eli, 381 net, hold useless Foreskins to 1-13 3DC, 61 rush, 3 ints
CHI 10 @ 23 MIN -11 NFC2 + bye Norsemen sit on Chairs 1-12 3DC, 0-2 RZ, 30 rush. Allowed punt ret TD, 2 sacks, lst 2 wks many O-line issues
DAL +1 6 @ 0 PHI LOCK Jerry's Kid's missed FG + PAT, skunk NFC1 Cheese Steaks, 2-11 3DC, 219 net. New Foles 2nd bye wk of 3, 4-11 39yds, 1 int, 3 sacks, can U say 1 and done?

Late

CIN +11 31 @ 27 BAL Lazy Poes refuse AFC 5 + 6. 87yd KO TD makes it seem close,  sleepwalked 3wks at home vs Stains, Dolts + Burfict-less Clueless Lewis Gals. Freak 89yd pick 6, last second 49yd TD bomb earns ticket to watch playoffs. Ye reap what ye sow
BUF 22 @ 16 MIA +3 Cutler finally sent off early to broadcast booth, Fales Fins 1-3 4DC, 14 flags = 145yds. McCoy-less? (ankle) Bison back into AFC 6, 1 and done 
CAR 10 @ 22 ATL -2.5 LOCK  Neither team could run or convert. NFC5 Cam Pants O-line issues, 3 ints, D allowed 371 net. Private Ryan's Birds 1-5 RZ, gain NFC6. Both 1 and done
NO 24 @ 31 TB +9 Despite 3 ints, Bucs 455 net and fumble ret TD grants no parlay to NFC4 Halos. Kamara 106yd TD KO ret makes it seem close 
JAX 10 @ 15 TEN +3.5 LOCK Tuxes get AFC5 on 66yd TD pass, 1 and done. AFC3 Shags 4TOs, D outscores O 7-3 on 67yd fumble ret TD. All in? Hate to see them when it counts
OAK +9.5 10 @ 30 LAC Rivers hails 495 net on Traitors, 2TO's 1 fumble ret TD. BS multi-team tiebreaker, 6-6 AFC record, Bolts finish outside
ARZ +10.5 26 @ 24 SEA Stanton Cards D finishes 4 Arians, 1-12 3DC, 13 1stD, 5TFL, 3sacks, 4 Dawson FG's. Missed 48yd FG at end costs Gulls. KO Ret TD makes this look close.
KC 27 @ 24 DEN -1 LOCK Hunt 35yd TD, 5 sacks, 3TO's help AFC4 Chefs 2nd team beat Buncos 1st team in bonus bye game. Soft? Disgraceful. What could Kaepernick have done 4 Mr Ed? Denver ticket holders should demand refunds.

SF +7 34 @ 13 LAR LOCK Jimmy G9ers 463net, 3TO's, 171 rush, u can run on the NFC3 Rams 2nd team too. Off season, SF adds O+D linemen, DB's, look out. Unlike Rams, Baghdad by the Bay will not get 150 to 1 SB odds.


How did we do? 11-5 and we could have done better, had we not flopped off BUF -2 (who knew QB Cutler was going to be pulled early?) and KC +4 (who knew RB Kareem Hunt would play and run 35yds 4 TD?), when will I learn?  In any event... 


Shall we continue to utilize a double headed wooden nickel in making our selections?   Perhaps... That's life, that's what all the bookies say, you're ridin high pre game, shot down by late Sunday....


Week 01: 13-2 = 87% - Lox 4-0 = 100%
Week 02: 10-6 = 63% - Lox 5-1 =   83%
Week 03:  9-7 =  56% - Lox 3-3 =   50%
Week 04:  8-8 =  50% - Lox 5-0 = 100%
Week 05:  6-8 =  43% - Lox 2-3 =   40%
Week 06:  7-7 =  50% - Lox 1-3 =   25%
Week 07:  6-9 =  40% - Lox 2-3 =   40%
Week 08: 10-3 = 77% - Lox 3-1 =   75%
Week 09:   9-4 = 69% - Lox 4-1 =   80%
Week 10:   9-5 = 64% - Lox 5-1 =   83%
Week 11:   6-8 = 43% - Lox 3-6 =   33%
Week 12: 12-4 = 75% - Lox 1-0 = 100%
Week 13:   7-9 = 44% - Lox 2-2 =   50%
Week 14: 11-5 = 69% - Lox 3-1 =   75%
Week 15: 10-6 = 63% - Lox 3-2 =   60%
Week 16:   9-7 = 56% - Lox 0-0 =  Off
Week 17: 11-5 = 69% - Lox 4-1 =   80% 

YTD:    153-103 = 60% - Lox 50-28 = 64%

Adjusting for pushes (see YTD below), subtract our 7 pushes (2 on lox) from 153, with a record of 146-103-7; lox at 48-28-2...

WE ARE THE #1 percentage winner on the web (cherry picking 30% of ALL games ATS), and NUMBER ONE on the web picking all 256 NFL games ATS.

Hangin by a thread... against 
NFLPickWatch's field of 51 paid professional experts, we finished 5 ahead of #2@141-107-8 Case Keefer, Las Vegas Sun8 up on #3@138-110-8 Yahoo's Frank Schwab. 10 up on #4@136-108-12 Albert Breer, Sports Illustrated's MMQB.

Wishing all a Happy, Healthy, Sane Holiday Season and a Prosperous New Year. Stay Tuned for our Playoff picks....  Sic em Coach, and here is the entire rant.




Comes To Shove
On a push you get your money back. Depending on the book, a push can either completely kill or reduce the payout on parlays and teasers. Hence, we count not losing as a win, however books and NFLPickWatch do not.  

YTD 7 pushes, 2 involving locks.

Wk3 NYG 24 @ 27 PHI -3 LOCK
Wk4 WAS +9 20 @ 29 KC LOCK
Wk7 NYJ 28 @ 31 MIA -3
Wk9 BAL 20 @ 23 TEN -3
Wk14 DET 24 @ 21 TB +3
Wk14 GB 27 @ 21 CLE +6
Wk15 GB +7 24 @ 31 CAR

Resources
Spread courtesy of VegasInsiderOddsSharkCovers, and the Westgate Advance Line here and here.  

One can find the advance line for week 2- 8 of the season, courtesy of John Morgan at PatsFan.  

Although the line differs on occasion from the links above, try Jeff Sherman's Twitter feed, he is the manager of the Westgate Super Book.

As we enjoy his commentary, humor and interesting observations, Walter Cherepinsky at NESN has weekly in depth analysis of each game.


For excellent insight, we recommend referring to Case Keefer at the Las Vegas Sun.

Stats and ATS (Against The Spread) courtesy of the indispensable Pro Football Reference

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